XRP spot ETF will only come after a futures investment product like its Bitcoin counterpart

Source Fxstreet
  • Following spot BTC ETF approvals, expectation for an Ether and XRP ETF have grown.
  • Market watchers says an XRP futures ETF would be key in paving way for a spot XRP ETF.
  • Gemini exchange relisted XRP after it was appointed custodian for VanEck’s spot Bitcoin ETF

With memories of the landmark spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) still fresh in the mind, cryptocurrency markets are already considering the possibility of an Ethereum and XRP spot ETF.

Also Read: Ethereum price eyes 5% swing south as SEC delays Grayscale spot ETH ETF

Spot XRP ETF hinges on futures investment counterpart

As chatter about an XRP spot ETF continues, Fox Business’s Eleanor Terrett says an XRP futures ETF must come, akin to how it played out in the spot Bitcoin ETF situation.

Reportedly, before the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approved the Bitcoin spot ETFs, it had concluded that the CME bitcoin futures market would suffice to provide surveillance for fraud and manipulation.

With this, the market watcher says, “If XRP gets a futures ETF then it’s a step in the right direction to one day getting a spot.

As reported, one of the largest asset managers, BlackRock, recently decided to avoid an XRP ETF according to a Fox Business reporter. 

Meanwhile, reports indicate that Ripple is on the lookout for a Senior Manager for Business Development in New York, with the selection criteria being that the ideal candidate must be able to drive cryptocurrency-related ETF initiatives with internal trading teams and relevant partners.

One possible reason for this is that there is not adequate clarity on XRP’s status as a security or non-security. The SEC versus Ripple lawsuit’s outcome is expected to shed light on XRP’s status. 

SEC vs Ripple lawsuit FAQs

Is XRP a security?

It depends on the transaction, according to a court ruling released on July 14:

For institutional investors or over-the-counter sales, XRP is a security.
For retail investors who bought the token via programmatic sales on exchanges, on-demand liquidity services and other platforms, XRP is not a security.

How does the ruling affect Ripple in its legal battle against the SEC?

The United States Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC) accused Ripple and its executives of raising more than $1.3 billion through an unregistered asset offering of the XRP token.

While the judge ruled that programmatic sales aren’t considered securities, sales of XRP tokens to institutional investors are indeed investment contracts. In this last case, Ripple did breach the US securities law and will need to keep litigating over the around $729 million it received under written contracts.

What are the implications of the ruling for the overall crypto industry?

The ruling offers a partial win for both Ripple and the SEC, depending on what one looks at.

Ripple gets a big win over the fact that programmatic sales aren’t considered securities, and this could bode well for the broader crypto sector as most of the assets eyed by the SEC’s crackdown are handled by decentralized entities that sold their tokens mostly to retail investors via exchange platforms, experts say.

Still, the ruling doesn’t help much to answer the key question of what makes a digital asset a security, so it isn’t clear yet if this lawsuit will set precedent for other open cases that affect dozens of digital assets. Topics such as which is the right degree of decentralization to avoid the “security” label or where to draw the line between institutional and programmatic sales are likely to persist.

Is the SEC stance toward crypto assets likely to change after the ruling?

The SEC has stepped up its enforcement actions toward the blockchain and digital assets industry, filing charges against platforms such as Coinbase or Binance for allegedly violating the US Securities law. The SEC claims that the majority of crypto assets are securities and thus subject to strict regulation.

While defendants can use parts of Ripple’s ruling in their favor, the SEC can also find reasons in it to keep its current strategy of regulation by enforcement.

Can the court ruling be overturned?

The court decision is a partial summary judgment. The ruling can be appealed once a final judgment is issued or if the judge allows it before then. The case is in a pretrial phase, in which both Ripple and the SEC still have the chance to settle.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
October hike odds climb toward 60% as Goldman and BofA both flip — what Warsh's "dose of accommodation" really changedRate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 23, Wed
Rate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
placeholder
Hurricane Isaias has shut in a quarter of Gulf oil output — can WTI clear $92 before Thursday's EIA report?WTI trades at $90.80 after rebounding roughly 3% from Wednesday's $87.96 low as Hurricane Isaias — the Atlantic season's first — forces producers to shut in about 25% of US Gulf of Mexico output. Brent holds at $103.41. The first official read on the disruption arrives with the EIA weekly petroleum report on Thursday 15 October — here are the key levels and both scenarios.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 09, Fri
WTI trades at $90.80 after rebounding roughly 3% from Wednesday's $87.96 low as Hurricane Isaias — the Atlantic season's first — forces producers to shut in about 25% of US Gulf of Mexico output. Brent holds at $103.41. The first official read on the disruption arrives with the EIA weekly petroleum report on Thursday 15 October — here are the key levels and both scenarios.
placeholder
US September CPI preview: inflation set to hit 3.7% — will the Fed hike in December?US September CPI lands Wednesday with headline inflation seen at 3.7% y/y and core at 0.2% m/m. December hike odds sit near 70% — here are the scenarios, the calendar and the key levels.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 10, Sat
US September CPI lands Wednesday with headline inflation seen at 3.7% y/y and core at 0.2% m/m. December hike odds sit near 70% — here are the scenarios, the calendar and the key levels.
placeholder
Gold posts first weekly gain in three weeks — can $4,200 hold through CPI?Spot gold closed at $4,194.645, up 1.47% — its first weekly gain in three weeks — and COMEX futures settled back above $4,200 at $4,220.30. Here are the drivers, the levels and the scenarios into Wednesday's CPI.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 10, Sat
Spot gold closed at $4,194.645, up 1.47% — its first weekly gain in three weeks — and COMEX futures settled back above $4,200 at $4,220.30. Here are the drivers, the levels and the scenarios into Wednesday's CPI.
placeholder
Brent swings $105.63 to $102.33 as Gulf risk meets an 'energy ceasefire' — can $100 hold into CPI?Brent spiked to $105.63 in Asian trade on fresh Middle East supply incidents, then reversed to $102.33 after the US announced a Russia-Ukraine 'energy ceasefire' and 300,000+ tonnes of Russian diesel headed to global markets; WTI fell through $90. Here are the drivers, the levels and the scenarios into Wednesday's US CPI.
Author  Irene Q.
Yesterday 05: 47
Brent spiked to $105.63 in Asian trade on fresh Middle East supply incidents, then reversed to $102.33 after the US announced a Russia-Ukraine 'energy ceasefire' and 300,000+ tonnes of Russian diesel headed to global markets; WTI fell through $90. Here are the drivers, the levels and the scenarios into Wednesday's US CPI.
goTop
quote