Bullish Bitcoin Indicator Which Led To A Reversal Has Returned, Is $70,000 Possible?

Source Newsbtc

Jamie Coutts, the chief crypto analyst at Real Vision, has highlighted an indicator that paints a bullish picture for Bitcoin (BTC). Based on this indicator, the crypto analyst suggested that a reversal might already be on the horizon for the flagship crypto. 

Bitcoin Hashrate Decline Is Slowing

Coutts mentioned in an X (formerly Twitter) post that Bitcoin’s hash rate decline is slowing, which he noted usually precedes a bottom ad reversal of the bearish cross, which happened after the halving event. He, however, warned that a bullish reversal still depends on a “stabilization in the downtrend.”

Bitcoin 1

The crypto analyst further noted that the percentage difference between the 30- and 90-day moving averages aligns with previous hash rate contractions and isn’t as severe as the post-2020 halving. A slowdown in Bitcoin’s hash rate decline is significant because it suggests that miners’ capitulation may be ending soon. 

Crypto expert Willy Woo previously mentioned that the market will recover when “weak miners die, and hash rate recovers.” He further explained that inefficient miners will have to go into bankruptcy while other miners are forced to purchase more efficient hardware.

Cryptoquant’s CEO Ki Young Ju has provided insights into when this miners’ capitulation might end. He stated that it usually ends when the daily average mined value is 40% of the yearly average. The crypto founder further revealed that it is currently at 72%, suggesting that it could still take a while before miners eventually cool off on offloading their reserves. 

Ki Young Ju told market participants to expect the crypto markets to be dull for the next two to three months. He urged them to stay long-term bullish but avoid excessive risk. Crypto analysts like Mikybull Crypto have also assured that Bitcoin’s long-term outlook is bullish as the flagship crypto is still far from its bull market peak. 

Market Still Recovering From Supply Overhang

Coutts also mentioned that the market is still recovering from the supply overhang. This is in relation to the selling pressure that Bitcoin experienced thanks to the German government, which offloaded nearly 50,000 BTC on the market. As such, it could take a while for the market to suck up this Bitcoin supply. 

Bitcoin 2

While this selling pressure has negatively impacted the market, Coutts stated that the distributions of the German government sales and Mt. Gox reserves can help remove the “annoying supply overhang.” The analyst noted that this would happen through distributing these coins to a wider array of holders, which would, in turn, grow the Bitcoin network and leave the flagship crypto even better off than before. 

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at around $58,300, up over 2% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. 

Bitcoin price chart from Tradingview.com
Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
US August CPI lands tonight: after a 5.4% PPI shock, will the Fed hike on September 16?US August PPI came in at 5.4% year-on-year, above the 5.3% consensus, with core PPI at 4.6%. Traders have pushed the odds of a 25bp Fed hike on September 15-16 to around 70%. Tonight's CPI is the last major inflation print before the decision — here is the full calendar, the consensus numbers, and what a hot versus cool reading would mean for the dollar, yields, gold and stocks.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 11, Fri
US August PPI came in at 5.4% year-on-year, above the 5.3% consensus, with core PPI at 4.6%. Traders have pushed the odds of a 25bp Fed hike on September 15-16 to around 70%. Tonight's CPI is the last major inflation print before the decision — here is the full calendar, the consensus numbers, and what a hot versus cool reading would mean for the dollar, yields, gold and stocks.
placeholder
Brent tests $108 as a key export pipeline stays shut — can the rally clear $110?Brent crude rose 2.55% to $106.97 and WTI 2.32% to $102.30 as a major regional export pipeline remained offline with no restart timeline. Front-month backwardation has widened to $5.53 from $3.84 a week ago, European gas is at its highest since December 2022, and one analyst sees $119.48 if talks stall.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 14, Mon
Brent crude rose 2.55% to $106.97 and WTI 2.32% to $102.30 as a major regional export pipeline remained offline with no restart timeline. Front-month backwardation has widened to $5.53 from $3.84 a week ago, European gas is at its highest since December 2022, and one analyst sees $119.48 if talks stall.
placeholder
Fed hike odds near 90% into Wednesday's decision — how to trade the dollar, gold and the S&P 500A 0.3% monthly core CPI print has lifted the market-implied probability of a 25bp Fed hike on 16 September to roughly 86.5% ~ 90%, which would be the first increase since July 2023. Here is the decision timeline, the pricing versus the forecasts, both scenarios, and the key levels for the dollar, gold and the S&P 500.
Author  Suzie
Sep 14, Mon
A 0.3% monthly core CPI print has lifted the market-implied probability of a 25bp Fed hike on 16 September to roughly 86.5% ~ 90%, which would be the first increase since July 2023. Here is the decision timeline, the pricing versus the forecasts, both scenarios, and the key levels for the dollar, gold and the S&P 500.
placeholder
Gold falls below $4,300 as higher US yields bolster Fed rate hike betsGold price (XAU/USD) tumbles to near $4,295 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The precious metal faces some selling pressure as rising bond yields and surging energy prices strengthen expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will raise interest rates this week. 
Author  FXStreet
Yesterday 01: 23
Gold price (XAU/USD) tumbles to near $4,295 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The precious metal faces some selling pressure as rising bond yields and surging energy prices strengthen expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will raise interest rates this week. 
placeholder
【Daily Brief】10-year Treasury yield briefly tops 5%, S&P 500 slips to 7,602 and the dollar firms at 99.3 as the Fed's decision eve beginsThe 10-year Treasury yield touched 5.014% on Monday — its first print above 5% since October 2023 — while the S&P 500 closed 0.48% lower at 7,619.98 and the dollar index firmed to 99.3. Here is the full market wrap ahead of Wednesday's FOMC decision, the dot plot and the August retail sales report, plus today's CLARITY Act Senate vote.
Author  Irene Q.
Yesterday 08: 16
The 10-year Treasury yield touched 5.014% on Monday — its first print above 5% since October 2023 — while the S&P 500 closed 0.48% lower at 7,619.98 and the dollar index firmed to 99.3. Here is the full market wrap ahead of Wednesday's FOMC decision, the dot plot and the August retail sales report, plus today's CLARITY Act Senate vote.
goTop
quote