USD/JPY hovers above 154.50 close to its peak since June 1990

Source Fxstreet
  • USD/JPY maintains its position around the high of 154.78 marked on Tuesday.
  • US Dollar strengthens on expectations of the Fed prolonging higher policy rates for a longer duration.
  • Japan’s Merchandise Trade Balance Total rose to a surplus of ¥366.5 billion in March, from the previous deficit of ¥377.8 billion.

USD/JPY trades around 154.60 during the early European session on Wednesday, hovering near its peak at 154.78, a level not seen since June 1990. The downward correction in the US Dollar (USD) puts pressure on the USD/JPY pair. However, expectations of the Federal Reserve (Fed) maintaining elevated interest rates for a longer duration, buoyed by a robust US economy and persistent inflation, counterbalance the downward trend in the USD/JPY pair.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's remarks on Tuesday at the Washington Forum might have bolstered the greenback. Powell noted that recent data indicates limited progress on inflation this year, suggesting a prolonged period before reaching the 2% target. This commentary possibly contributed to a more hawkish stance and provided support to the US Dollar, as reported by Reuters.

On the other side, the Japanese Yen (JPY) might have found support from the country's trade balance swinging to a surplus in March. The Merchandise Trade Balance Total improved to ¥366.5 billion from the previous deficit of ¥377.8 billion. Additionally, a private survey revealed that sentiment among manufacturers in Japan softened in April due to a weaker Yen driving up import expenses.

Furthermore, the Japanese Yen could see bolstering from safe-haven inflows, likely prompted by risk aversion. Investors are cautiously monitoring Israel's response to Iran's air strike on Saturday. A Reuters report mentioned the postponement of a third meeting of Israel's war cabinet, initially scheduled for Tuesday, to Wednesday, to deliberate on a reaction to Iran's unprecedented direct attack.

Traders eagerly await the release of Japan's National Consumer Price Index (CPI) data by the Statistics Bureau of Japan on Friday. Market expectations point towards a moderation in Consumer Prices in March.

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price 154.59
Today Daily Change -0.13
Today Daily Change % -0.08
Today daily open 154.72
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 152.08
Daily SMA50 150.54
Daily SMA100 147.94
Daily SMA200 147.42
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 154.79
Previous Daily Low 153.9
Previous Weekly High 153.39
Previous Weekly Low 151.57
Previous Monthly High 151.97
Previous Monthly Low 146.48
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 154.45
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 154.24
Daily Pivot Point S1 154.15
Daily Pivot Point S2 153.58
Daily Pivot Point S3 153.27
Daily Pivot Point R1 155.04
Daily Pivot Point R2 155.36
Daily Pivot Point R3 155.93

 

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
US August CPI lands tonight: after a 5.4% PPI shock, will the Fed hike on September 16?US August PPI came in at 5.4% year-on-year, above the 5.3% consensus, with core PPI at 4.6%. Traders have pushed the odds of a 25bp Fed hike on September 15-16 to around 70%. Tonight's CPI is the last major inflation print before the decision — here is the full calendar, the consensus numbers, and what a hot versus cool reading would mean for the dollar, yields, gold and stocks.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 11, Fri
US August PPI came in at 5.4% year-on-year, above the 5.3% consensus, with core PPI at 4.6%. Traders have pushed the odds of a 25bp Fed hike on September 15-16 to around 70%. Tonight's CPI is the last major inflation print before the decision — here is the full calendar, the consensus numbers, and what a hot versus cool reading would mean for the dollar, yields, gold and stocks.
placeholder
Brent tests $108 as a key export pipeline stays shut — can the rally clear $110?Brent crude rose 2.55% to $106.97 and WTI 2.32% to $102.30 as a major regional export pipeline remained offline with no restart timeline. Front-month backwardation has widened to $5.53 from $3.84 a week ago, European gas is at its highest since December 2022, and one analyst sees $119.48 if talks stall.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 14, Mon
Brent crude rose 2.55% to $106.97 and WTI 2.32% to $102.30 as a major regional export pipeline remained offline with no restart timeline. Front-month backwardation has widened to $5.53 from $3.84 a week ago, European gas is at its highest since December 2022, and one analyst sees $119.48 if talks stall.
placeholder
Fed hike odds near 90% into Wednesday's decision — how to trade the dollar, gold and the S&P 500A 0.3% monthly core CPI print has lifted the market-implied probability of a 25bp Fed hike on 16 September to roughly 86.5% ~ 90%, which would be the first increase since July 2023. Here is the decision timeline, the pricing versus the forecasts, both scenarios, and the key levels for the dollar, gold and the S&P 500.
Author  Suzie
Sep 14, Mon
A 0.3% monthly core CPI print has lifted the market-implied probability of a 25bp Fed hike on 16 September to roughly 86.5% ~ 90%, which would be the first increase since July 2023. Here is the decision timeline, the pricing versus the forecasts, both scenarios, and the key levels for the dollar, gold and the S&P 500.
placeholder
Gold falls below $4,300 as higher US yields bolster Fed rate hike betsGold price (XAU/USD) tumbles to near $4,295 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The precious metal faces some selling pressure as rising bond yields and surging energy prices strengthen expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will raise interest rates this week. 
Author  FXStreet
Yesterday 01: 23
Gold price (XAU/USD) tumbles to near $4,295 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The precious metal faces some selling pressure as rising bond yields and surging energy prices strengthen expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will raise interest rates this week. 
placeholder
【Daily Brief】10-year Treasury yield briefly tops 5%, S&P 500 slips to 7,602 and the dollar firms at 99.3 as the Fed's decision eve beginsThe 10-year Treasury yield touched 5.014% on Monday — its first print above 5% since October 2023 — while the S&P 500 closed 0.48% lower at 7,619.98 and the dollar index firmed to 99.3. Here is the full market wrap ahead of Wednesday's FOMC decision, the dot plot and the August retail sales report, plus today's CLARITY Act Senate vote.
Author  Irene Q.
22 hours ago
The 10-year Treasury yield touched 5.014% on Monday — its first print above 5% since October 2023 — while the S&P 500 closed 0.48% lower at 7,619.98 and the dollar index firmed to 99.3. Here is the full market wrap ahead of Wednesday's FOMC decision, the dot plot and the August retail sales report, plus today's CLARITY Act Senate vote.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote