Better Stock to Buy Right Now: Costco vs. BJ's Wholesale

Source The Motley Fool

Bulk-buying, bargain-hunting shoppers have made the members-only discount store concept wildly successful. Costco Wholesale (NASDAQ: COST) and BJ's Wholesale Club (NYSE: BJ) are translating that popularity into strong growth and record profitability. At the time of this writing, shares of both companies are at an all-time high with Costco up 44% this year and BJ's up a similarly impressive 40%.

Should you buy Costco or BJ's Wholesale stock now? Here's what you need to know.

Person holding bag of items and a piece of paper while making a vibrant facial expression.

Image source: Getty Images.

The case for BJ's Wholesale Club

Despite a similar club-based warehouse retail model, BJ's Wholesale has some key differences compared to industry leader Costco. In this case, BJ's current 7.5 million paying members and 247 club stores are materially smaller than Costco's 76 million members and 891 warehouse locations worldwide.

Still, BJ's counts on a strong regional presence, particularly in the eastern United States. Members are attracted to a typically greater variety of grocery items, often available in smaller packages, making BJ's a more convenient option for everyday shopping. BJ's is known for accepting coupons and running regular promotions that may allow it to win over some of the most price-conscious customers.

The latest company results suggest its strategy is working. In the third quarter (ended Nov. 2), comparable club sales, excluding the gas station business, increased by 3.8% year over year, accelerating from the 2.3% pace in Q3 2023. Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) this quarter were up 18% from last year with the headline numbers beating Wall Street analyst estimates.

Management cited a robust increase in memberships and store traffic. Investments to expand e-commerce capabilities are also paying off. Digitally enabled comparable sales, which include services like home delivery and in-store pickup, are up 30% this year as a new growth driver. The company is projecting confidence in its outlook by hiking full-year growth and earnings guidance.

Overall, there's a lot to like about BJ's Wholesale Club as an investment idea benefiting from a new round of operating and financial momentum. The company is unlikely to dethrone Costco as the largest big-box wholesaler anytime soon, but its key advantage is its more compelling valuation. Shares of BJ's are trading at 24 times its consensus 2024 EPS as a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, representing a deep discount compared to Costco's forward P/E of 54. While some of that spread may be justified given Costco's scale and earnings prowess, investors looking for a bargain in this important consumer goods category may find shares of BJ's Wholesale the better deal.

BJ PE Ratio (Forward) Chart

BJ PE Ratio (Forward) data by YCharts

The case for Costco Wholesale

As good as the results from BJ's have been, Costco's growth trends are even stronger. The company posted its monthly operating update for October (ended Nov. 2), noting its total company net comparable sales excluding the impacts of changes in gasoline prices and foreign exchange increased by 6.5% from last year. That's well above BJ's growth rate last quarter and highlights Costco's size advantage with exposure to high-growth international markets.

Where Costco stands out from BJ's is its larger selection of premium and big-ticket items in categories like jewelry, electronics, and furniture. In a resilient macroeconomic backdrop with an expectation for consumers to see lower borrowing costs as the Federal Reserve moves to cut interest rates, Costco could be poised to capture a rebound in member discretionary spending.

Ultimately, the attraction of Costco over BJ's Wholesale goes back to its industry leadership and brand recognition. Costco stock is pricey, but that valuation can be justified by investors recognizing the company's blue chip status and what may still be the early stages of a significant opportunity to expand globally.

Decision time

There's a lot to like about Costco Wholesale, but unfortunately, its stock is just too expensive for me to jump in and buy today. In turn, shares of BJ's Wholesale appear to offer more value and may be the better choice for investors right now. Given the inherent unpredictability of the stock market and the risk that company results disappoint, BJ's Wholesale stock is better-positioned to reward shareholders into 2025 and beyond.

Should you invest $1,000 in BJ's Wholesale Club right now?

Before you buy stock in BJ's Wholesale Club, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and BJ's Wholesale Club wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $869,885!*

Stock Advisor provides investors with an easy-to-follow blueprint for success, including guidance on building a portfolio, regular updates from analysts, and two new stock picks each month. The Stock Advisor service has more than quadrupled the return of S&P 500 since 2002*.

See the 10 stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of November 18, 2024

Dan Victor has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Costco Wholesale. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Japan's 10-Year Bond Demand Soars to 14-Month High, BOJ's Bond Purchase Cuts Still UncertainJapan's 10-year government bond auction demand reached its highest level since April 2024, driven by rising yields that attracted investors.
Author  TradingKey
6 hours ago
Japan's 10-year government bond auction demand reached its highest level since April 2024, driven by rising yields that attracted investors.
placeholder
Dogecoin Price Forecast: DOGE breaks short-term price range, signals bullish comeback Dogecoin (DOGE) has been consolidating under $0.20 since Saturday, making a short-term range with $0.1863 as the lower boundary. DOGE bottoms out the previous week’s downfall with this range breakout on Tuesday, resulting in an increased short-liquidation spike and a bullish technical outlook.
Author  FXStreet
7 hours ago
Dogecoin (DOGE) has been consolidating under $0.20 since Saturday, making a short-term range with $0.1863 as the lower boundary. DOGE bottoms out the previous week’s downfall with this range breakout on Tuesday, resulting in an increased short-liquidation spike and a bullish technical outlook.
placeholder
Elon Musk’s xAI and Neuralink Launch New Funding Rounds​Billionaire Elon Musk recently raised funds for his two high-profile tech companies, xAI and Neuralink.
Author  Insights
7 hours ago
​Billionaire Elon Musk recently raised funds for his two high-profile tech companies, xAI and Neuralink.
placeholder
Microsoft leads tech companies in layoff of workers amid significant investments in AIMicrosoft cut 300+ more jobs after last month’s 6,000 layoffs, focusing heavily on software engineers.
Author  Cryptopolitan
7 hours ago
Microsoft cut 300+ more jobs after last month’s 6,000 layoffs, focusing heavily on software engineers.
placeholder
IBM announces new NYC accelerator and data startup acquisitionIBM announced its New York City-based startup, watsonx AI Labs, designed to supercharge AI builders and accelerate AI adoption at scale.
Author  Cryptopolitan
7 hours ago
IBM announced its New York City-based startup, watsonx AI Labs, designed to supercharge AI builders and accelerate AI adoption at scale.
goTop
quote