The S&P 500 has posted a positive return in 13 of the last 15 Presidential Election years – Citi
Source Fxstreet
The road to the White House currently looks like a rematch between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump. Economists at Citigroup explain why not wait to invest until after the US elections.
Markets are likely to go up no matter who wins in the US
The S&P 500 has posted a positive return in 13 of the last 15 Presidential Election years.
Only if there is a major geopolitical event or a radical change in policy after the US elections might there be a negative tilt in economic activity.
Meanwhile, this phase of normalization and growth, of resilience and reshoring will continue, driving future corporate profits and markets higher.
Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for November 9, 2026. Read on for the details.
Weekly Report: Gold up 4.5%, Brent down 16.4% — three commodity regimes just resetGold rose 4.51% to $4,074.90 while Brent fell 16.42% to $98.32 in the same five sessions — two inflation hedges, opposite answers. Around them, the gold-silver ratio sits at 78.7 and copper fell 3.72%. Three regime signals, two of them close to flipping, define what commodity traders must re-price before Tuesday's CPI.
Gold rose 4.51% to $4,074.90 while Brent fell 16.42% to $98.32 in the same five sessions — two inflation hedges, opposite answers. Around them, the gold-silver ratio sits at 78.7 and copper fell 3.72%. Three regime signals, two of them close to flipping, define what commodity traders must re-price before Tuesday's CPI.
The CPI that has no year-over-year number is the one that decides DecemberOctober CPI lands on Nov 10 at 13:30 GMT, and it will be published without a year-over-year figure: BLS never collected October 2025 prices during the federal shutdown. Consensus is +0.3% headline and +0.2% core month-on-month, against +0.6% and +0.3% in September. With December hike odds at 77%, the month-on-month print is now the whole story, and $4,197–4,202 on gold and 4.86% on the 10-year are the levels that price it.
October CPI lands on Nov 10 at 13:30 GMT, and it will be published without a year-over-year figure: BLS never collected October 2025 prices during the federal shutdown. Consensus is +0.3% headline and +0.2% core month-on-month, against +0.6% and +0.3% in September. With December hike odds at 77%, the month-on-month print is now the whole story, and $4,197–4,202 on gold and 4.86% on the 10-year are the levels that price it.
On Tuesday (Nov. 10) Eastern Time, the U.S. will release the October Consumer Price Index (CPI), a key inflation reading ahead of the Federal Reserve's December interest rate decision. Th
Nvidia fell 4.3% on a day the Nasdaq rose 2.7% — this is a governance discount, not an AI warningNvidia closed at $178.67 on November 9, down 4.27% with an intraday low of $170.24, while the Nasdaq rose 2.74% and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index jumped 6.85%. Volume was roughly 2.5 times the prior session. The board opened an independent review after CEO Jensen Huang's public statement about his personal life. With Q3 earnings on November 17, the two levels that matter are $170.24 and $200."
Nvidia closed at $178.67 on November 9, down 4.27% with an intraday low of $170.24, while the Nasdaq rose 2.74% and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index jumped 6.85%. Volume was roughly 2.5 times the prior session. The board opened an independent review after CEO Jensen Huang's public statement about his personal life. With Q3 earnings on November 17, the two levels that matter are $170.24 and $200."
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