Ripple Price Forecast: XRP rebounds as Trump suspends attacks on Iranian energy infrastructure

출처 Fxstreet
  • XRP rises above $1.42 from the daily low of $1.36 as Trump’s order to stop attacks on Iran’s power plants and energy infrastructure lifts sentiment.
  • Interest in XRP ETFs returns mildly, attracting $1.98 million in inflows on Friday.
  • XRP bulls eye a higher, robust support as momentum indicators suggest indecision among traders.

Ripple (XRP) is testing its rebound strength, rising by nearly 3% on Monday to $1.42. The upswing from the daily low of $1.36 follows United States (US) President Donald Trump’s order to the Department of War to suspend planned attacks on Iran’s energy infrastructure amid ongoing talks between the nations.

XRP tests recovery potential as Trump delays strikes on Iran

President Trump has directed the Department of War to suspend attacks on Iran’s power plants and energy infrastructure, citing productive talks between the two nations. Trump said that discussions will continue throughout the week, aiming at resolving hostilities in the Middle East.

“The United States and Iran have had productive discussions over the past two days toward fully resolving hostilities in the Middle East. As talks continue this week, I’ve ordered a five-day pause on any military strikes against Iranian energy infrastructure, contingent on progress,” Trump wrote on Truth Social.

Crypto prices generally rebounded following Trump’s directive, with XRP rising above $1.42. As reported, sentiment had deteriorated over the weekend as Trump warned that the US would strike Iranian power plants and energy infrastructure unless the chokehold on the Strait of Hormuz is removed.

In its quest to retaliate against the US and Israel’s attacks, Iran has restricted passage through the Strait of Hormuz and attacked energy and Oil facilities across Gulf countries. As a result, Oil prices skyrocketed past $100, putting the global economy at risk of higher inflation. The price of Oil has adjusted to $88 post Trump’s directive.

WTI Oil price chart

XRP ETF inflows mildly return

US-listed XRP spot Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) attracted minor inflows of $1.98 million on Friday following two days of muted activity. CoinGlass data shows a minor positive turnaround, with weekly inflows averaging $635,000 through Friday.

Cumulative inflows stand at $1.21 billion and net assets at $1.01 billion, according to SoSoValue data. Inflows often support a positive outlook for XRP by shaping sentiment as risk appetite improves.

XRP ETF flows | Source: SoSoValue

Technical outlook: XRP reclaims key support

XRP is trading above $1.42 amid a neutral near-term bias. Still, the price oscillates well below the clustered 50-day, 100-day and 200-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), which all run above $1.49 and underscore a broader downtrend. The long-running descending resistance trend line from the $3.66 record high, which has capped multiple recovery attempts, remains intact overhead, framing the current bounce from the mid-$1.30s as corrective within a larger bearish structure.

Momentum shows fading upside pressure, with the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) green histogram bars easing after a recent positive stretch and the MACD line still marginally positive but rolling over on the daily chart, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 49 stays near neutral territory, reinforcing a consolidative tone rather than a sustained breakout.

XRP/USDT daily chart

Initial resistance aligns near $1.45, where recent daily highs converge with short-term exhaustion signals, followed by a more important barrier around $1.54, the latest swing high that failed beneath the descending trend line. A daily close above $1.54 would be needed to challenge the broader bearish framework and expose the $1.67 zone, where the shorter exponential averages begin to cluster.

On the downside, immediate support appears around $1.40, close to the recent pivot area, with a break lower opening the way toward the $1.36 intraday low and then $1.32, where prior reaction lows emerge as the next demand areas. A decisive loss of $1.32 would reassert the dominant downside trend and could drag XRP back toward the psychological $1.12 region.

Crypto ETF FAQs

An Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) is an investment vehicle or an index that tracks the price of an underlying asset. ETFs can not only track a single asset, but a group of assets and sectors. For example, a Bitcoin ETF tracks Bitcoin’s price. ETF is a tool used by investors to gain exposure to a certain asset.

Yes. The first Bitcoin futures ETF in the US was approved by the US Securities & Exchange Commission in October 2021. A total of seven Bitcoin futures ETFs have been approved, with more than 20 still waiting for the regulator’s permission. The SEC says that the cryptocurrency industry is new and subject to manipulation, which is why it has been delaying crypto-related futures ETFs for the last few years.

Yes. The SEC approved in January 2024 the listing and trading of several Bitcoin spot Exchange-Traded Funds, opening the door to institutional capital and mainstream investors to trade the main crypto currency. The decision was hailed by the industry as a game changer.

The main advantage of crypto ETFs is the possibility of gaining exposure to a cryptocurrency without ownership, reducing the risk and cost of holding the asset. Other pros are a lower learning curve and higher security for investors since ETFs take charge of securing the underlying asset holdings. As for the main drawbacks, the main one is that as an investor you can’t have direct ownership of the asset, or, as they say in crypto, “not your keys, not your coins.” Other disadvantages are higher costs associated with holding crypto since ETFs charge fees for active management. Finally, even though investing in ETFs reduces the risk of holding an asset, price swings in the underlying cryptocurrency are likely to be reflected in the investment vehicle too.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)

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