President Trump has frequently vowed not to cut Social Security benefits, while also promising to make the retirement program more productive and cost efficient.
Despite efforts to reduce unnecessary spending, the Social Security Trust Fund that pays retired-worker benefits is still on pace to be depleted by 2033.
President Trump's "big, beautiful bill" created new deductions that mean 88% of seniors on Social Security will not owe taxes on benefits, but it will also accelerate trust fund depletion.
President Donald Trump has frequently promised not to cut Social Security benefits. "I'm not going to touch Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid," he said during an interview with Fox News earlier this year. The president has also vowed to rid the program of fraud, waste, and abuse and pursued that goal tenaciously.
Trump is now 200 days into his second term. While none of the Social Security changes made by his administration have overtly reduced benefits, recent changes to tax law could still have negative consequences for retired workers and other beneficiaries. Read on to learn more.
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Image source: Official White House Photo.
The Social Security Administration (SSA) has worked with the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) to increase productivity, reduce unnecessary spending, and eliminate fraud. The most consequential changes to date are listed below:
While changes detailed above are a step in the right direction, the Old-Age and Survivors Insurance (OASI) Trust Fund -- the financial account that pays benefits to retirees, spouses, and survivors -- is projected to run a $3.7 trillion deficit during the next decade. Changes to Social Security under the Trump administration won't come close to solving that problem.
Moreover, the Board of Trustees recently estimated the OASI Trust Fund would be depleted by 2033, at which point benefits would automatically be cut 23% without congressional intervention. But recent changes to tax law could accelerate the time to depletion and deepen the necessary benefit cuts.
On July 4, President Trump's megabill was signed into law. The legislation didn't directly eliminate taxes on Social Security benefits, but it did add a new deduction for seniors aged 65 and older. That deduction is in addition to the existing senior deduction and standard deduction, as detailed below:
The White House says 88% of seniors on Social Security will not pay taxes on benefit income with the new deductions in place. But the new tax laws come with a downside: Social Security is partially funded by taxes collected on benefits, and some of that revenue will now disappear. The Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget (CRFB) estimates that President Trump's megabill will cut funding by about $30 billion annually.
As mentioned, the OASI Trust Fund was already on pace to be exhausted in 2033. But the CRFB says the "big, beautiful bill" will pull the depletion date forward to 2032, leaving Congress with even less time to find a solution for the funding shortfall that could now exceed $4 trillion in the next decade.
If lawmakers fail to find a fix before the OASI Trust Fund is exhausted, Social Security benefits will automatically be reduced by 24%, according to the CRFB. That's up from the 23% benefit cut anticipated before President Trump signed the "big, beautiful bill" into law.
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