Gold price remains on the defensive ahead of US GDP data

Mitrade
coverImg
Source: DepositPhotos

■  Gold price loses traction in Thursday’s Asian session. 

■  The downtick of yellow metal is backed by the stronger USD and higher US yields.

■  Gold traders await the US Q1 GDP data for fresh impetus and monitor the Middle East geopolitical risks. 


Gold price (XAU/USD) trades in negative territory on Thursday, supported by the firmer US Dollar (USD) and higher US yields. The diminishing expectation of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) rate cut in September exerts some selling pressure on the precious metal as it will increase gold's opportunity costs. 

Investors will monitor the second estimate of the US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for Q1 2024 on Thursday. In the event that the US economy shows a stronger-than-expected reading, this might further lift the USD and weigh on the USD-denominated gold price. Nonetheless, the ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East might boost traditional safe-haven assets like gold. Also, the rising demand from the central bank might cap the downside for yellow metal in the near term. 


Daily Digest Market Movers: Gold price remains vulnerable amid stronger US data


The Israeli military said on Wednesday that it established “operational control” over the Philadelphi Corridor, a 14-kilometer (8.7 miles) strip of land along the border between Gaza and Egypt, per CNN. 


Global physically-backed gold Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) witnessed a net outflow of 11.3 metric tonnes last week, according to the World Gold Council. 


Fed Atlanta President Bostic said on Thursday that the breadth of price gains is still significant, but less inflation breadth would add to confidence for a rate cut. 


Economic activity continued to expand in the US and prices increased modestly from early April to mid-May. Overall outlooks were more pessimistic amid reports of rising uncertainty and greater downside risks, according to the Fed's Beige Book released Wednesday. 


Markets are pricing in a 50% chance that the Fed will hold interest rates in September, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.


The US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) number is estimated to expand at a 1.3% annual pace in the first quarter of 2024.  


Technical analysis: Gold price keeps the bullish vibe in the long term


The gold price trades with negative bias on the day. According to the 1-hour chart, the precious metal stays bullish above the key 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). However, the further consolidation or directionlessness of the yellow metal cannot be ruled out as the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovers around the 50-midline, indicating a neutral level between bullish and bearish positions. 

Extended gains above the upper boundary of the Bollinger Band at  $2,425 might visit the all-time high of $2,450. An upside breakout above the mentioned level will pave the way to the $2,500 psychological mark. 

On the downside, the first downside target of XAU/USD is located at a low of May 24 at $2,325. The potential support level will emerge at the $2,300 figure. A breach of this level will see a drop to the lower limit of the Bollinger Band at $2,284, followed by the 100-day EMA of $2,227. 

Read more

  • Gold Price Forecast: Gold Rebounds Above $4,200, Can Falling Oil Prices Drive Another Rally?
  • Gold posts first weekly gain in three weeks — can $4,200 hold through CPI?
  • * The content presented above, whether from a third party or not, is considered as general advice only.  This article should not be construed as containing investment advice, investment recommendations, an offer of or solicitation for any transactions in financial instruments.

    goTop
    quote
    Related Articles
    placeholder
    Gold posts first weekly gain in three weeks — can $4,200 hold through CPI?Spot gold closed at $4,194.645, up 1.47% — its first weekly gain in three weeks — and COMEX futures settled back above $4,200 at $4,220.30. Here are the drivers, the levels and the scenarios into Wednesday's CPI.
    Author  Irene Q.
    Oct 10, Sat
    Spot gold closed at $4,194.645, up 1.47% — its first weekly gain in three weeks — and COMEX futures settled back above $4,200 at $4,220.30. Here are the drivers, the levels and the scenarios into Wednesday's CPI.
    placeholder
    Gold Price Forecast: Gold Rebounds Above $4,200, Can Falling Oil Prices Drive Another Rally?As of Friday (October 9), gold prices (XAUUSD) rebounded noticeably after consecutive declines. During today's Asian session, gold prices briefly rebounded above $4,200, reaching an intra
    Author  TradingKey
    Oct 09, Fri
    As of Friday (October 9), gold prices (XAUUSD) rebounded noticeably after consecutive declines. During today's Asian session, gold prices briefly rebounded above $4,200, reaching an intra
    placeholder
    【Daily Brief】Gold rebounds 1% off a two-month low, Nasdaq drops 1.25% and yields ease — the storm premium keeps WTI near $91Gold trades at $4,174 after rebounding from Wednesday's $4,090 two-month low, the Nasdaq fell 1.25% while the Dow edged higher, and the 10-year Treasury eased to 5.23% from the week's highs. Hurricane Isaias keeps about 25% of Gulf output shut in with WTI near $91, and bitcoin holds below $82,000. The next scheduled tests are the EIA report on 15 October and the FOMC on 27-28 October.
    Author  Irene Q.
    Oct 09, Fri
    Gold trades at $4,174 after rebounding from Wednesday's $4,090 two-month low, the Nasdaq fell 1.25% while the Dow edged higher, and the 10-year Treasury eased to 5.23% from the week's highs. Hurricane Isaias keeps about 25% of Gulf output shut in with WTI near $91, and bitcoin holds below $82,000. The next scheduled tests are the EIA report on 15 October and the FOMC on 27-28 October.
    placeholder
    Gold falls to a two-month low as real yields bite — can $4,000 hold?Gold hit a two-month low on 7 October, with spot touching roughly $4,090 and COMEX December futures closing at $4,140.70, even as the New York Fed's one-year inflation expectation rose to 3.9% — its highest since May 2023. The paradox resolves through real yields: the 30-year Treasury yield reached 5.732% intraday, its highest since 2002. Here are the levels, the institutional split, and the scenarios into tonight's jobless claims and 30-year auction.
    Author  Irene Q.
    Oct 08, Thu
    Gold hit a two-month low on 7 October, with spot touching roughly $4,090 and COMEX December futures closing at $4,140.70, even as the New York Fed's one-year inflation expectation rose to 3.9% — its highest since May 2023. The paradox resolves through real yields: the 30-year Treasury yield reached 5.732% intraday, its highest since 2002. Here are the levels, the institutional split, and the scenarios into tonight's jobless claims and 30-year auction.
    placeholder
    Gold Price Forecast: Gold Drops Below $4,100, Could Test $4,000 in Short TermAs of the Asian session on October 8, gold prices (XAUUSD) maintained a weak rebound trend today, with the latest price trading around $4,120; yesterday, gold prices briefly fell below $4
    Author  TradingKey
    Oct 08, Thu
    As of the Asian session on October 8, gold prices (XAUUSD) maintained a weak rebound trend today, with the latest price trading around $4,120; yesterday, gold prices briefly fell below $4
    Live Quotes
    Name / SymbolChart% Change / Price
    XAUUSD
    XAUUSD
    0.00%0.00
    USDOLLAR-F
    USDOLLAR-F
    0.00%0.00

    Gold Related Articles

    • 10 Best Day Trading Platforms for Beginners and Active Traders in 2026: A Practical Guide
    • What is Gold CFD? How to Trade Gold CFD With Mitrade Example
    • ​5 Best Paper Trading Platforms for 2026 (Free Demo Accounts for Beginners & Traders)
    • XAU/USD Gold Price Trend Analysis 2026: Will It Keep Rising?
    • Is Mitrade Right for You? A Complete Guide on How to Start Trading CFDs in 5 Steps
    • How and Where to Buy Gold in Australia? A Complete Guide for Beginners

    Click to view more