EUR/USD extends its downside below 1.0630, focus on ECB’s Lagarde speech

Source Fxstreet
  • EUR/USD remains on the defensive around 1.0615 in Wednesday’s early Asian session. 
  • Fed’s Powell said it's appropriate to allow restrictive policy to continue to work, given the strength of the labor market. 
  • ECB’s Lagarde noted the central bank remains on course to cut rates in the near term, subject to any major shocks.

The EUR/USD pair extends its downside near 1.0620, bouncing off the Year-To-Date (YTD) low of 1.0600 during the early Asian session on Wednesday. However, the hawkish comments from the Federal Reserve (Fed) officials and the safe-haven flows might boost the US Dollar (USD) and cap the upside of EUR/USD in the near term. 

On Tuesday, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said that the US economy's performance has been quite robust. Powell further stated that recent data indicates a lack of significant progress on inflation this year and it will take "longer than expected" to achieve the confidence that inflation will get down to the 2% target. A hawkish tilt by Fed’s Powell provides some support to the Greenback and drags the EUR/USD pair lower. 

About the data, Housing Starts in the US fell 14.7% in March to 1.32 million units from the previous reading of a 12.7% increase (revised from 10.7%). The US Building Permits dropped 4.3% from a rising 2.3% (revised from 1.9%) in February. Finally, Industrial Production rose 0.4% MoM in March, compared to the 0.4% increase recorded in February, in line with market expectation.

Across the pond, there is growing speculation that the European Central Bank (ECB) will start lowering interest rates in June due to a weak Eurozone economic outlook and cooling core inflationary pressures. ECB President Christine Lagarde said on Tuesday that the central bank remains on course to cut interest rates in the near term, subject to any major shocks. Lagarde added that the ECB will closely monitor oil prices amid the rising tensions in the Middle East. Later on Wednesday, the Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) for March will be due. Also, the ECB’s Cipollone, Schnabel and President Lagarde are set to speak. 

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price 1.0618
Today Daily Change -0.0001
Today Daily Change % -0.01
Today daily open 1.0619
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.0788
Daily SMA50 1.0818
Daily SMA100 1.086
Daily SMA200 1.0826
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.0654
Previous Daily Low 1.0601
Previous Weekly High 1.0885
Previous Weekly Low 1.0622
Previous Monthly High 1.0981
Previous Monthly Low 1.0768
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.0621
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.0634
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.0595
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.0572
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.0543
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.0648
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.0677
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.07

 

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Tesla jumps 5% as Barclays puts a $450 target on the SpaceX merger — the chart was already pointing to 431Tesla closed at $391.62 on October 26, up 5.21%, after Barclays upgraded the stock to Overweight and lifted its target to $450 from $370, citing a sharp inflection in Robotaxi miles and a potential SpaceX merger. The move also completed a double bottom at $345.88 and $349.33, with a neckline at $388.56 and a measured target of $431.24. Here is what the upgrade actually says, why the chart and the analyst now point the same way, and what would break the target.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 27, Tue
Tesla closed at $391.62 on October 26, up 5.21%, after Barclays upgraded the stock to Overweight and lifted its target to $450 from $370, citing a sharp inflection in Robotaxi miles and a potential SpaceX merger. The move also completed a double bottom at $345.88 and $349.33, with a neckline at $388.56 and a measured target of $431.24. Here is what the upgrade actually says, why the chart and the analyst now point the same way, and what would break the target.
placeholder
Gold Price Analysis Today | Forex Gold Analysis | XAU/USD Analysis - October 30, 2026Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for October 30, 2026. Read on for the details.
Author  Mitrade
Oct 30, Fri
Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for October 30, 2026. Read on for the details.
placeholder
Gold Price Analysis Today | Forex Gold Analysis | XAU/USD Analysis - November 2, 2026Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for November 2, 2026. Read on for the details.
Author  Mitrade
4 hours ago
Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for November 2, 2026. Read on for the details.
placeholder
Binance replaced 95% of a $6.3bn hole — Bitcoin is trading the plumbing, not the coinBinance resumed withdrawals on November 1 after a record $6.3bn theft. In the first 9.5 hours, users withdrew $4.64bn and deposited $1.01bn, a net outflow of $3.64bn, or 2.1% of assets. Bitcoin fell to 76,173 and is now 78,473. The market is pricing the exchange, not the supply.
Author  Suzie
4 hours ago
Binance resumed withdrawals on November 1 after a record $6.3bn theft. In the first 9.5 hours, users withdrew $4.64bn and deposited $1.01bn, a net outflow of $3.64bn, or 2.1% of assets. Bitcoin fell to 76,173 and is now 78,473. The market is pricing the exchange, not the supply.
placeholder
Brent slips to $111 as a two-day Hormuz plan lands — the supply-risk premium is the only thing being soldBrent fell 1.95% to $111.20 and WTI to $101.92 after Iran's foreign minister said a Qatar-brokered plan could reopen the Strait of Hormuz in two days. Two tankers were still reported hit by mines. The move is a premium unwind, not a supply change.
Author  Irene Q.
3 hours ago
Brent fell 1.95% to $111.20 and WTI to $101.92 after Iran's foreign minister said a Qatar-brokered plan could reopen the Strait of Hormuz in two days. Two tankers were still reported hit by mines. The move is a premium unwind, not a supply change.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote