DXY: Return of safe haven – OCBC
US Dollar (USD) fell overnight as US PPI data underwhelmed. DXY was last at 98.32 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
Daily momentum is mild bearish bias
"But USD rebounded this morning, alongside other safe-haven proxies, including CHF, JPY and gold on geopolitical escalation. Israel attacks on Iran also saw >10% jump in brent. "
"Not surprisingly, risk proxies including AUD and KRW traded on the backfoot. Iran has indicated that they will respond 'harshly'. Geopolitical noises may temporarily distort the USD downtrend and temporarily weigh on risk proxies especially heading into the weekend."
"Daily momentum is mild bearish bias while RSI shows signs of rising from near oversold conditions. Support at 97.60 (overnight low). Resistance at 99.30 (21 DMA), 99.80 levels (50 DMA)."
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