Forex Today: UK inflation figures take centre stage along with the Spring statement
Source Fxstreet
The Greenback’s recovery took a breather on Tuesday, allowing some recovery in the risk-associated universe, while tariff concerns remained well in place as well as speculation of an economic slowdown in the US economy.
Here is what you need to know on Wednesday, March 26:
The US Dollar Index (DXY) gave away part of the multi-day recovery and briefly pierced the 104.00 support amid mixed US yields across the board. The weekly MBA’s Mortgage Applications are due, seconded by Durable Goods Orders, and the EIA’s weekly repor on US crude oil stockpiles.
EUR/USD could not sustain the earlier advance and eventually added to the ongoing multi-day decline. The ECB’s Cipollone is only due to speak.
GBP/USD added to the promising start to the week and rose further north of the 1.2900 barrier. Investors’ attention will be on the UK Inflation Rate and the Spring Economic Statement by Chancellor Reeves.
USD/JPY came under strong downside pressure soon after hitting fresh tops in the boundaries of the 151.00 hurdle. The final Coincident Index and Leading Economic Index will be published.
AUD/USD picked up extra pace and surpassed the 0.6300 mark, advancing to three-day highs. The focus is expected to be on the RBA’s Monthly CPI Indicator.
WTI prices could not sustain the early move to new three-week highs, succumbing to the selling mood and revisiting the sub-$69.00 region amid supply concerns.
Prices of Gold regained composure, reversed three daily drops in a row and reclaimed the $3,030 region per troy ounce. Silver prices rallied to three-day peaks near the $34.00 mark per ounce.
Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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Bitcoin briefly loses 2025 gains as crypto plunges over the weekend.Bitcoin experienced a sharp decline this weekend, briefly erasing its 2025 gains and dipping below its year-opening value of $93,507. The cryptocurrency fell to a low of $93,029 on Sunday, representing a 25% drop from its all-time high in October. Although it has rebounded slightly to around $94,209, the pressures on the market remain significant.
The downturn occurred despite the reopening of the U.S. government on Thursday, which many had hoped would provide essential support for crypto markets. This year initially appeared promising for cryptocurrencies, particularly after the inauguration of President Donald Trump, who has established the most pro-crypto administration thus far. However, ongoing political tensions—including Trump's tariff strategies and the recent government shutdown, lasting a historic 43 days—have contributed to several rapid price pullbacks for Bitcoin throughout the year.
Market dynamics are also being influenced by Bitcoin whales—investors holding large amounts of Bitcoin—who have been offloading portions of their assets, consequently stalling price rallies even as positive regulatory developments emerge. Despite these sell-offs, analysts from Glassnode argue that this behavior aligns with typical patterns seen among long-term investors during the concluding stages of bull markets, suggesting it is not indicative of a mass exodus.
Notably, Bitcoin is not alone in its struggles, as Ethereum and Solana have also recorded declines of 7.95% and 28.3%, respectively, since the start of the year, while numerous altcoins have faced even steeper losses.
Looking ahead, questions linger regarding the viability of the four-year cycle thesis, particularly given the increasing institutional support and regulatory frameworks now in place in the crypto landscape. Matt Hougan, chief investment officer at Bitwise, remains optimistic, suggesting a potential Bitcoin resurgence in 2026 driven by the “debasement trade” thesis and a broader trend toward increased adoption of stablecoins, tokenization, and decentralized finance. Hougan emphasized the soundness of the underlying fundamentals, pointing to a positive outlook for the sector in the longer term.
Bitcoin experienced a sharp decline this weekend, briefly erasing its 2025 gains and dipping below its year-opening value of $93,507. The cryptocurrency fell to a low of $93,029 on Sunday, representing a 25% drop from its all-time high in October. Although it has rebounded slightly to around $94,209, the pressures on the market remain significant.
The downturn occurred despite the reopening of the U.S. government on Thursday, which many had hoped would provide essential support for crypto markets. This year initially appeared promising for cryptocurrencies, particularly after the inauguration of President Donald Trump, who has established the most pro-crypto administration thus far. However, ongoing political tensions—including Trump's tariff strategies and the recent government shutdown, lasting a historic 43 days—have contributed to several rapid price pullbacks for Bitcoin throughout the year.
Market dynamics are also being influenced by Bitcoin whales—investors holding large amounts of Bitcoin—who have been offloading portions of their assets, consequently stalling price rallies even as positive regulatory developments emerge. Despite these sell-offs, analysts from Glassnode argue that this behavior aligns with typical patterns seen among long-term investors during the concluding stages of bull markets, suggesting it is not indicative of a mass exodus.
Notably, Bitcoin is not alone in its struggles, as Ethereum and Solana have also recorded declines of 7.95% and 28.3%, respectively, since the start of the year, while numerous altcoins have faced even steeper losses.
Looking ahead, questions linger regarding the viability of the four-year cycle thesis, particularly given the increasing institutional support and regulatory frameworks now in place in the crypto landscape. Matt Hougan, chief investment officer at Bitwise, remains optimistic, suggesting a potential Bitcoin resurgence in 2026 driven by the “debasement trade” thesis and a broader trend toward increased adoption of stablecoins, tokenization, and decentralized finance. Hougan emphasized the soundness of the underlying fundamentals, pointing to a positive outlook for the sector in the longer term.
Gold price (XAU/USD) extends the decline to around $4,030 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The precious metal edges lower as traders dialed back expectations of a US interest rate cut next month.
Ethereum is trading near $3,150 and just 8% above a key $2,895 long-term holders’ cost basis, with on-chain flows, macro uncertainty and support around $3,000–$2,800 all shaping what comes next for ETH.
