Futures muted, Apple's iPhone 16 launch, Oracle results - what's moving markets

Source Investing

Investing.com -- US stock futures were muted on Tuesday, with traders gearing up for major US inflation data later in the week and attempting to assess the outlook for Federal Reserve monetary policy. Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) unveils its latest artificial intelligence-enhanced iPhone, while Oracle's (NYSE:ORCL) first-quarter earnings top estimates, sending shares in the cloud company sharply higher prior to the opening bell.

1. Futures muted

US stock futures mostly hovered around the flatline on Tuesday, suggesting a reversal from gains posted on Wall Street in the prior session, as investors eyed an upcoming inflation report and potential Federal Reserve interest rate cuts.

By 03:42 ET (07:42 GMT), the Dow futures contract and S&P 500 futures were broadly unchanged, and Nasdaq 100 futures had shed 33 points or 0.2%.

The main averages rose on Monday, with traders hunting for bargains after a sell-off in the previous week fueled in part by a weaker-than-anticipated August jobs report and sluggish manufacturing data.

Markets are attempting to gauge the outlook for Fed monetary policy in the wake of the figures, with a cut to borrowing costs at the central bank's meeting on Sept. 17-18 now all but guaranteed. However, it remains uncertain if policymakers will roll out a 25-basis point or 50-basis point reduction. More clarity could come on Wednesday, when the latest US consumer price index -- a key measure of inflation -- is set to be released.

In individual stocks, Boeing (NYSE:BA) shares climbed after the embattled planemaker reached a tentative labor deal with its largest union, while Palantir (NYSE:PLTR) and Dell Technologies (NYSE:DELL) both jumped after it was announced that both firms will be joining the benchmark S&P 500 index on Sept. 23.

2. Apple unveils AI-enhanced iPhone 16

Shares in Apple were mostly unchanged in extended hours trading after the tech giant revealed the latest iterations of its flagship iPhone on Monday, with analysts stating that the new, artificial intelligence-powered features lacked any big surprises.

The Cupertino-based group announced a slew of enhancements in its iPhone 16, including improvements to its Siri voice assistant and a range of smart camera customizations aimed at professional video editing.

Analysts said the new iPhones and AI features were largely in line with expectations set by Apple’s earlier reveal of its plans for a push into AI, called “Apple Intelligence.” But some analysts warned that the new features will be released gradually, possibly detering immediate buyers, especially amid tough competition from rivals such as Samsung (KS:005930) and Huawei.

Apple is banking on the iPhone 16, which is due to go on sale on Sept. 20 with pre-orders available this Friday, to help reinvigorate flagging sales of the device.

3. Oracle tops quarterly forecasts

Shares in Oracle rose sharply in after-hours trading after the group reported better-than-expected fiscal first-quarter results, driven by strong demand for its cloud business.

The Texas-based cloud services company also said it signed a partnership with Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) Web Services that will allow customers to access Oracle Autonomous Database and Oracle Exadata Database Service within AWS.

Oracle posted adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.39 on revenue of $13.3 billion in the three months ended on Aug. 31. Analysts polled by Investing.com had anticipated EPS of $1.33 on revenue of $13.23 billion.

Total remaining performance obligation, a key measure of booked revenue, came in at $99 billion, up 53% compared to the year-ago period.

For its second quarter, the company projected revenue growth of 8% to 10%, topping analysts' estimates of 8.72% at the midpoint, according to LSEG data cited by Reuters.

4. Chinese exports grow by more than expected in August

Exports from China increased by more than anticipated in August, potentially indicating that companies are ramping up orders prior to tariffs expected from a number of trading partners.

The country's outbound shipments grew 8.7% year-on-year, above expectations of 6.5% and accelerating from a 7% rise seen in July, according to government data. It was the fastest rate since March 2023.

However, imports expanded by 0.5%, missing estimates of 2% and slowing from 7.2% in July, suggesting that domestic demand remains sluggish in the world's second-biggest economy.

The numbers suggest that firms may be attempting to lock in orders early due to signs that China could be facing mounting foreign tariffs. Analysts at Capital Economics said in a note that exports are "likely to remain strong in the coming months" as "more barriers against Chinese goods are being erected."

