USD/CHF finds some support above 0.9100 amid the cautious mood, geopolitical tensions eyed

Source Fxstreet
  • USD/CHF edges lower to 0.9105 amid the softer USD on Wednesday. 
  • The uncertainties and escalating tensions in the Middle East might benefit the Swiss Franc (CHF). 
  • Fed’s Powell stated that monetary policy needs to be restrictive for longer, triggering the hope of delaying interest rate cuts. 

The USD/CHF pair faces some selling pressure to 0.9105 on Wednesday during the early European session. The downtick of the pair is supported by the decline of the US Dollar Index (DXY) to 106.20. Additionally, the ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to support the Swiss Franc (CHF), a traditional safe-haven currency. 

Late Tuesday, National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan said that new sanctions targeting Iran and sanctions against entities supporting the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and Iran's Defense Ministry will be imposed in the coming days. Sullivan added that these new measures will "continue a steady drumbeat of pressure" to contain and degrade Iran's military capacity and effectiveness and confront the full range of its problematic behaviors. Meanwhile, western leaders have urged Israel to exercise restraint against escalation. Market players will closely monitor the development surrounding Israel and Iran tensions. Any escalating tensions might boost safe-haven assets like CHF and create a headwind for the USD/CHF pair. 

On the other hand, strong US economic data and hawkish comments from the US central bank remain to support the Greenback for the time being. The Federal Reserve's Jerome Powell stated that the US economy has not seen inflation come back to the 2% target and that monetary policy needs to be restrictive for longer. These remarks further dampen investors' hopes for meaningful rate cuts this year and lift the USD against its rivals. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, financial markets have priced in 67% odds that the Fed will cut interest rates in September. 

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price 0.9102
Today Daily Change -0.0028
Today Daily Change % -0.31
Today daily open 0.913
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.9041
Daily SMA50 0.8901
Daily SMA100 0.8761
Daily SMA200 0.8827
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.9142
Previous Daily Low 0.9112
Previous Weekly High 0.9148
Previous Weekly Low 0.9012
Previous Monthly High 0.9072
Previous Monthly Low 0.873
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.9131
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.9123
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.9113
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.9097
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.9083
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.9144
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.9159
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.9175

 

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
The Fed will sit still on October 28 — but 100 of 100 economists now expect a December hikeA Reuters poll run October 16-20 found 94 of 100 economists expecting the Fed to hold at 3.75-4.00% on October 28 — and all 100 expecting a hike in December, against less than half a month earlier. The market is close to the same price, with CME FedWatch at roughly 17% for October and 82.8% for December. With the Fed in blackout since October 17, here are the five dates that decide the rest of the year, what each one is priced for, and the two directions each can take.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 22, Thu
A Reuters poll run October 16-20 found 94 of 100 economists expecting the Fed to hold at 3.75-4.00% on October 28 — and all 100 expecting a hike in December, against less than half a month earlier. The market is close to the same price, with CME FedWatch at roughly 17% for October and 82.8% for December. With the Fed in blackout since October 17, here are the five dates that decide the rest of the year, what each one is priced for, and the two directions each can take.
placeholder
Big Tech's $800 billion AI bill faces its first real test — free cash flow is the judgeAlphabet and Microsoft report after the close on October 28, Amazon on October 29, with hyperscaler AI capex running near $800 billion a year. Meta's negative free cash flow and 9.40% drop on October 22 was the warning; this week's prints decide whether cloud growth and backlog can pay for the buildout. Here are the consensus numbers, the free-cash-flow table and the two-sided test.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 26, Mon
Alphabet and Microsoft report after the close on October 28, Amazon on October 29, with hyperscaler AI capex running near $800 billion a year. Meta's negative free cash flow and 9.40% drop on October 22 was the warning; this week's prints decide whether cloud growth and backlog can pay for the buildout. Here are the consensus numbers, the free-cash-flow table and the two-sided test.
placeholder
Tesla jumps 5% as Barclays puts a $450 target on the SpaceX merger — the chart was already pointing to 431Tesla closed at $391.62 on October 26, up 5.21%, after Barclays upgraded the stock to Overweight and lifted its target to $450 from $370, citing a sharp inflection in Robotaxi miles and a potential SpaceX merger. The move also completed a double bottom at $345.88 and $349.33, with a neckline at $388.56 and a measured target of $431.24. Here is what the upgrade actually says, why the chart and the analyst now point the same way, and what would break the target.
Author  Irene Q.
Yesterday 05: 30
Tesla closed at $391.62 on October 26, up 5.21%, after Barclays upgraded the stock to Overweight and lifted its target to $450 from $370, citing a sharp inflection in Robotaxi miles and a potential SpaceX merger. The move also completed a double bottom at $345.88 and $349.33, with a neckline at $388.56 and a measured target of $431.24. Here is what the upgrade actually says, why the chart and the analyst now point the same way, and what would break the target.
placeholder
Anthropic files for a $2 trillion IPO — the $80.7 billion loss is the decoy, the $450 billion compute bill is the riskAnthropic publicly filed its S-1 on October 26, revealing $16.29 billion of first-half revenue (+1,304% year over year) and a $80.7 billion net loss — of which $72.4 billion is a non-cash convertible-note charge. The real number is the $450 billion of signed, mostly non-cancelable compute commitments. Here is what the filing says, why NVDA, ARM and MU are the tradeable read-through, and the conditions that decide whether the AI trade passes its first public valuation test.
Author  Irene Q.
Yesterday 06: 02
Anthropic publicly filed its S-1 on October 26, revealing $16.29 billion of first-half revenue (+1,304% year over year) and a $80.7 billion net loss — of which $72.4 billion is a non-cash convertible-note charge. The real number is the $450 billion of signed, mostly non-cancelable compute commitments. Here is what the filing says, why NVDA, ARM and MU are the tradeable read-through, and the conditions that decide whether the AI trade passes its first public valuation test.
placeholder
Fed October Rate Decision Preview: Rate Hike Pause Has Become Consensus, How Will US Stocks, Dollar, and Gold React?The Federal Reserve will announce its October interest rate decision at 14:00 Eastern Time on October 28, and Fed Chair Warsh will hold a press conference at 14:30. Markets currently wide
Author  TradingKey
Yesterday 10: 21
The Federal Reserve will announce its October interest rate decision at 14:00 Eastern Time on October 28, and Fed Chair Warsh will hold a press conference at 14:30. Markets currently wide
Related Instrument
goTop
quote