US Dollar: Rally on resilient US growth prospects or sell off on lower market interest rates? – ING
Source Fxstreet
FX markets continue to trade in mixed fashion. Economists at ING analyze Dollar’s outlook.
Caught between a low rate and a strong US world
On the one hand, the mildly pro-risk sentiment should be a mild Dollar negative. Yet, decent US growth plus rates falling faster in Europe than in the US are keeping the Dollar mildly bid.
We doubt this challenge gets resolved in the short term, even though today’s US Core PCE deflator should again come in at a very well behaved 0.2% month-on-month, 2.0% year-on-year and point to the Fed’s job being done.
Given our view on a less-than-dovish FOMC meeting next week and potential market noise around Monday’s announcement of the US Quarterly Refunding, we suspect DXY can hold support levels near 103.00 and could nudge up towards the 104.00/104.25 area early next week.
Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Recommended Articles
Bitcoin Drops Below $83,000 as US Government Transfers Over 10,000 BTC, Sparking Panic Over Potential Selling PressureUS government transfers over 10,000 BTC as Bitcoin extends losses to breach $83,000, but a further sharp decline remains unlikely.On October 8, Bitcoin (BTC) extended its recent losses, f
US government transfers over 10,000 BTC as Bitcoin extends losses to breach $83,000, but a further sharp decline remains unlikely.On October 8, Bitcoin (BTC) extended its recent losses, f
Gold falls to a two-month low as real yields bite — can $4,000 hold?Gold hit a two-month low on 7 October, with spot touching roughly $4,090 and COMEX December futures closing at $4,140.70, even as the New York Fed's one-year inflation expectation rose to 3.9% — its highest since May 2023. The paradox resolves through real yields: the 30-year Treasury yield reached 5.732% intraday, its highest since 2002. Here are the levels, the institutional split, and the scenarios into tonight's jobless claims and 30-year auction.
Gold hit a two-month low on 7 October, with spot touching roughly $4,090 and COMEX December futures closing at $4,140.70, even as the New York Fed's one-year inflation expectation rose to 3.9% — its highest since May 2023. The paradox resolves through real yields: the 30-year Treasury yield reached 5.732% intraday, its highest since 2002. Here are the levels, the institutional split, and the scenarios into tonight's jobless claims and 30-year auction.
As of the Asian session on October 8, gold prices (XAUUSD) maintained a weak rebound trend today, with the latest price trading around $4,120; yesterday, gold prices briefly fell below $4
Euro slides to a 17-month low as France's budget crisis spreads — can 1.12 hold?EUR/USD touched 1.1162 on 5 October, its weakest level in 17 months, as France's budget standoff pushed the 10-year OAT above 5% and the OAT-Bund spread to roughly 160bp — the widest since the 2011-12 eurozone debt crisis. The euro now trades near 1.1215 ahead of US jobless claims and a $22 billion 30-year Treasury auction. Here are the levels and the two scenarios to watch.
EUR/USD touched 1.1162 on 5 October, its weakest level in 17 months, as France's budget standoff pushed the 10-year OAT above 5% and the OAT-Bund spread to roughly 160bp — the widest since the 2011-12 eurozone debt crisis. The euro now trades near 1.1215 ahead of US jobless claims and a $22 billion 30-year Treasury auction. Here are the levels and the two scenarios to watch.
Today’s Market Recap: 10-Year Treasury Yield Hits Highest Since 2002，U.S. Stocks Fall as Brent Barely Holds $100Tracking the Market TrendTradingKey - On October 7, U.S. Eastern Time, the 10-year Treasury yield climbed to an intraday high of 5.36%, its highest level since 2002, while all three major U.S. stock i
Tracking the Market TrendTradingKey - On October 7, U.S. Eastern Time, the 10-year Treasury yield climbed to an intraday high of 5.36%, its highest level since 2002, while all three major U.S. stock i
Related Instrument
