UK: A moderately-sized tax relief package can give some support to GBP this week – ING
Source Fxstreet
This could be an important week for UK markets. Economists at ING analyze Pound Sterling (GBP) outlook ahead of the Spring Budget.
UK budget is a key event risk for Sterling
Hopes of delivering pre-election tax cuts are likely to be met by funding constraints, even though we estimate the headroom has increased from £13bn to £18bn thanks to slightly lower market rates compared to November’s Autumn Statement.
UK media have reported Hunt is probably scaling back the size of the tax relief package and that support measures will also be smaller than in November.
A moderately-sized tax relief package (i.e., one that does not trigger gilts turmoil) can probably give some support to GBP this week, but the spectrum of possibilities is admittedly quite wide.
Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Recommended Articles
As of the European session on September 24, gold prices (XAUUSD) extended their correction, dipping below $4,300 intraday to hit a low of $4,262.45. After previously rebounding close to $
Yen touches 158.37 as Tokyo reopens, then slips back — ¥15.4 trillion of intervention and the 200-day line stand between here and 160USD/JPY reached 158.37 overnight, its highest since early September, then eased to 157.88 as Japanese markets reopened after a three-day holiday. The Ministry of Finance has spent ¥15.4 trillion defending the yen since late July and the BOJ ran a rate check on September 18. The 200-day average sits at 158.43.
USD/JPY reached 158.37 overnight, its highest since early September, then eased to 157.88 as Japanese markets reopened after a three-day holiday. The Ministry of Finance has spent ¥15.4 trillion defending the yen since late July and the BOJ ran a rate check on September 18. The 200-day average sits at 158.43.
US input costs rose at the fastest pace in four years — the September flash PMI beat is an inflation story, not a growth storyUS September flash PMIs came in far above expectations, with the composite at 58.4, a five-year high. But the detail that moved markets was input cost inflation at its fastest since October 2022, driven by fuel, transport and supply shortages. Brent is back above $100 and the 10-year Treasury yield has hit its highest since 2007.
US September flash PMIs came in far above expectations, with the composite at 58.4, a five-year high. But the detail that moved markets was input cost inflation at its fastest since October 2022, driven by fuel, transport and supply shortages. Brent is back above $100 and the 10-year Treasury yield has hit its highest since 2007.
Euro weakens below 1.1400 as Fed rate hike expectations reinforce US Dollar strengthThe EUR/USD pair loses ground to near 1.1380 during the early Asian trading hours on Thursday. The major pair extends its downside as hawkish signals from the US Federal Reserve (Fed) boost the US Dollar (USD) against the Euro (EUR).
The EUR/USD pair loses ground to near 1.1380 during the early Asian trading hours on Thursday. The major pair extends its downside as hawkish signals from the US Federal Reserve (Fed) boost the US Dollar (USD) against the Euro (EUR).
Gold (XAU/USD) retraces Tuesday’s gains on Wednesday and drifts lower, approaching the $4,300 area as the US Dollar Index (DXY) rallies further amid high US Treasury yields.
Related Instrument
