DXY looks set to trade in a 100.00-110.00 range – SocGen
Source Fxstreet
The US Dollar Index (DXY) has inched higher as market pricing of Fed easing in 2024 has been downgraded. Economists at Société Générale analyze Greenback’s outlook.
The Fed is unlikely to ease dramatically
The US economy appears to have escaped a recession, and while that won’t stand in the way of monetary policy easing in 2024, it means that the Fed is unlikely to ease dramatically, reducing downward pressure on the USD.
Irrespective of the actual policies that might be adopted by Trump or Biden presidencies (not to mention the possibility that one or the other may not be on the ballot come November), increased uncertainty and increased tail risks will probably be USD supportive.
DXY looks set to trade in a 100.00-110.00 range.
Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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On November 12, gold prices (XAUUSD) extended their recent losses, falling further below $4,000 in early Asian trading to hit an intraday low near $3,968, marking a third consecutive day
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Spot gold is trading near $3,999, its third consecutive lower daily low, after a 5.00% 10-year yield and a 102.85 dollar index raised the odds of a December hike to 87%. But the selling is not coming from the strategic holders: managed-money net longs fell to 324 tonnes, a 21-week low, and Goldman Sachs attributes roughly 95% of five weeks of selling to non-reportable positions. ETFs still hold a record 4,256 tonnes and central banks bought 321 tonnes in Q3. The table below sets the triggers, directions and levels.
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