Forex Today: US PCE takes centre stage, UK GDP gathers attention in Europe

Source Fxstreet

The Greenback faced the resurgence of the selling pressure, receding from the area of three-week highs amid mixed developments in US yields, steady tariff fears and expectation ahead of the release of US PCE on Friday.

Here is what you need to know on Friday, March 28:

The US Dollar Index (DXY) retreated from recent multi-week highs on the back of the decent rebound in the risk-associated universe. The publication of the PCE will be at the cenre of the debate, seconded by Personal Income, Personal Spending, and the final Michigan Consumer Sentiment gauge.

EUR/USD regained some composure and bounced off recent lows, although it failed to retest or surpass the 1.0800 barrier. Germany’s GfK Consumer Confidence and the jobs report are expected, followed by the EMU’s Economic Sentiment, Consumer Confidence, and the ECB’s Consumer Inflation Expectations.

GBP/USD kept its consolidative phase well in place, reclaiming the 1.2900 hurdle and above. Retail Sales, Current Account, Goods Trade Balance, Business Investment and the final Q4 GDP Growth Rate are next on tap across the Channel

USD/JPY added to Wednesday’s advance and flirted with monthly highs just above the 151.00 yardstick. The BoJ Summary of Opinions, the Tokyo Inflation Rate, Housing Starts, and Construction Orders will all be released.

AUD/USD navigated an inconclusive range around the 0.6300 neighbourhooh, with weekly gains so far capped by the 100-day SMA around 0.6330. Next on the Australian calendar will be the Housing Credit figures, seconded by Private Sector Credit, all expected on March 31.

WTI prices reversed three daily gains in a row, including Wednesday’s three-week peaks above the $70.00 mark per barrel as traders remained wary of tariff.

Increasing trade fears lent wings to the precious metal, encouraging the troy ounce of Gold to hit an all-time high near $3,060. Silver prices rose to multi-day highs north of the $34.00 mark per ounce.


Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Fed hike odds near 90% into Wednesday's decision — how to trade the dollar, gold and the S&P 500A 0.3% monthly core CPI print has lifted the market-implied probability of a 25bp Fed hike on 16 September to roughly 86.5% ~ 90%, which would be the first increase since July 2023. Here is the decision timeline, the pricing versus the forecasts, both scenarios, and the key levels for the dollar, gold and the S&P 500.
Author  Suzie
Sep 14, Mon
A 0.3% monthly core CPI print has lifted the market-implied probability of a 25bp Fed hike on 16 September to roughly 86.5% ~ 90%, which would be the first increase since July 2023. Here is the decision timeline, the pricing versus the forecasts, both scenarios, and the key levels for the dollar, gold and the S&P 500.
placeholder
【Daily Brief】10-year Treasury yield briefly tops 5%, S&P 500 slips to 7,602 and the dollar firms at 99.3 as the Fed's decision eve beginsThe 10-year Treasury yield touched 5.014% on Monday — its first print above 5% since October 2023 — while the S&P 500 closed 0.48% lower at 7,619.98 and the dollar index firmed to 99.3. Here is the full market wrap ahead of Wednesday's FOMC decision, the dot plot and the August retail sales report, plus today's CLARITY Act Senate vote.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 15, Tue
The 10-year Treasury yield touched 5.014% on Monday — its first print above 5% since October 2023 — while the S&P 500 closed 0.48% lower at 7,619.98 and the dollar index firmed to 99.3. Here is the full market wrap ahead of Wednesday's FOMC decision, the dot plot and the August retail sales report, plus today's CLARITY Act Senate vote.
placeholder
Silver breaks $64 as precious metals rebound — can gold hold the $4,280 line into the Fed decision?Silver has climbed back above $64 an ounce for the first time this week, leading a broad rebound across precious metals hours before the Federal Reserve delivers what is expected to be its first rate hike since 2023. Spot silver was last at $64.64, up 1.49% on the day, while gold reclaimed $4,300 and platinum and palladium both advanced. The question now is whether the bounce is a genuine turn — or a pause before the Fed's dot plot decides the next move.
Author  Suzie
23 hours ago
Silver has climbed back above $64 an ounce for the first time this week, leading a broad rebound across precious metals hours before the Federal Reserve delivers what is expected to be its first rate hike since 2023. Spot silver was last at $64.64, up 1.49% on the day, while gold reclaimed $4,300 and platinum and palladium both advanced. The question now is whether the bounce is a genuine turn — or a pause before the Fed's dot plot decides the next move.
placeholder
Bitcoin falls below $75,000 as the CLARITY Act fails in the Senate — what the vote means for cryptoThe US Senate blocked the Digital Asset Market CLARITY Act in a 49-50 procedural vote, sending Bitcoin briefly below $75,000 — its biggest one-day drop since June. Ethereum fell more than 8%, Coinbase slid 10% and $75 billion of crypto market value evaporated. Here is what the vote was, why it failed, and the levels that matter now.
Author  Suzie
23 hours ago
The US Senate blocked the Digital Asset Market CLARITY Act in a 49-50 procedural vote, sending Bitcoin briefly below $75,000 — its biggest one-day drop since June. Ethereum fell more than 8%, Coinbase slid 10% and $75 billion of crypto market value evaporated. Here is what the vote was, why it failed, and the levels that matter now.
placeholder
Dow drops 631 points as the Fed hikes — but futures are rebounding: what's next for US stocks?The Dow fell 631 points and the S&P 500 closed below 7,600 after the Fed hiked rates for the first time since 2023, with the dot plot showing 16 of 18 officials expect more tightening. Asia-session futures are already recovering — here are the levels and analyst views that decide whether 7,500 holds.
Author  Irene Q.
5 hours ago
The Dow fell 631 points and the S&P 500 closed below 7,600 after the Fed hiked rates for the first time since 2023, with the dot plot showing 16 of 18 officials expect more tightening. Asia-session futures are already recovering — here are the levels and analyst views that decide whether 7,500 holds.
goTop
quote