Forex Today: US inflation and the size of the Fed’s rate cut

Source Fxstreet

The Greenback added to the ongoing uptrend, although it seems to have run out of some upside impetus on Tuesday amidst the broad-based cautious stance ahead of the release of key US CPI readings on Wednesday.

Here is what you need to know on Wednesday, September 11:

The US Dollar Index (DXY) managed well to maintain business in the upper end of the range near 101.70 prior to key data releases on Wednesday. The release of the Inflation Rate tracked by the CPI will be the salient event on September 11, seconded by the weekly MBA Mortgage Applications, and the EIA’s weekly report on crude oil inventories.

EUR/USD could not help retreating for the third consecutive day, approaching the key support area near 1.1000. The next risk event in the euro area will be the ECB’s interest rate decision on September 12.

GBP/USD alternated gains with losses within a tight range against the backdrop of the generalized prudent tone in the FX universe. On September 11, the UK docket will feature GDP figures, Balance of Trade results, Construction Output, Industrial and Manufacturing Production, and the NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker.

USD/JPY resumed its downtrend and broke below the 143.00 support, shifting its attention to recent lows in the sub-142.00 region. The BoJ’s Nakagawa is due to speak on September 11.

AUD/USD retreated for the third consecutive day, although it seems to have met some decent contention in the 0.6650-0.6640 band for the time being. Consumer Inflation Expectations and the speech by the RBA’s Hunter are expected on September 11.

Persistent demand concerns and a disheartening OPEC report sent WTI prices to the vicinity of the $65.00 mark per barrel for the first time since early May 2023.

Prices of Gold added to Monday’s uptick amidst marginal gains in the greenback and declining US yields prior to the release of the US CPI on Wednesday. Silver prices posted humble losses around the $28.30 zone following an earlier uptick to two-day highs.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
The Fed held at 3.75%–4.00% — and two officials voted to hike. December is now 85% pricedThe FOMC held by a 10–2 vote, with Governor Cook and Cleveland Fed President Hammack dissenting for a 25bp hike. Chair Warsh offered no forward guidance and no dot plot, the 2-year yield fell 8bp to 4.70%, and the dollar slipped to 101.84 even as markets moved December hike odds to 85%–87%. Tonight's Q3 GDP and September core PCE are the next referee.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 29, Thu
The FOMC held by a 10–2 vote, with Governor Cook and Cleveland Fed President Hammack dissenting for a 25bp hike. Chair Warsh offered no forward guidance and no dot plot, the 2-year yield fell 8bp to 4.70%, and the dollar slipped to 101.84 even as markets moved December hike odds to 85%–87%. Tonight's Q3 GDP and September core PCE are the next referee.
placeholder
Gold Price Analysis Today | Forex Gold Analysis | XAU/USD Analysis - November 2, 2026Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for November 2, 2026. Read on for the details.
Author  Mitrade
Nov 02, Mon
Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for November 2, 2026. Read on for the details.
placeholder
Gold Price Analysis Today | Forex Gold Analysis | XAU/USD Analysis - November 3, 2026Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for November 3, 2026. Read on for the details.
Author  Mitrade
Yesterday 01: 49
Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for November 3, 2026. Read on for the details.
placeholder
Gold rebounds to $3,946 off $3,870 as oil does the Fed's work — but the ETF bid is still missingGold closed at $3,946, up 1.84% from a one-year low of $3,870.25, as Brent's 7.6% slide cut December hike odds to 77%. ETF holdings are still shrinking — a short-covering bounce, not new money.
Author  Irene Q.
Yesterday 03: 12
Gold closed at $3,946, up 1.84% from a one-year low of $3,870.25, as Brent's 7.6% slide cut December hike odds to 77%. ETF holdings are still shrinking — a short-covering bounce, not new money.
placeholder
Brent at $103.60: the peace trade is selling paper, but the physical market just drew 5.3 million barrelsBrent settled at $103.60, its lowest close since October 7 and an 8% weekly drop on US-Iran talks. Yet API crude stocks fell 5.267 million barrels versus a 2.1 million build expected.
Author  Irene Q.
4 hours ago
Brent settled at $103.60, its lowest close since October 7 and an 8% weekly drop on US-Iran talks. Yet API crude stocks fell 5.267 million barrels versus a 2.1 million build expected.
goTop
quote