Gold price rebounds on cool US CPI reading but remains trapped on risk-on mood

출처 Fxstreet
  • XAU/USD climbs toward $3,250 as soft US inflation data boosts sentiment, but Fed stance caps gains.
  • April CPI misses slightly, easing US Dollar pressure with limited immediate impact from tariffs.
  • Analysts caution inflation may rise as tariffs gradually push up goods prices.
  • Fed expected to cut rates twice in 2025; focus shifts to US PPI and Retail Sales for guidance.

Gold prices traded with a positive tone on Tuesday, following Monday’s drop of over 2.70%, exchanged hands at around $3,250, up by 0.42%. A softer-than-expected US inflation report and the trade truce between China and the US may keep Gold prices capped beneath the $3,300 figure.

US inflation data for April was slightly softer than expected by market participants on a monthly basis. Annual basis figures were aligned with projections, indicating that the tariff effect has not been reflected so far in the “hard data.”

Meanwhile, analysts at a major US commercial bank revealed that tariffs have boosted goods prices, “but larger increases are in the pipeline.”

Money market participants are still seeing a restrictive Federal Reserve (Fed). The December 2025 fed funds rate futures contract estimates the US central bank will ease 52 basis points of easing. This implies two rate cuts as Fed officials projected since last year’s December meeting, further confirmed by the latest Summary of Economic Projections in March.

Ahead this week, traders are eyeing the release of the Producer Price Index (PPI) and US Retail Sales data.

Daily digest market movers: Gold price edged up, still capped by high US Treasury yields

  • US Treasury bond yields are climbing with the US 10-year Treasury note yield edging up 1.5 basis points to 4.489%. Meanwhile, US real yields are also steady at 2.199% as indicated by the US 10-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities yields.
  • The US CPI in April expanded by 0.2% MoM, below forecasts of 0.3%, but up from March’s -0.1% number. Core CPI rose by 0.2% MoM, up from the previous month but beneath estimates of 0.3%.
  • On an annual basis, the US CPI increased by 2.3% YoY, a tenth below estimates and the previous month's reading, and core metrics remained unchanged at 2.8% YoY.
  • The announcement of a tariff agreement between the US and China improved risk appetite and sent Bullion prices plunging. Nevertheless, traders should be aware of recent developments regarding US trade policies and geopolitics as new catalysts could emerge and push Gold prices in either direction.
  • The World Gold Council revealed that the People’s Bank of China added 2 tonnes to its Gold reserves in April – for the sixth consecutive month. The National Bank of Poland increased by 12 tonnes in April to 509 tonnes; while the Czech National Bank increased its reserves by 2.5 tonnes in April.

XAU/USD technical outlook: Gold price advances steadily with buyers eyeing $3,250

The Gold price rally has stalled, yet a “double-top” candle chart appears to be emerging, which could send XAU/USD prices toward the $3,000 figure and beyond. Momentum shows that buyers' strength is fading and that sellers are stepping in.

For a double-top confirmation, sellers must clear the May 1 low of $3,202. Once surpassed, the next stop would be $3,100, $3,000, and the minimum objective at $2,950.

Conversely, If XAU/USD edges back above $3,300, buyers will face the next resistance at $3,350. If surpassed, the next ceiling level would be $3,400 and beyond.

Gold FAQs

Gold has played a key role in human’s history as it has been widely used as a store of value and medium of exchange. Currently, apart from its shine and usage for jewelry, the precious metal is widely seen as a safe-haven asset, meaning that it is considered a good investment during turbulent times. Gold is also widely seen as a hedge against inflation and against depreciating currencies as it doesn’t rely on any specific issuer or government.

Central banks are the biggest Gold holders. In their aim to support their currencies in turbulent times, central banks tend to diversify their reserves and buy Gold to improve the perceived strength of the economy and the currency. High Gold reserves can be a source of trust for a country’s solvency. Central banks added 1,136 tonnes of Gold worth around $70 billion to their reserves in 2022, according to data from the World Gold Council. This is the highest yearly purchase since records began. Central banks from emerging economies such as China, India and Turkey are quickly increasing their Gold reserves.

Gold has an inverse correlation with the US Dollar and US Treasuries, which are both major reserve and safe-haven assets. When the Dollar depreciates, Gold tends to rise, enabling investors and central banks to diversify their assets in turbulent times. Gold is also inversely correlated with risk assets. A rally in the stock market tends to weaken Gold price, while sell-offs in riskier markets tend to favor the precious metal.

The price can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can quickly make Gold price escalate due to its safe-haven status. As a yield-less asset, Gold tends to rise with lower interest rates, while higher cost of money usually weighs down on the yellow metal. Still, most moves depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAU/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Gold controlled, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to push Gold prices up.

