Forex Today: US PCE takes centre stage, UK GDP gathers attention in Europe

Source Fxstreet

The Greenback faced the resurgence of the selling pressure, receding from the area of three-week highs amid mixed developments in US yields, steady tariff fears and expectation ahead of the release of US PCE on Friday.

Here is what you need to know on Friday, March 28:

The US Dollar Index (DXY) retreated from recent multi-week highs on the back of the decent rebound in the risk-associated universe. The publication of the PCE will be at the cenre of the debate, seconded by Personal Income, Personal Spending, and the final Michigan Consumer Sentiment gauge.

EUR/USD regained some composure and bounced off recent lows, although it failed to retest or surpass the 1.0800 barrier. Germany’s GfK Consumer Confidence and the jobs report are expected, followed by the EMU’s Economic Sentiment, Consumer Confidence, and the ECB’s Consumer Inflation Expectations.

GBP/USD kept its consolidative phase well in place, reclaiming the 1.2900 hurdle and above. Retail Sales, Current Account, Goods Trade Balance, Business Investment and the final Q4 GDP Growth Rate are next on tap across the Channel

USD/JPY added to Wednesday’s advance and flirted with monthly highs just above the 151.00 yardstick. The BoJ Summary of Opinions, the Tokyo Inflation Rate, Housing Starts, and Construction Orders will all be released.

AUD/USD navigated an inconclusive range around the 0.6300 neighbourhooh, with weekly gains so far capped by the 100-day SMA around 0.6330. Next on the Australian calendar will be the Housing Credit figures, seconded by Private Sector Credit, all expected on March 31.

WTI prices reversed three daily gains in a row, including Wednesday’s three-week peaks above the $70.00 mark per barrel as traders remained wary of tariff.

Increasing trade fears lent wings to the precious metal, encouraging the troy ounce of Gold to hit an all-time high near $3,060. Silver prices rose to multi-day highs north of the $34.00 mark per ounce.


Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Gold ends three-week slide at the $4,400 line — eight straight days of ETF inflows vs a 5% 10-year and a 100 dollarSpot gold closed Friday at $4,378.39, up 0.84% on the day and about 0.8% for the week — its first weekly gain in four weeks — with the intraday high of $4,399.67 leaving it 33 cents shy of the $4,400 line. Gold ETFs have now logged eight straight sessions of inflows, but with the 10-year back above 5% and the dollar index near 100, here is what decides whether this is a reversal or a bounce.
Author  Suzie
Sep 20, Sun
Spot gold closed Friday at $4,378.39, up 0.84% on the day and about 0.8% for the week — its first weekly gain in four weeks — with the intraday high of $4,399.67 leaving it 33 cents shy of the $4,400 line. Gold ETFs have now logged eight straight sessions of inflows, but with the 10-year back above 5% and the dollar index near 100, here is what decides whether this is a reversal or a bounce.
placeholder
October hike odds climb toward 60% as Goldman and BofA both flip — what Warsh's "dose of accommodation" really changedRate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 23, Wed
Rate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
placeholder
Four jobs reports in five days: what JOLTS, ADP, claims and the September payrolls mean for the October Fed decisionThe US labour market faces its densest data week of the month. JOLTS job openings land Tuesday (7.2 million expected), ADP on Wednesday (70,000 expected), initial claims on Thursday and the September non-farm payrolls on Friday (100,000 expected, down from 162,000). Markets price a 64%-70% chance of another quarter-point Fed hike on October 28. The dollar index sits at 100.77 and the S&P 500 at 7,729.8.
Author  Mitrade
Yesterday 06: 33
The US labour market faces its densest data week of the month. JOLTS job openings land Tuesday (7.2 million expected), ADP on Wednesday (70,000 expected), initial claims on Thursday and the September non-farm payrolls on Friday (100,000 expected, down from 162,000). Markets price a 64%-70% chance of another quarter-point Fed hike on October 28. The dollar index sits at 100.77 and the S&P 500 at 7,729.8.
placeholder
RBA set to hike interest rate to 4.60% in September as inflation remains elevatedThe Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is widely expected to raise the Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 25 basis points (bps) to 4.60% from 4.35% on Tuesday, after keeping rates unchanged at its previous two meetings
Author  FXStreet
7 hours ago
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is widely expected to raise the Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 25 basis points (bps) to 4.60% from 4.35% on Tuesday, after keeping rates unchanged at its previous two meetings
placeholder
Nvidia's $150 billion buyback landed — and the AI sector fell anyway. That's the signal worth tradingNvidia closed up 1.68% at $228.86 on 28 September after announcing a $150 billion share repurchase authorisation, the largest single corporate buyback on record, while the rest of the AI complex sold off: AMD -3.6%, Micron -2.6%, Meta -4.8% and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index -1.61%. The divergence is not noise. Capital is rotating toward cash-flow certainty, not abandoning the AI theme. With Micron reporting after the close on 30 September, here is what the split means.
Author  Irene Q.
2 hours ago
Nvidia closed up 1.68% at $228.86 on 28 September after announcing a $150 billion share repurchase authorisation, the largest single corporate buyback on record, while the rest of the AI complex sold off: AMD -3.6%, Micron -2.6%, Meta -4.8% and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index -1.61%. The divergence is not noise. Capital is rotating toward cash-flow certainty, not abandoning the AI theme. With Micron reporting after the close on 30 September, here is what the split means.
goTop
quote