Altcoin Market Cap Surges Past 200-Day EMA: Is Altseason Finally Here?

Source Newsbtc

Several indicators point to renewed strength in altcoins, suggesting a potential altcoin season on the horizon. However, for confirmation, Bitcoin (BTC) dominance needs to drop further.

Altcoin Market Cap Crosses 200-Day EMA

Crypto analysts are closely monitoring various indicators that track altcoin behavior, with one critical metric being the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA).

According to the following chart, the OTHERS index – an index that tracks the market cap of cryptocurrencies excluding the top 10 digital assets by market capitalization – has surged past both the 100-day EMA and the 200-day EMA.

altcoin market cap

For the uninitiated, the 200-day EMA is a commonly used technical indicator that shows the average price of an asset over the past 200 days, with more weightage given to recent prices. It’s used to identify long-term trends – when the price is above the 200-day EMA, it suggests the asset may be in an upward trend, while being below it signals a potential downtrend. 

At present, the OTHERS index sits at $227.5 billion, while the 200-day EMA and the 100-day EMA are at $221.8 billion and $212.9 billion, respectively. According to crypto analyst Caleb Franzen, the last time this occurred was in July 2023. At the time, altcoins established firm support at these EMAs to achieve higher-highs. 

Another cryptocurrency analyst, Ali Martinez, alluded to the altcoin market cap – excluding BTC and Ethereum (ETH) – breaking out of what appears to be a long downward trend. Although Martinez is not fully convinced of a full-blown altcoin season yet, he dubs the breakout as a “good start.”

Bitcoin Dominance Must Crash Before Altseason

While the altcoin market cap breaking out of a sustained downtrend raises hope for an imminent altseason, BTC dominance (BTC.D) must drop significantly from its current levels. 

Currently, Bitcoin dominance sits at 57.5%. From the chart below, it is evident that BTC.D has been on a sustained upward trajectory since at least November 2022. According to crypto analyst Yoddha, BTC.D looks poised to crash into the mid-40s, potentially paving the way for a full-blown altseason.

BTC.D

Negentropic, co-founder at on-chain data platform Glassnode, remarked that the market seems to be on the verge of an altcoin season. Referring to the Bitcoin-Altcoin Cycle chart from Swissblock, Negentropic notes that once BTC breaks its all-time high (ATH) and enters price discovery mode, altcoin should follow suit. 

The Bitcoin-Altcoin Cycle chart displays the inverse relationship between BTC and altcoin price movements throughout the year. Any reading above 50 indicates the market has entered an altcoin-dominated phase, whereas a reading below 50 signals a BTC-led market.

altcoin cycle

Despite these promising indicators, it’s important for the leading altcoin, ETH, to rebound against BTC before capital flows into mid-cap and small-cap altcoins. As previously reported, the ETH/BTC trading pair is currently at its lowest since April 2021. At press time, BTC trades at $64,481, up 1.5% in the past 24 hours.

bitcoin
Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
What Crypto Whales are Buying For May 2025Crypto whales are making bold moves heading into May 2025, and three tokens are standing out: Ethereum (ETH), Artificial Superintelligence Alliance (FET), and Onyxcoin (XCN).
Author  Beincrypto
Apr 21, Mon
Crypto whales are making bold moves heading into May 2025, and three tokens are standing out: Ethereum (ETH), Artificial Superintelligence Alliance (FET), and Onyxcoin (XCN).
placeholder
Analysts Highlight 4 Reasons Why ETH Price Could Rebound Strongly in MayEthereum (ETH) has declined for five consecutive months. However, it enters May with rising optimism.
Author  Beincrypto
May 07, Wed
Ethereum (ETH) has declined for five consecutive months. However, it enters May with rising optimism.
placeholder
Ethereum Price Ready to Surge—$2,000 Level Could Be Within ReachEthereum price started a fresh increase above the $1,800 zone. ETH is now rising and attempting a move above the $1,850 resistance. Ethereum started a fresh recovery wave above the $1,820 resistance.
Author  NewsBTC
May 08, Thu
Ethereum price started a fresh increase above the $1,800 zone. ETH is now rising and attempting a move above the $1,850 resistance. Ethereum started a fresh recovery wave above the $1,820 resistance.
placeholder
Ethereum Price Explodes Past $2,200 with 25% Surge—Momentum Builds FastEthereum price started a fresh surge above the $2,000 zone. ETH is now up over 25% and consolidating gains near the $2,200 zone. Ethereum started a fresh surge above the $2,000 resistance.
Author  NewsBTC
May 09, Fri
Ethereum price started a fresh surge above the $2,000 zone. ETH is now up over 25% and consolidating gains near the $2,200 zone. Ethereum started a fresh surge above the $2,000 resistance.
placeholder
Bitcoin 2025 Conference Day One: How Has the Crypto Market Shifted?  The Bitcoin 2025 Conference signals strong regulatory recognition of Bitcoin in the U.S., with growing speculation that the government may increase BTC holdings.
Author  TradingKey
20 hours ago
The Bitcoin 2025 Conference signals strong regulatory recognition of Bitcoin in the U.S., with growing speculation that the government may increase BTC holdings.
goTop
quote