US Election 2024: Exit polls awaited as voting begins

Source Fxstreet

American voters have started casting their ballots to decide whether Vice President Kamala Harris or former President Donald Trump will become the 47th President of the United States.

Latest election polls point to a tight race. The TIPP poll has Donald Trump and Kamala Harris tied at 48, the Ipsos poll has Harris leading by two points, 50 vs 48, and the Atlas Intel poll has Trump leading by one point, 50 vs 49, as per RealClearPolling.

While Trump stays on top in some swing states, such as Arizona and North Carolina, Harris seems to have taken a small lead in Wisconsin and Michigan. Four swing states – Arizona, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin – have absentee ballot procedures and that could delay the calling of a winner.

Source: RealClearPollig.com

"Early vote returns in US battleground states may not be a good indicator of whether Democratic candidate Kamala Harris or Republican rival Donald Trump will win, experts say, thanks to vote counting rules and quirks in several key states," explains Reuters.

Polls will close at 00:00 GMT and ensuing exit polls should provide some information on which candidate is likely to capture swing states. 

In the meantime, US presidential election betting odds point to a Donald Trump victory. RealClearPolling's average for betting odds currently has Trump at 59.2 and Harris at 39.3.

Follow our live coverage of the market reaction to the US presidential election as counting results start hitting the wires.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Weekly Market Outlook: U.S. October CPI Focus and Powell and Fed Officials SpeakInsights – This week, the U.S. will release October CPI data, with inflation expected to face challenges in easing further. Retail sales data will also be closely watched for insights into the economy, guiding the Fed's future policy.
Author  Mitrade
Nov 11, 2024
Insights – This week, the U.S. will release October CPI data, with inflation expected to face challenges in easing further. Retail sales data will also be closely watched for insights into the economy, guiding the Fed's future policy.
placeholder
October hike odds climb toward 60% as Goldman and BofA both flip — what Warsh's "dose of accommodation" really changedRate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 23, Wed
Rate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
placeholder
【Daily Brief】30-year Treasury tops 5.59%, S&P 500 slips to 7,670 and gold holds $4,180 — PCE lands tonightThe 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.59%, its highest since June 2002, and the Dow fell 131.59 points to 51,349.92. US consumer confidence dropped to 81.9, a 12-year low, and JOLTS job openings fell to 7.1 million. August PCE and Q3 GDP both land at 8:30am ET tonight.
Author  Suzie
Sep 30, Wed
The 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.59%, its highest since June 2002, and the Dow fell 131.59 points to 51,349.92. US consumer confidence dropped to 81.9, a 12-year low, and JOLTS job openings fell to 7.1 million. August PCE and Q3 GDP both land at 8:30am ET tonight.
placeholder
Gold falls to near $4,150 as higher Treasury yields, oil prices outweigh softer PCE inflationGold price (XAU/USD) tumbles to near $4,150 during the early Asian session on Thursday, pressured by elevated US Treasury bond yields. Traders await the US September employment data for fresh impetus, which will be released later on Friday. 
Author  FXStreet
Oct 01, Thu
Gold price (XAU/USD) tumbles to near $4,150 during the early Asian session on Thursday, pressured by elevated US Treasury bond yields. Traders await the US September employment data for fresh impetus, which will be released later on Friday. 
placeholder
WTI Price Forecast: Dips to $91.50 as Middle East jitters limit lossesWest Texas Intermediate (WTI) – the benchmark US Crude Oil price – attracts some sellers during the Asian session on Friday, snapping a two-day winning streak and stalling the previous day's recovery from the vicinity of a nearly four-week low.
Author  FXStreet
Oct 02, Fri
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) – the benchmark US Crude Oil price – attracts some sellers during the Asian session on Friday, snapping a two-day winning streak and stalling the previous day's recovery from the vicinity of a nearly four-week low.
goTop
quote