USD/CNH to move towards 7.45 by year-end – Societe Generale

Source Fxstreet

Third Plenum meeting is going to happen next week. The discussion around reviving the property market and consumer sentiment will be its main topic, Societe Generale FX strategists note.  

Retreat from 7.30 for USD/CNH may be short-lived

“Soft inflation data in China overnight reinforces our view that consumer sentiment in the mainland economy remains weak.”

“The discussion around reviving the property market and consumer sentiment will be the main topic at the Third Plenum meeting next week.”

“The consequences of subdued economic growth means the retreat from 7.30 for USD/CNH may be short-lived. Our EM colleagues pencil appreciation of the pair towards 7.45 by year-end.”

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
The Fed held at 3.75%–4.00% — and two officials voted to hike. December is now 85% pricedThe FOMC held by a 10–2 vote, with Governor Cook and Cleveland Fed President Hammack dissenting for a 25bp hike. Chair Warsh offered no forward guidance and no dot plot, the 2-year yield fell 8bp to 4.70%, and the dollar slipped to 101.84 even as markets moved December hike odds to 85%–87%. Tonight's Q3 GDP and September core PCE are the next referee.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 29, Thu
The FOMC held by a 10–2 vote, with Governor Cook and Cleveland Fed President Hammack dissenting for a 25bp hike. Chair Warsh offered no forward guidance and no dot plot, the 2-year yield fell 8bp to 4.70%, and the dollar slipped to 101.84 even as markets moved December hike odds to 85%–87%. Tonight's Q3 GDP and September core PCE are the next referee.
placeholder
Gold Price Analysis Today | Forex Gold Analysis | XAU/USD Analysis - November 3, 2026Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for November 3, 2026. Read on for the details.
Author  Mitrade
Nov 03, Tue
Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for November 3, 2026. Read on for the details.
placeholder
Gold rebounds to $3,946 off $3,870 as oil does the Fed's work — but the ETF bid is still missingGold closed at $3,946, up 1.84% from a one-year low of $3,870.25, as Brent's 7.6% slide cut December hike odds to 77%. ETF holdings are still shrinking — a short-covering bounce, not new money.
Author  Irene Q.
Nov 03, Tue
Gold closed at $3,946, up 1.84% from a one-year low of $3,870.25, as Brent's 7.6% slide cut December hike odds to 77%. ETF holdings are still shrinking — a short-covering bounce, not new money.
placeholder
Brent at $103.60: the peace trade is selling paper, but the physical market just drew 5.3 million barrelsBrent settled at $103.60, its lowest close since October 7 and an 8% weekly drop on US-Iran talks. Yet API crude stocks fell 5.267 million barrels versus a 2.1 million build expected.
Author  Irene Q.
Yesterday 03: 36
Brent settled at $103.60, its lowest close since October 7 and an 8% weekly drop on US-Iran talks. Yet API crude stocks fell 5.267 million barrels versus a 2.1 million build expected.
placeholder
Gold Price Analysis Today | Forex Gold Analysis | XAU/USD Analysis - November 4, 2026Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for November 4, 2026. Read on for the details.
Author  Mitrade
21 hours ago
Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for November 4, 2026. Read on for the details.
goTop
quote