Bitcoin sets the stage for a potential “destruction of fiat currency“

Source Fxstreet
  • Bitcoin price action against the US Money Stock is similar to the 1970s Stagflation Era, according to Peter Brandt's recent tweet.
  • Brandt's post suggests that the end of this consolidation could see BTC ascend rapidly.
  • The veteran trader suggests that the devaluation of fiat currencies could propel Bitcoin.

In a recent tweet on the social media platform X, formerly Twitter, Peter Brandt, a seasoned analyst, suggested that Bitcoin (BTC) price could be due for a massive uptrend. He compared the current BTC consolidation to the Stagflation Crisis of 1970.

Bitcoin price action vs stagflation of the past

Instead of comparing the bare-bones chart of Bitcoin price against the stock market, as many would, Peter Brandt used BTC against the total US Money Stock. This provides context to the massive expansion of the money supply and the unprecedented monetary policies implemented by central banks in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. 

This comparison puts in perspective how the two events, the COVID-19 and stagflation era, although spread far apart from each other, could have had a similar effect devaluating effect on fiat currencies. It is clear that the events that occurred in 1970 demonstrated two important facets of fiat currencies – fragility and the potential for their devaluation in the face of economic turmoil and misguided policies

The only difference between the 1970s and 2024 is the presence of a better currency—Bitcoin. Not only is BTC’s supply fixed and limited, but it could emerge as a viable alternative to fiat currencies and a hedge against inflation. Additionally, the institutions already see it as an alternative, which also explains the recent regulatory developments that have led to the approval of not one but two spot crypto ETFs. 

So, Brandt’s post states that if history rhymes, BTC’s market value could ascend rapidly,much like the post-1970s stagflation. This aligns with Bitcoin’s core argument, i.e., " destruction of fiat currencies.”

BTCUSD/WM1NS 1-week chart

BTCUSD/WM1NS 1-week chart

BTC target if history repeats

Due to the comparison of BTC against US Money Stock, it is unlikely to find targets based on simple chart pattern projections. The long-term target of Bitcoin price continues to remain mysterious, with forecasts from industry experts that range from $100,000 to $1 million per BTC. 

For a short-term target and how BTC could play out, refer to the following FXStreet posts.

  • Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC likely to provide another buying opportunity
  • Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC struggles, but $80K is at striking distance
  • Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: Is BTC out of the woods?
Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Japanese Yen rallies to February 18 high as upbeat wage data and GDP lift BoJ hike betsThe USD/JPY pair declines for the second straight day – also marking the fourth day of a fall in the previous five – and sinks to its lowest level since February 18, around mid-153.00s during the Asian session on Tuesday.
Author  FXStreet
Sep 08, Tue
The USD/JPY pair declines for the second straight day – also marking the fourth day of a fall in the previous five – and sinks to its lowest level since February 18, around mid-153.00s during the Asian session on Tuesday.
placeholder
Brent holds above $100 as tanker attacks tighten supply — but four forces are capping the rallyBrent crude is holding above $100 a barrel for a second session, its first close above the level since late July, as tanker attacks near the Strait of Hormuz squeeze an already tight physical market. Yet the rally has been gradual: 8.3 mb/d of Gulf output is still shut in, diesel is at a record, and forecasts now range from $74 to $100.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 10, Thu
Brent crude is holding above $100 a barrel for a second session, its first close above the level since late July, as tanker attacks near the Strait of Hormuz squeeze an already tight physical market. Yet the rally has been gradual: 8.3 mb/d of Gulf output is still shut in, diesel is at a record, and forecasts now range from $74 to $100.
placeholder
US August CPI Preview: Will Inflation Reaccelerate? US Stocks, Dollar and Gold Face Key Test On Friday, September 11 (ET), the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August, the final major inflation report before the Federal Reserve's Sep
Author  TradingKey
Sep 10, Thu
On Friday, September 11 (ET), the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August, the final major inflation report before the Federal Reserve's Sep
placeholder
US August CPI lands tonight: after a 5.4% PPI shock, will the Fed hike on September 16?US August PPI came in at 5.4% year-on-year, above the 5.3% consensus, with core PPI at 4.6%. Traders have pushed the odds of a 25bp Fed hike on September 15-16 to around 70%. Tonight's CPI is the last major inflation print before the decision — here is the full calendar, the consensus numbers, and what a hot versus cool reading would mean for the dollar, yields, gold and stocks.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 11, Fri
US August PPI came in at 5.4% year-on-year, above the 5.3% consensus, with core PPI at 4.6%. Traders have pushed the odds of a 25bp Fed hike on September 15-16 to around 70%. Tonight's CPI is the last major inflation print before the decision — here is the full calendar, the consensus numbers, and what a hot versus cool reading would mean for the dollar, yields, gold and stocks.
placeholder
Gold Price Forecast: PPI and Oil Prices Fuel Inflation Concerns, Can CPI Change Gold's Direction?As of the Asian session on September 11, gold prices (XAUUSD) remained in weak consolidation today after dropping sharply to near $4,300 on Thursday, with the latest price trading around
Author  TradingKey
Sep 11, Fri
As of the Asian session on September 11, gold prices (XAUUSD) remained in weak consolidation today after dropping sharply to near $4,300 on Thursday, with the latest price trading around
Related Instrument
goTop
quote