EUR/USD extends its downside below 1.0630, focus on ECB’s Lagarde speech

Source Fxstreet
  • EUR/USD remains on the defensive around 1.0615 in Wednesday’s early Asian session. 
  • Fed’s Powell said it's appropriate to allow restrictive policy to continue to work, given the strength of the labor market. 
  • ECB’s Lagarde noted the central bank remains on course to cut rates in the near term, subject to any major shocks.

The EUR/USD pair extends its downside near 1.0620, bouncing off the Year-To-Date (YTD) low of 1.0600 during the early Asian session on Wednesday. However, the hawkish comments from the Federal Reserve (Fed) officials and the safe-haven flows might boost the US Dollar (USD) and cap the upside of EUR/USD in the near term. 

On Tuesday, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said that the US economy's performance has been quite robust. Powell further stated that recent data indicates a lack of significant progress on inflation this year and it will take "longer than expected" to achieve the confidence that inflation will get down to the 2% target. A hawkish tilt by Fed’s Powell provides some support to the Greenback and drags the EUR/USD pair lower. 

About the data, Housing Starts in the US fell 14.7% in March to 1.32 million units from the previous reading of a 12.7% increase (revised from 10.7%). The US Building Permits dropped 4.3% from a rising 2.3% (revised from 1.9%) in February. Finally, Industrial Production rose 0.4% MoM in March, compared to the 0.4% increase recorded in February, in line with market expectation.

Across the pond, there is growing speculation that the European Central Bank (ECB) will start lowering interest rates in June due to a weak Eurozone economic outlook and cooling core inflationary pressures. ECB President Christine Lagarde said on Tuesday that the central bank remains on course to cut interest rates in the near term, subject to any major shocks. Lagarde added that the ECB will closely monitor oil prices amid the rising tensions in the Middle East. Later on Wednesday, the Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) for March will be due. Also, the ECB’s Cipollone, Schnabel and President Lagarde are set to speak. 

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price 1.0618
Today Daily Change -0.0001
Today Daily Change % -0.01
Today daily open 1.0619
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.0788
Daily SMA50 1.0818
Daily SMA100 1.086
Daily SMA200 1.0826
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.0654
Previous Daily Low 1.0601
Previous Weekly High 1.0885
Previous Weekly Low 1.0622
Previous Monthly High 1.0981
Previous Monthly Low 1.0768
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.0621
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.0634
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.0595
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.0572
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.0543
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.0648
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.0677
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.07

 

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
2025 Black Friday is coming! Which stocks may see volatility?Coming on the day right after Thanksgiving in the United States, Back Friday marks the start of the holiday shopping season. Sales data from this shopping frenzy day reflects investor confidence and consumer trends. The National Retail Federation (NRF) predicts that holiday season (Nov and Dec) retail sales in 2025 will likely exceed $1 trillion for the very first time, which represents a year-over-year increase of 3.7 to 4.2 percent. Historic data from the past decade show that the retail sector has generally outperformed the S&P 500 during the weeks before and after Black Friday. The following retailing companies are expected to be big winners:
Author  Insights
Nov 24, Mon
Coming on the day right after Thanksgiving in the United States, Back Friday marks the start of the holiday shopping season. Sales data from this shopping frenzy day reflects investor confidence and consumer trends. The National Retail Federation (NRF) predicts that holiday season (Nov and Dec) retail sales in 2025 will likely exceed $1 trillion for the very first time, which represents a year-over-year increase of 3.7 to 4.2 percent. Historic data from the past decade show that the retail sector has generally outperformed the S&P 500 during the weeks before and after Black Friday. The following retailing companies are expected to be big winners:
placeholder
Bitcoin Bleeds to $86K, But This Key Indicator Screams "The Top Isn't In"Bitcoin’s adjusted Spent Output Profit Ratio (aSOPR) has spent nearly two years coiling below the extremes seen at past bull-market peaks, even as BTC trades around $86,300 and down 9% on the week — a setup that leaves open the possibility that this cycle’s true top may still lie ahead.
Author  Mitrade
Nov 25, Tue
Bitcoin’s adjusted Spent Output Profit Ratio (aSOPR) has spent nearly two years coiling below the extremes seen at past bull-market peaks, even as BTC trades around $86,300 and down 9% on the week — a setup that leaves open the possibility that this cycle’s true top may still lie ahead.
placeholder
Bitcoin Price Rebound Gains Traction with $90K Break in SightBitcoin is trading above $87,000 and its 100-hour SMA after rebounding from $83,500, with a bearish trend line at $88,200 and resistance at $89,000–$90,000 now in focus as BTC either breaks higher toward $91,750–$94,000 or slips back toward $86,700, $85,000 and lower supports.
Author  Mitrade
Yesterday 02: 58
Bitcoin is trading above $87,000 and its 100-hour SMA after rebounding from $83,500, with a bearish trend line at $88,200 and resistance at $89,000–$90,000 now in focus as BTC either breaks higher toward $91,750–$94,000 or slips back toward $86,700, $85,000 and lower supports.
placeholder
Bitcoin Targets $89K Breakout as S&P 500 Nears ATH on Fed Rate Cut HopesBitcoin price action shows signs of a potential short squeeze as it hovers near $88,000, with analysts watching liquidity dynamics that could push it toward $89,000 or retrace to $85,000.
Author  Mitrade
11 hours ago
Bitcoin price action shows signs of a potential short squeeze as it hovers near $88,000, with analysts watching liquidity dynamics that could push it toward $89,000 or retrace to $85,000.
placeholder
Ethereum Reclaims $3K Handle—Is a Breakout Imminent?Ethereum has jumped back above $3,000 and reclaimed key Fib levels, with a bullish trend line at $2,880 and strong MACD/RSI readings putting a breakout above $3,120–$3,165 — and a possible run toward $3,320–$3,350 — on the table, as long as support around $2,980–$2,920 holds.
Author  Mitrade
11 hours ago
Ethereum has jumped back above $3,000 and reclaimed key Fib levels, with a bullish trend line at $2,880 and strong MACD/RSI readings putting a breakout above $3,120–$3,165 — and a possible run toward $3,320–$3,350 — on the table, as long as support around $2,980–$2,920 holds.
goTop
quote