Solana Poised For $400-500 Upside As Analyst Spots Wave 5 Formation

Source Newsbtc

Solana (SOL), one of the largest digital assets in the market by market capitalization, has been in a period of price consolidation, oscillating between the $140 and $150 price range. This period follows a significant drop that saw SOL plummet to $109 on August 5th, with a modest recovery since then. 

However, despite its resurgence, Solana has struggled to break above upper resistance levels, reflecting a pattern reminiscent of Bitcoin’s (BTC) price movements for the past week.

Solana Price Forecast

According to crypto analyst “XForce,” Solana is currently positioned in a way that is strikingly similar to Bitcoin’s price action, just on a different scale. 

The analyst contends that Solana is likely in the midst of a “wave 4” consolidation phase and is poised to enter a “wave 5” that could potentially double its current all-time high of $259, reached during the November 2021 bull run. 

This would imply a price target of approximately $400-$500 for Solana at the top of this market cycle, which could represent a price increase of nearly 250% from current market levels.

However, the analyst also warns that in the near term, Solana could experience a deeper correction, with targets potentially as low as a 22% drop to $110 or even a sharper decline to the $75 mark. This scenario is based on the analyst’s belief that Solana could enter in a “wave Y” correction.

Bearish Pattern Emerge, Threatening $100 Support

Adding to the technical analysis, Ali Martinez has recently spotted a potential head and shoulders pattern forming on Solana’s hourly chart. This pattern suggests that a breach below the $141 level could trigger a correction, sending Solana down to the $122 range. 

This level is of particular importance for Solana bulls, as a breach below $141 could potentially jeopardize the token’s year-to-date macro uptrend, which has been in place since February.

If the $122 level is lost, the theory put forth by XForce, the first analyst, could come into play, with Solana potentially retesting the crucial $100 support floor. This would be a significant test for the token’s long-term prospects, as a breach of this level could have broader implications for Solana’s overall market sentiment and investor confidence.

Currently, SOL is trading at $144, down over 2% in the 24-hour time frame, mirroring the broader market’s price action. However, in the case of further catalysts for the token’s price action, there are also crucial levels to overcome if the bulls want to get past the $200 mark.

On the SOL/USDT daily chart, the first hurdle that led to the current consolidation range for SOL was at $153, as the first barrier that prevented a test of the next obstacle at $163. Gaining these two levels in the short term will be key to anticipate a move towards $183 before a leg up to the $200 mark.

Solana

Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Markets in 2026: Will gold, Bitcoin, and the U.S. dollar make history again? — These are how leading institutions thinkAfter a turbulent 2025, what lies ahead for commodities, forex, and cryptocurrency markets in 2026?
Author  Insights
Dec 25, Thu
After a turbulent 2025, what lies ahead for commodities, forex, and cryptocurrency markets in 2026?
placeholder
ECB Policy Outlook for 2026: What It Could Mean for the Euro’s Next MoveWith the ECB likely holding rates steady at 2.15% and the Fed potentially extending cuts into 2026, EUR/USD may test 1.20 if Eurozone growth proves resilient, but weaker growth and an ECB pivot could pull the pair back toward 1.13 and potentially 1.10.
Author  Mitrade
Dec 26, Fri
With the ECB likely holding rates steady at 2.15% and the Fed potentially extending cuts into 2026, EUR/USD may test 1.20 if Eurozone growth proves resilient, but weaker growth and an ECB pivot could pull the pair back toward 1.13 and potentially 1.10.
placeholder
Two Crypto “Buy” Calls for 2027: Bitcoin Looks Plausible, XRP Looks Like a High-Conviction BetStandard Chartered’s Kendrick-backed 2027 targets paint large upside for Bitcoin and XRP—but Bitcoin’s ETF-led adoption case looks sturdier, while XRP remains a higher-volatility bet dependent on ETF traction and real-world payments scaling.
Author  Mitrade
21 hours ago
Standard Chartered’s Kendrick-backed 2027 targets paint large upside for Bitcoin and XRP—but Bitcoin’s ETF-led adoption case looks sturdier, while XRP remains a higher-volatility bet dependent on ETF traction and real-world payments scaling.
placeholder
Silver Price Forecasts: XAG/USD drops below $75.00 after Trump - Zelenkyy’s meeting Silver (XAG/USD) has lost more than $10 since hitting a fresh record high near $86.00 on Monday’s early trading. The precious metal has retreated to levels in the $74.00 area at the time of writing, weighed by comments by US President Trump about the chances of a peace deal in Ukraine.
Author  FXStreet
21 hours ago
Silver (XAG/USD) has lost more than $10 since hitting a fresh record high near $86.00 on Monday’s early trading. The precious metal has retreated to levels in the $74.00 area at the time of writing, weighed by comments by US President Trump about the chances of a peace deal in Ukraine.
placeholder
Ethereum smart contract deployments reach new 8.7M high in Q4Token Terminal data revealed that smart contracts deployed on the Ethereum network hit an all-time high of 8.7 million in the fourth quarter of 2025.
Author  Cryptopolitan
21 hours ago
Token Terminal data revealed that smart contracts deployed on the Ethereum network hit an all-time high of 8.7 million in the fourth quarter of 2025.
goTop
quote