Analysts at TD Securities preview the upcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Retail Sales data from the US.
"We expect next week's CPI report to show that core inflation slowed to a "soft" 0.3% m/m pace after posting a third consecutive strong gain at 0.4% in March. The headline likely rose by a softer 0.3% m/m despite another notable gain in energy prices. Note that our unrounded core CPI forecast at 0.27% m/m suggests larger risks for a dovish surprise to a rounded 0.2% increase."
"We look for retail sales to rise for a third consecutive month in April, opening the second quarter on a firm footing. Volatile auto and gasoline stations sales will likely provide a big boost to growth, with the control group also helping to juice the headline—though down vs March. We also project sales in bars/restaurants—the report's only services component—to remain firm."