Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD corrects further to near $35.50 despite escalating Middle East woes

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  • Silver price retraces sharply from its over-decade high of $36.90 despite Israel-Iran tensions.

  • Washington prepares to send letters to its trading partners stating trade proposals as the tariff deadline approaches.

  • Silver price fails to capitalize on weak US Dollar.

Silver price (XAG/USD) extends its correction for the third trading day, slides almost 1.5% to near $35.50 during European trading hours on Thursday. The white metal retraces after failing to extend its over-decade high of $36.90 posted on Monday. The asset faces a sharp selling pressure even though tensions in the Middle East have escalated.

According to officials in the United States (US) and Europe, Israel appears to be preparing to launch an attack soon on Iran, The New York Times reported. Meanwhile, Washington has announced that it is scaling back the number of personnel from the Middle East as the tensions between Israel and Iran escalate.

Theoretically, geopolitical tensions increase demand for safe-haven assets, such as Silver.

Meanwhile, increasing uncertainty surrounding the US’s tariff policy has kept the US Dollar (USD) on the backfoot. The White House stated on Wednesday that it is prepared to send a final trade agreement, including tariff rates, to those trading partners from whom Washington has not received any proposal or those who are not negotiating in good faith.

“At a certain point we’re just going to send letters out saying ‘this is the deal,’ you can take it or you can leave it,” Trump wrote in a post on Truth.Social and added, “We’re going to be sending letters out in a week and a half to two weeks telling them what the deal is.”

Technically, lower US Dollar makes the Silver price a value bet for investors.

Silver technical analysis

Silver price rally pauses after posting a fresh over-a-decade high around $36.90. However, the near-term outlook of the white metal remains bullish as the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) slopes higher, which is currently around $34.63.

The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) retraces to near 60.00 after turning overbought. The odds are in favor that the RSI will resume the upside, assuming that the near-term trend is bullish.

Looking up, the psychological level of $40.00 will be the major resistance for the Silver price. On the downside, the October 22 high of $34.87 will act as key support for the asset.

Silver daily chart

* The content presented above, whether from a third party or not, is considered as general advice only.  This article should not be construed as containing investment advice, investment recommendations, an offer of or solicitation for any transactions in financial instruments.

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