A narrower 0.5865/0.5985 range is likely enough to contain the price movements for now, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
24-HOUR VIEW: "In the early Asian session yesterday, we indicated that 'the current price movements are likely part of a range trading phase between 0.5910 and 0.5960.' However, instead of trading in a range, NZD fell to 0.5895, closing at 0.5898 (-0.70%). The increase in downward momentum is not enough to indicate a sustained decline. Instead, it is more likely to lead to a lower range of 0.5885/0.5925. To put it another way, any decline is unlikely to break clearly below 0.5885."
1-3 WEEKS VIEW: "We have expected NZD to trade in a range since the middle of last week. Yesterday (22 May, spot at 0.5935), we highlighted that 'While the price action over the past couple of days provides no fresh clues, a narrower 0.5865/0.5985 range is likely enough to contain the price movements for now.' There is no change in our view. Looking ahead, should NZD break clearly below 0.5865, it could trigger a decline."