USD/JPY seen easing to 140.00 in H2 – Scotiabank

Source Fxstreet

The Japanese Yen (JPY) continues to languish. Economists at Scotiabank analyze USD/JPY outlook.

A rapid move higher in the JPY is possible

We forecast USD/JPY easing to 140.00 in H2. This is predicated primarily on the USD responding negatively to easier Fed monetary policy. 

The onerous carry makes long JPY positions prohibitive unless market participants feel the JPY is poised to rally strongly and in quick order. 

A rapid move higher in the JPY is possible – but perhaps only once traders are convinced that a Fed policy pivot is imminent.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Gold rebounds above $4,350 as US Dollar, Treasury yields slipGold price (XAU/USD) rebounds from a nearly one-month low to around $4,385 during the early Asian session on Thursday. The precious metal edges higher as the ‌US Dollar (USD) and Treasury yields retreat from recent highs.
Author  FXStreet
Sep 03, Thu
Gold price (XAU/USD) rebounds from a nearly one-month low to around $4,385 during the early Asian session on Thursday. The precious metal edges higher as the ‌US Dollar (USD) and Treasury yields retreat from recent highs.
placeholder
Gold rebounds above $4,450 as Waller tempers Fed rate hike bets ahead US jobs dataGold price (XAU/USD) gains momentum to around $4,470 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal extended its recovery as Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike bets ease. All eyes will be on the US August Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, which is due later on Friday. 
Author  FXStreet
Sep 04, Fri
Gold price (XAU/USD) gains momentum to around $4,470 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal extended its recovery as Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike bets ease. All eyes will be on the US August Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, which is due later on Friday. 
placeholder
Hot August jobs report reignites Fed-hike bets; S&P 500 slips below 7,700 — what to watch before the September FOMCAugust nonfarm payrolls surged to 162,000, three times the consensus, pushing CME FedWatch odds of a September 25-bp hike to 58.4% and dragging the S&P 500 below 7,700. CPI, PPI and the Sept 15-16 FOMC decision now set the tone for US stocks.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 07, Mon
August nonfarm payrolls surged to 162,000, three times the consensus, pushing CME FedWatch odds of a September 25-bp hike to 58.4% and dragging the S&P 500 below 7,700. CPI, PPI and the Sept 15-16 FOMC decision now set the tone for US stocks.
placeholder
AUD/USD climbs for a fourth day to 0.7218 as Fed-hike bets fail to lift the dollar; RBA speakers and US CPI now in focusThe Australian dollar has risen for four straight sessions toward 0.72 even after August nonfarm payrolls far exceeded expectations and pushed September Fed-hike odds to 58.4%. A thin, holiday-thinned dollar is the short-term driver; Westpac confidence and RBA speakers today, US PPI/CPI this week and the Sept 15-16 FOMC will decide whether the rally holds.
Author  Irene Q.
Yesterday 07: 08
The Australian dollar has risen for four straight sessions toward 0.72 even after August nonfarm payrolls far exceeded expectations and pushed September Fed-hike odds to 58.4%. A thin, holiday-thinned dollar is the short-term driver; Westpac confidence and RBA speakers today, US PPI/CPI this week and the Sept 15-16 FOMC will decide whether the rally holds.
placeholder
Gold slumps to near $4,350 amid oil-driven inflation fears, US inflation data in focusGold price (XAU/USD) falls to near $4,350 during the early Asian session on Wednesday. The precious metal faces some selling pressure as rising oil prices fueled inflation ‌concerns and boosted expectations for a rate hike by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in September.
Author  FXStreet
6 hours ago
Gold price (XAU/USD) falls to near $4,350 during the early Asian session on Wednesday. The precious metal faces some selling pressure as rising oil prices fueled inflation ‌concerns and boosted expectations for a rate hike by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in September.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote