Solana Poised For $400-500 Upside As Analyst Spots Wave 5 Formation

Source Newsbtc

Solana (SOL), one of the largest digital assets in the market by market capitalization, has been in a period of price consolidation, oscillating between the $140 and $150 price range. This period follows a significant drop that saw SOL plummet to $109 on August 5th, with a modest recovery since then. 

However, despite its resurgence, Solana has struggled to break above upper resistance levels, reflecting a pattern reminiscent of Bitcoin’s (BTC) price movements for the past week.

Solana Price Forecast

According to crypto analyst “XForce,” Solana is currently positioned in a way that is strikingly similar to Bitcoin’s price action, just on a different scale. 

The analyst contends that Solana is likely in the midst of a “wave 4” consolidation phase and is poised to enter a “wave 5” that could potentially double its current all-time high of $259, reached during the November 2021 bull run. 

This would imply a price target of approximately $400-$500 for Solana at the top of this market cycle, which could represent a price increase of nearly 250% from current market levels.

However, the analyst also warns that in the near term, Solana could experience a deeper correction, with targets potentially as low as a 22% drop to $110 or even a sharper decline to the $75 mark. This scenario is based on the analyst’s belief that Solana could enter in a “wave Y” correction.

Bearish Pattern Emerge, Threatening $100 Support

Adding to the technical analysis, Ali Martinez has recently spotted a potential head and shoulders pattern forming on Solana’s hourly chart. This pattern suggests that a breach below the $141 level could trigger a correction, sending Solana down to the $122 range. 

This level is of particular importance for Solana bulls, as a breach below $141 could potentially jeopardize the token’s year-to-date macro uptrend, which has been in place since February.

If the $122 level is lost, the theory put forth by XForce, the first analyst, could come into play, with Solana potentially retesting the crucial $100 support floor. This would be a significant test for the token’s long-term prospects, as a breach of this level could have broader implications for Solana’s overall market sentiment and investor confidence.

Currently, SOL is trading at $144, down over 2% in the 24-hour time frame, mirroring the broader market’s price action. However, in the case of further catalysts for the token’s price action, there are also crucial levels to overcome if the bulls want to get past the $200 mark.

On the SOL/USDT daily chart, the first hurdle that led to the current consolidation range for SOL was at $153, as the first barrier that prevented a test of the next obstacle at $163. Gaining these two levels in the short term will be key to anticipate a move towards $183 before a leg up to the $200 mark.

Solana

Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
US September CPI preview: inflation set to hit 3.7% — will the Fed hike in December?US September CPI lands Wednesday with headline inflation seen at 3.7% y/y and core at 0.2% m/m. December hike odds sit near 70% — here are the scenarios, the calendar and the key levels.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 10, Sat
US September CPI lands Wednesday with headline inflation seen at 3.7% y/y and core at 0.2% m/m. December hike odds sit near 70% — here are the scenarios, the calendar and the key levels.
placeholder
Yen inches toward 159 as Tokyo reopens — where is the line in the sand before 160?USD/JPY traded around 158.5 on Tuesday after Monday's 158.60 close — the highest since September 24 — as Tokyo reopened and the market re-focused on two dates dominating the yen calendar: the G20 finance ministers' meeting in Bangkok on October 15 and the Bank of Japan's October 30 decision. Here are the three forces leaning on the yen, the positioning picture, and the scenarios into Wednesday's US CPI.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 13, Tue
USD/JPY traded around 158.5 on Tuesday after Monday's 158.60 close — the highest since September 24 — as Tokyo reopened and the market re-focused on two dates dominating the yen calendar: the G20 finance ministers' meeting in Bangkok on October 15 and the Bank of Japan's October 30 decision. Here are the three forces leaning on the yen, the positioning picture, and the scenarios into Wednesday's US CPI.
placeholder
Strong profits, falling shares: bank earnings day one meets a memory-chip rout — with CPI and ASML aheadGoldman Sachs blew past estimates (EPS $17.01 vs $13.09 expected, profit +33%) while JPMorgan missed ($5.75 vs $5.93) and Wells Fargo fell 3% — yet the S&P 500 finished flat at 7,805.45, pinned below its record close as a memory-chip rout (SOX −2.67%, Micron under $1,000) kept the pressure on. Tonight brings the week's decider: US September CPI at 8:30 ET, then Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, BlackRock and ASML before the open. Here are the levels, both cases, and the watch list.
Author  Irene Q.
19 hours ago
Goldman Sachs blew past estimates (EPS $17.01 vs $13.09 expected, profit +33%) while JPMorgan missed ($5.75 vs $5.93) and Wells Fargo fell 3% — yet the S&P 500 finished flat at 7,805.45, pinned below its record close as a memory-chip rout (SOX −2.67%, Micron under $1,000) kept the pressure on. Tonight brings the week's decider: US September CPI at 8:30 ET, then Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, BlackRock and ASML before the open. Here are the levels, both cases, and the watch list.
placeholder
Bitcoin's V-shaped rebound: from $80,953 back above $83,000 — spot buyers step in as the Fed softens, but ETF outflows lingerBitcoin slid to $80,953 on October 13 — then snapped back above $83,000, reclaiming the 81,847–82,305 'golden zone' on spot-led buying as Williams and Waller cooled the Fed's hawkish tone and the dollar pulled back from its 18-month high. But October ETF outflows near $386 million and a fear-and-greed reading of 56 say the repair is unfinished. Here are the levels, the transmission chain and both cases ahead of tonight's US CPI.
Author  Suzie
19 hours ago
Bitcoin slid to $80,953 on October 13 — then snapped back above $83,000, reclaiming the 81,847–82,305 'golden zone' on spot-led buying as Williams and Waller cooled the Fed's hawkish tone and the dollar pulled back from its 18-month high. But October ETF outflows near $386 million and a fear-and-greed reading of 56 say the repair is unfinished. Here are the levels, the transmission chain and both cases ahead of tonight's US CPI.
placeholder
Gold Price Analysis Today | Forex Gold Analysis | XAU/USD Analysis - October 14, 2026Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for October 14, 2026. Read on for the details.
Author  Mitrade
18 hours ago
Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for October 14, 2026. Read on for the details.
goTop
quote