Solana Poised For $400-500 Upside As Analyst Spots Wave 5 Formation

Source Newsbtc

Solana (SOL), one of the largest digital assets in the market by market capitalization, has been in a period of price consolidation, oscillating between the $140 and $150 price range. This period follows a significant drop that saw SOL plummet to $109 on August 5th, with a modest recovery since then. 

However, despite its resurgence, Solana has struggled to break above upper resistance levels, reflecting a pattern reminiscent of Bitcoin’s (BTC) price movements for the past week.

Solana Price Forecast

According to crypto analyst “XForce,” Solana is currently positioned in a way that is strikingly similar to Bitcoin’s price action, just on a different scale. 

The analyst contends that Solana is likely in the midst of a “wave 4” consolidation phase and is poised to enter a “wave 5” that could potentially double its current all-time high of $259, reached during the November 2021 bull run. 

This would imply a price target of approximately $400-$500 for Solana at the top of this market cycle, which could represent a price increase of nearly 250% from current market levels.

However, the analyst also warns that in the near term, Solana could experience a deeper correction, with targets potentially as low as a 22% drop to $110 or even a sharper decline to the $75 mark. This scenario is based on the analyst’s belief that Solana could enter in a “wave Y” correction.

Bearish Pattern Emerge, Threatening $100 Support

Adding to the technical analysis, Ali Martinez has recently spotted a potential head and shoulders pattern forming on Solana’s hourly chart. This pattern suggests that a breach below the $141 level could trigger a correction, sending Solana down to the $122 range. 

This level is of particular importance for Solana bulls, as a breach below $141 could potentially jeopardize the token’s year-to-date macro uptrend, which has been in place since February.

If the $122 level is lost, the theory put forth by XForce, the first analyst, could come into play, with Solana potentially retesting the crucial $100 support floor. This would be a significant test for the token’s long-term prospects, as a breach of this level could have broader implications for Solana’s overall market sentiment and investor confidence.

Currently, SOL is trading at $144, down over 2% in the 24-hour time frame, mirroring the broader market’s price action. However, in the case of further catalysts for the token’s price action, there are also crucial levels to overcome if the bulls want to get past the $200 mark.

On the SOL/USDT daily chart, the first hurdle that led to the current consolidation range for SOL was at $153, as the first barrier that prevented a test of the next obstacle at $163. Gaining these two levels in the short term will be key to anticipate a move towards $183 before a leg up to the $200 mark.

Solana

Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
The dollar weakened, equities dipped, and gold hit record highsThe dollar weakened, equities fell, and gold set new records on Wednesday as investors waited for a Fed rate cut later in the day.
Author  Cryptopolitan
Sep 17, 2025
The dollar weakened, equities fell, and gold set new records on Wednesday as investors waited for a Fed rate cut later in the day.
placeholder
Markets in 2026: Will gold, Bitcoin, and the U.S. dollar make history again? — These are how leading institutions thinkAfter a turbulent 2025, what lies ahead for commodities, forex, and cryptocurrency markets in 2026?
Author  Insights
Dec 25, 2025
After a turbulent 2025, what lies ahead for commodities, forex, and cryptocurrency markets in 2026?
placeholder
ECB Policy Outlook for 2026: What It Could Mean for the Euro’s Next MoveWith the ECB likely holding rates steady at 2.15% and the Fed potentially extending cuts into 2026, EUR/USD may test 1.20 if Eurozone growth proves resilient, but weaker growth and an ECB pivot could pull the pair back toward 1.13 and potentially 1.10.
Author  Mitrade
Dec 26, 2025
With the ECB likely holding rates steady at 2.15% and the Fed potentially extending cuts into 2026, EUR/USD may test 1.20 if Eurozone growth proves resilient, but weaker growth and an ECB pivot could pull the pair back toward 1.13 and potentially 1.10.
placeholder
Gold rallies on hopes for US-Iran talks and falling US Treasury yieldsGold price (XAU/USD) gains nearly 2% on Wednesday as Oil futures prices tumbled amid growing speculation that the US and Iran would begin talks to end the conflict that started nearly four weeks ago. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades at $4,556.
Author  FXStreet
Mar 26, Thu
Gold price (XAU/USD) gains nearly 2% on Wednesday as Oil futures prices tumbled amid growing speculation that the US and Iran would begin talks to end the conflict that started nearly four weeks ago. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades at $4,556.
placeholder
Australian Dollar falls to two-month lows on US–Iran peace uncertaintyAUD/USD extends its losing streak for the fourth consecutive day, trading around 0.6880 during the Asian hours on Friday.
Author  FXStreet
Yesterday 01: 27
AUD/USD extends its losing streak for the fourth consecutive day, trading around 0.6880 during the Asian hours on Friday.
goTop
quote