EUR: June ECB rate cut looks on the cards – ING

Source Fxstreet

The release yesterday of ECB minutes and ECB commentary seems to squarely point to a 25bp ECB rate cut in June, ING's FX analyst Chris Turner notes.

Euro benefits from being the most liquid alternative to the USD

"That would take the deposit rate to 2.00%. That's fully priced by the markets, as is a further 25bp rate cut in December. Yesterday's flash PMI data for May appears to support that pricing, with some worrying declines in the services component. Here, it clearly looks as though uncertainty is weighing on activity, and there will be much focus on EU-US trade negotiations, which should pick up steam next month."

"We think the euro is continuing to benefit from being the most liquid alternative to the dollar. There is also evidence that portfolio re-allocation is helping the euro. Earlier this week, March eurozone Balance of Payments data showed that eurozone residents repatriated EUR40bn of foreign equity positions in March—the largest inflow since September 2022. And the equity portfolio flow account looks pretty healthy for the euro right now."

"Expect EUR/USD to trade well within a 1.1280-1.1380 range today."

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Natural Gas sinks to pivotal level as China’s demand slumpsNatural Gas price (XNG/USD) edges lower and sinks to $2.56 on Monday, extending its losing streak for the fifth day in a row. The move comes on the back of China cutting its Liquified Natural Gas (LNG) imports after prices rose above $3.0 in June. It
Author  FXStreet
Jul 01, 2024
Natural Gas price (XNG/USD) edges lower and sinks to $2.56 on Monday, extending its losing streak for the fifth day in a row. The move comes on the back of China cutting its Liquified Natural Gas (LNG) imports after prices rose above $3.0 in June. It
placeholder
Bitcoin Outlook 2025As the Bitcoin market continues to mature, its 2025 outlook appears highly favourable, driven by institutional adoption and regulatory developments.
Author  TradingKey
Jan 23, Thu
As the Bitcoin market continues to mature, its 2025 outlook appears highly favourable, driven by institutional adoption and regulatory developments.
placeholder
Solana Price Forecast: SOL flashes bearish signals, risks double-digit crashSolana (SOL) price shows early signs of a potential breakdown as it trades lower at $165.40 on Monday. SOL is approaching a key support level that could determine its next major move. Technical indicators flash red, and bearish sentiment intensifies, with short positions hitting a monthly high.
Author  FXStreet
May 19, Mon
Solana (SOL) price shows early signs of a potential breakdown as it trades lower at $165.40 on Monday. SOL is approaching a key support level that could determine its next major move. Technical indicators flash red, and bearish sentiment intensifies, with short positions hitting a monthly high.
placeholder
Ethereum Price Faces Pressure: Can It Sustain Its Recent Rally?Ethereum price found support at $2,460 and started a fresh increase. ETH is now struggling and might drop again below the $2,500 support.
Author  NewsBTC
May 27, Tue
Ethereum price found support at $2,460 and started a fresh increase. ETH is now struggling and might drop again below the $2,500 support.
placeholder
Avalanche Price Forecast: AVAX set to extend losses as Open Interest drops to one-month lowAvalanche (AVAX) trades in the green by almost 1% at press time on Wednesday, as it tests a crucial support floor that has held for over two months.
Author  FXStreet
19 hours ago
Avalanche (AVAX) trades in the green by almost 1% at press time on Wednesday, as it tests a crucial support floor that has held for over two months.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote