UK: A moderately-sized tax relief package can give some support to GBP this week – ING
Source Fxstreet
This could be an important week for UK markets. Economists at ING analyze Pound Sterling (GBP) outlook ahead of the Spring Budget.
UK budget is a key event risk for Sterling
Hopes of delivering pre-election tax cuts are likely to be met by funding constraints, even though we estimate the headroom has increased from £13bn to £18bn thanks to slightly lower market rates compared to November’s Autumn Statement.
UK media have reported Hunt is probably scaling back the size of the tax relief package and that support measures will also be smaller than in November.
A moderately-sized tax relief package (i.e., one that does not trigger gilts turmoil) can probably give some support to GBP this week, but the spectrum of possibilities is admittedly quite wide.
Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Recommended Articles
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) will announce its interest rate decision between 03.30 and 05.00 GMT, followed by Governor Kazuo Ueda's press conference at 06.30 GMT.
ECB Policy Outlook for 2026: What It Could Mean for the Euro’s Next MoveWith the ECB likely holding rates steady at 2.15% and the Fed potentially extending cuts into 2026, EUR/USD may test 1.20 if Eurozone growth proves resilient, but weaker growth and an ECB pivot could pull the pair back toward 1.13 and potentially 1.10.
With the ECB likely holding rates steady at 2.15% and the Fed potentially extending cuts into 2026, EUR/USD may test 1.20 if Eurozone growth proves resilient, but weaker growth and an ECB pivot could pull the pair back toward 1.13 and potentially 1.10.
Gold (XAU/USD) trades lower for the second consecutive day on Friday, but remains contained within previous ranges, with downside attempts limited above the $4,500 line for now.
Gold price (XAU/USD) gains ground to near $4,575 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The precious metal edges higher as hopes for US-Iran peace negotiations weakened the US Dollar (USD).
Gold plummets below $4,200 as US‑Iran tensions spur hawkish rate bets ahead of US CPIGold (XAU/USD) extends the recent breakdown momentum below a technically significant 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and drops to a fresh low since March 23, further below the $4,200 mark during the Asian session on Wednesday.
Gold (XAU/USD) extends the recent breakdown momentum below a technically significant 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and drops to a fresh low since March 23, further below the $4,200 mark during the Asian session on Wednesday.
Related Instrument