5. Oil dips

Oil prices inched lower in European trade on Tuesday as concerns over weak domestic demand in China outweighed the possible impact of Tropical Storm Francine on US oil production.

Brent oil futures expiring in November were down 0.4% at $71.53 a barrel, while West Texas Intermediate crude futures had dipped by 0.4% to $67.61 per barrel by 03:33 ET. Both benchmarks settled higher on Monday.

A slew of oil companies, including Exxon Mobil (NYSE:XOM), Shell (LON:SHEL) and Chevron (NYSE:CVX), are moving to halt production and refining activities in the Gulf of Mexico due to Tropical Storm Francine. The storm is expected to strengthen in the coming days, according to the National Hurricane Center.

But sentiment has been dented by a string of weak economic readings from China, which have drummed up fears over tepid growth in the world's top oil importer.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Fed hike odds near 90% into Wednesday's decision — how to trade the dollar, gold and the S&P 500A 0.3% monthly core CPI print has lifted the market-implied probability of a 25bp Fed hike on 16 September to roughly 86.5% ~ 90%, which would be the first increase since July 2023. Here is the decision timeline, the pricing versus the forecasts, both scenarios, and the key levels for the dollar, gold and the S&P 500.
Author  Suzie
Sep 14, Mon
A 0.3% monthly core CPI print has lifted the market-implied probability of a 25bp Fed hike on 16 September to roughly 86.5% ~ 90%, which would be the first increase since July 2023. Here is the decision timeline, the pricing versus the forecasts, both scenarios, and the key levels for the dollar, gold and the S&P 500.
placeholder
Dow drops 631 points as the Fed hikes — but futures are rebounding: what's next for US stocks?The Dow fell 631 points and the S&P 500 closed below 7,600 after the Fed hiked rates for the first time since 2023, with the dot plot showing 16 of 18 officials expect more tightening. Asia-session futures are already recovering — here are the levels and analyst views that decide whether 7,500 holds.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 17, Thu
The Dow fell 631 points and the S&P 500 closed below 7,600 after the Fed hiked rates for the first time since 2023, with the dot plot showing 16 of 18 officials expect more tightening. Asia-session futures are already recovering — here are the levels and analyst views that decide whether 7,500 holds.
placeholder
Dollar index tops 100 for the first time since July as the Fed's hawkish dot plot sinks inThe U.S. dollar index broke back above 100 for the first time since 31 July after the Fed delivered its first rate hike since 2023, with the dot plot showing 16 of 18 officials expect at least one more increase this year. Here are the levels that matter for DXY, the currencies feeling it most, and what to watch next.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 17, Thu
The U.S. dollar index broke back above 100 for the first time since 31 July after the Fed delivered its first rate hike since 2023, with the dot plot showing 16 of 18 officials expect at least one more increase this year. Here are the levels that matter for DXY, the currencies feeling it most, and what to watch next.
placeholder
Gold rebounds to near $4,350 on weaker US Dollar, falling oil pricesGold price (XAU/USD) rises to near $4,345 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal rebounds from a six-week low amid falling oil prices and a weaker US Dollar (USD). Traders continue to assess the latest Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike and policy cues.
Author  FXStreet
Sep 18, Fri
Gold price (XAU/USD) rises to near $4,345 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal rebounds from a six-week low amid falling oil prices and a weaker US Dollar (USD). Traders continue to assess the latest Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike and policy cues.
placeholder
US to delay new "overcapacity" tariffs on China — what the pause means for trade, inflation and the dollarWashington is expected to hold off announcing new tariffs over Chinese "overcapacity" until after the 24 September summit, according to Bloomberg. The postponed plan would have added 7.5% to Chinese goods, taking second-term US tariffs to around 20%. Here is what is on the table, and what a deal versus no deal would mean for the yuan, Hong Kong equities and the dollar.
Author  Mitrade
Sep 18, Fri
Washington is expected to hold off announcing new tariffs over Chinese "overcapacity" until after the 24 September summit, according to Bloomberg. The postponed plan would have added 7.5% to Chinese goods, taking second-term US tariffs to around 20%. Here is what is on the table, and what a deal versus no deal would mean for the yuan, Hong Kong equities and the dollar.
goTop
quote