Bitcoin-market watchers woke to political fireworks as the United States Senate approved President Donald Trump’s multitrillion-dollar tax-and-spending package, the “One Big Beautiful Bill Act,” with Vice-President J.D. Vance casting the tie-breaking vote to seal a 51–50 victory. Only three Republicans—Susan Collins of Maine, Rand Paul of Kentucky and Thom Tillis of North Carolina—joined Democrats in opposition. The measure now returns to a narrowly divided House, where fiscal-hawk conservatives have vowed to reopen fights over the bill’s $3-trillion deficit impact and Medicaid cuts.
Within minutes of the gavel, crypto-focused social analytics platforms lit up. Santiment reported a surge in references to the words “big,” “beautiful,” and “bill,” dwarfing bearish keywords by a factor of three, an unusual imbalance that historically coincides with short-term upside in digital-asset prices. “Traders are making mainly bullish proclamations after this next step has been checked off the list,” analyst Brian Q wrote in a note published barely an hour after the vote.
The Senate text contains no direct regulatory relief for digital assets. Senator Cynthia Lummis’ amendment — which would have deferred tax on staking and mining rewards until sale and exempted sub-$300 retail payments — never reached the floor. “We lost on getting the Bitcoin & crypto tax amendment in BBB. It sucks. This is one of the top sets of issues we’ve been advocating for… maybe we get it in a new bill or we take another swing in next years budget… but we’ll get it done,” BTC Inc. CEO David Bailey wrote via X.
Still, macro-sensitive investors zeroed in on two provisions with clear implications for the sector: First, there’s the reinstatement of 100 percent bonus depreciation. Firms may now expense the full cost of new hardware in year one rather than amortizing it. For a mining operator acquiring $10 million in ASIC rigs, the immediate write-off cuts the effective after-tax cost by roughly one-third, sharpening incentives to deploy capital quickly and pushing projected network hashrate higher.
Second, the permanent elimination of federal taxes on tips and overtime pay. While politically framed as middle-class relief, the provision amounts to an estimated $280 billion of disposable income over ten years, according to the Washington Post, potentially supporting risk-asset allocation at the retail margin.
Bitcoin initially slipped 1.4 percent to $105,800, retracing part of Tuesday’s record monthly close near $107,200 before stabilising just above $106,000.
The short-lived dip drew astonishment from long-time analyst Vijay Boyapati, who wrote on X, “Bitcoin falling on the BBB passing the Senate is perhaps the most irrational market reaction since the Bitcoin Covid crash to $3,000, just as the money printer went into overdrive in 2020.”
Other voices focused on fiscal risk: dVick called the bill “another nail in the dollar’s coffin,” adding: “The devaluation has been accellerated. If you’re not in Bitcoin, and don’t get in soon, I expect those are decisions you’ll soon regret.”
Balaji Srinivasan, former chief technology officer of Coinbase, added: “The US is broke. The real debt is $175T+. And @elonmusk is 100% correct on the numbers. But the difficult step is the logical conclusion. There is no fix. It’s a writeoff. A national bankruptcy. And the default will be in the form of money printing.”
For Bitcoin and crypto participants, the Senate vote is less an endpoint than a macro signal. Should the final package survive intact, the combination of fresh consumer cash, generous capital-investment write-offs and a potentially more accommodative Fed would replicate many of the monetary conditions that powered Bitcoin’s 2020-21 run. In Boyapati’s words, “the money printer” may not be at full throttle yet, but the gears just started whirring.
At press time, BTC traded at $106,454.