Forex Today: BoJ and the Fed take centre stage

Source Fxstreet

The FX universe navigated an inconclusive session on Tuesday amidst rising prudence ahead of the BoJ and Fed policy meetings on July 31. While the Fed is expected to keep rates on hold, Chief Powell could shed further details regarding a potential rate cut in September. Consensus, in the meantime, appears pretty divided when it comes to the BoJ.

Here is what you need to know on Wednesday, July 31:

The USD Index (DXY) gave away initial gains and settled in the mid-104.00s against the backdrop of further decline in US yields across the curve. The Fed meets on July 31 and is seen keeping rates unchanged. Extra releases on the US docket include the weekly Mortgage Applications, the Employment Cost index, Pending Home Sales and the ADP Employment Change.

EUR/USD kept the bearish performance and briefly pierced the 1.0800 support to print four-week lows just to regain some balance afterwards. Germany’s Retail Sales and the labour market report are due on July 31 seconded by preliminary Inflation Rate in the broader euro area.

GBP/USD remained well on the defensive in the low-1.2800s as investors continued to price in a potential rate cut by the BoE on August 1. There are no data releases scheduled on the UK calendar on July 31.

Renewed buying interest in the Japanese yen prompted USD/JPY to fade the earlier uptick and refocus on the downside around the 153.30 zone. The BoJ will decide on rates on July 31. In addition, flash Industrial Production is due along with Retail Sales, Consumer Confidence and Housing Starts.

AUD/USD seems to have entered a consolidative theme near 0.6530, always on the back of Chinese concerns and persistent weakness in the commodity space. The Inflation Rate, Housing Credit, Retail Sales and the RBA’s Monthly CPI Indicator are all expected on July 31.

Another negative session dragged WTI prices to fresh lows in the sub-$75.00 region per barrel, as traders assessed incessant demand concerns from China.

Gold prices printed acceptable gains and approached the $2,400 mark per ounce troy amidst the irresolute price action in the US dollar and declining yields. Silver regained some composure and reversed Monday’s pessimism, reclaiming the area beyond the $28.00 barrier per ounce.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Crude Oil Price Forecast: Brent Nears $110 Amid Saudi Pipeline Outage, How Much Further Can Oil Rise?Supply risks in the Middle East continue to heat up, with international oil prices fluctuating at high levels.During Tuesday's Asian trading session, Brent crude futures (UKOIL-F) rose to
Author  TradingKey
15 hours ago
Supply risks in the Middle East continue to heat up, with international oil prices fluctuating at high levels.During Tuesday's Asian trading session, Brent crude futures (UKOIL-F) rose to
placeholder
【Daily Brief】10-year Treasury yield briefly tops 5%, S&P 500 slips to 7,602 and the dollar firms at 99.3 as the Fed's decision eve beginsThe 10-year Treasury yield touched 5.014% on Monday — its first print above 5% since October 2023 — while the S&P 500 closed 0.48% lower at 7,619.98 and the dollar index firmed to 99.3. Here is the full market wrap ahead of Wednesday's FOMC decision, the dot plot and the August retail sales report, plus today's CLARITY Act Senate vote.
Author  Irene Q.
15 hours ago
The 10-year Treasury yield touched 5.014% on Monday — its first print above 5% since October 2023 — while the S&P 500 closed 0.48% lower at 7,619.98 and the dollar index firmed to 99.3. Here is the full market wrap ahead of Wednesday's FOMC decision, the dot plot and the August retail sales report, plus today's CLARITY Act Senate vote.
placeholder
Gold falls below $4,300 as higher US yields bolster Fed rate hike betsGold price (XAU/USD) tumbles to near $4,295 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The precious metal faces some selling pressure as rising bond yields and surging energy prices strengthen expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will raise interest rates this week. 
Author  FXStreet
22 hours ago
Gold price (XAU/USD) tumbles to near $4,295 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The precious metal faces some selling pressure as rising bond yields and surging energy prices strengthen expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will raise interest rates this week. 
placeholder
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD falls to near $63.50 amid Fed hike bets, higher oil pricesSilver price (XAG/USD) loses its gains from the previous day, trading around $63.50 per troy ounce during Asian hours on Monday. Non-yielding Silver is currently facing significant headwinds driven by rising Federal Reserve (Fed) rate-hike expectations for the upcoming September decision.
Author  FXStreet
Yesterday 10: 37
Silver price (XAG/USD) loses its gains from the previous day, trading around $63.50 per troy ounce during Asian hours on Monday. Non-yielding Silver is currently facing significant headwinds driven by rising Federal Reserve (Fed) rate-hike expectations for the upcoming September decision.
placeholder
Fed hike odds near 90% into Wednesday's decision — how to trade the dollar, gold and the S&P 500A 0.3% monthly core CPI print has lifted the market-implied probability of a 25bp Fed hike on 16 September to roughly 86.5% ~ 90%, which would be the first increase since July 2023. Here is the decision timeline, the pricing versus the forecasts, both scenarios, and the key levels for the dollar, gold and the S&P 500.
Author  Suzie
Yesterday 07: 49
A 0.3% monthly core CPI print has lifted the market-implied probability of a 25bp Fed hike on 16 September to roughly 86.5% ~ 90%, which would be the first increase since July 2023. Here is the decision timeline, the pricing versus the forecasts, both scenarios, and the key levels for the dollar, gold and the S&P 500.
goTop
quote