면책 조항: 정보 제공 목적으로만 사용됩니다. 과거 성과가 미래 결과를 보장하지 않습니다.
placeholder
이더리움 가격 전망: ETH, 비트코인을 추월할 가능성 – 주요 암호화폐는 수익 감소에 직면이더리움 (ETH)의 거래 가격이 수요일 2,600 달러를 돌파했습니다. 이는 일부 전문가들이 이더리움이 궁극적으로 비트코인 (BTC)을 넘어설 것이라고 예측한 데 따른 것으로, 상위 암호화폐가 시가총액 증가로 인해 수익 감소 효과로 인해 성장 둔화를 겪을 수 있다는 점을 고려한 것입니다.
저자  FXStreet
5 월 29 일 목요일
이더리움 (ETH)의 거래 가격이 수요일 2,600 달러를 돌파했습니다. 이는 일부 전문가들이 이더리움이 궁극적으로 비트코인 (BTC)을 넘어설 것이라고 예측한 데 따른 것으로, 상위 암호화폐가 시가총액 증가로 인해 수익 감소 효과로 인해 성장 둔화를 겪을 수 있다는 점을 고려한 것입니다.
placeholder
이더리움 가격 전망: 스테이블코인 거래량 2025년 11조 달러 돌파 속 ETH 7% 급락이더리움(ETH)은 목요일 7% 넘게 하락하며 2,500달러 핵심 지지선을 하회했다. 이는 생태계 내 스테이블코인 거래 활동 증가와 맞물려 나타난 흐름이다.
저자  FXStreet
6 월 06 일 금요일
이더리움(ETH)은 목요일 7% 넘게 하락하며 2,500달러 핵심 지지선을 하회했다. 이는 생태계 내 스테이블코인 거래 활동 증가와 맞물려 나타난 흐름이다.
placeholder
SEC, 솔라나 ETF S-1 서류 재제출 요청…SOL 급등블록웍스에 따르면, 미국 증권거래위원회(SEC)가 솔라나(Solana) ETF 관련 S-1 서류의 재제출을 발행사들에 요구했다는 소식에 따라, 솔라나(SOL) 가격이 화요일 3% 상승했다.
저자  FXStreet
6 월 11 일 수요일
블록웍스에 따르면, 미국 증권거래위원회(SEC)가 솔라나(Solana) ETF 관련 S-1 서류의 재제출을 발행사들에 요구했다는 소식에 따라, 솔라나(SOL) 가격이 화요일 3% 상승했다.
placeholder
비트코인캐시(BCH) 가격 전망: 온체인 지표, 추가 상승 여지 시사… 52주 신고가 도달 가능성비트코인캐시(BCH)는 수요일 6.39% 급등한 데 이어, 목요일 보도 시점 기준으로 2% 상승세를 보이며 강세 흐름을 이어가고 있다. 평행 채널 패턴 내에서 상승세를 이어가는 가운데, BCH는 강세 모멘텀이 강화되는 모습을 보이며 심리적 저항선인 500달러 돌파를 눈앞에 두고 있다.
저자  FXStreet
6 월 26 일 목요일
비트코인캐시(BCH)는 수요일 6.39% 급등한 데 이어, 목요일 보도 시점 기준으로 2% 상승세를 보이며 강세 흐름을 이어가고 있다. 평행 채널 패턴 내에서 상승세를 이어가는 가운데, BCH는 강세 모멘텀이 강화되는 모습을 보이며 심리적 저항선인 500달러 돌파를 눈앞에 두고 있다.
placeholder
로빈후드, 토큰화 주식 출시·아비트럼 L2 제휴 소식에 사상 최고가 경신로빈후드(HOOD)는 유럽연합(EU) 고객을 대상으로 토큰화된 미국 주식을 출시한 뒤, 월요일 주가가 사상 최고치인 94.24달러까지 상승했다. 해당 주식은 아비트럼(Arbitrum·ARB) 블록체인에서 발행되었으며, 회사는 향후 이더리움 기반 레이어2(L2) 체인도 직접 출시할 계획이다.
저자  FXStreet
11 시간 전
로빈후드(HOOD)는 유럽연합(EU) 고객을 대상으로 토큰화된 미국 주식을 출시한 뒤, 월요일 주가가 사상 최고치인 94.24달러까지 상승했다. 해당 주식은 아비트럼(Arbitrum·ARB) 블록체인에서 발행되었으며, 회사는 향후 이더리움 기반 레이어2(L2) 체인도 직접 출시할 계획이다.
goTop
quote