Week Ahead: Crypto market volatility likely to come back as BTC halving looms

Source Fxstreet
  • Bitcoin's recent tumble seems to have spiked volatility as BTC remains rangebound.
  • Ahead of Bitcoin's fourth halving, some altcoins are likely to yield unusually high returns. 
  • Major altcoins have like AXS & IMX have multi-million dollar token unlocks this week.

This week’s outlook is interesting since Bitcoin (BTC) has swept the range low on the daily time frame. This development, coupled with the upcoming halving event, suggests that a short-term correction play is in the works.

Going forward, investors need to monitor buy-the-dip opportunities closely since BTC tends to continue its bull run after halving. 

Read more: Bitcoin halving: Altcoin rally looks likely, historical data shows

Bitcoin’s breakdown

Bitcoin (BTC) has breached the $70,000 level and crashed nearly 15% over the weekend. This move has swept the range low, as discussed in a previous article. But the down move failed to dip into the weekly imbalance, extending from $53,120 to $59,111. 

With no major macroeconomic event to influence the directional bias, the sideways movement is likely to continue. 

BTC/USDT 1-day chart

BTC/USDT 1-day chart

Also read: Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC’s rangebound movement leaves traders confused

This week’s crypto events 

Monday, April 15: 

  • Stacks (STX) – Nakamoto Upgrade

Tuesday, April 16: 

  • Arbitrum (ARB) – $107 million unlock
  • Axie Infinity (AXS) – $78 million unlock
  • Fetch.AI (FET), SingularityNET (AGIX), and Ocean Protocol (OCEAN) merger voting ends.

Thursday, April 18: 

  • Manta (MANTA) – $44 million unlock

Friday, April 19: 

  • ImmutableX (IMX) – $73 million unlock
  • Coinbase vs. SEC lawsuit – Submit case management plan deadline

Saturday, April 20:

  • Dogecoin (DOGE) day 
  • Bitcoin Halving (Approximate ETA)

Altcoins to watch

  • Bitcoin halving: This event could benefit BTC-related altcoins like Bitcoin Cash (BCH), Bitcoin SV (BSV) and Stacks (STX). 
  • Ordinal Tokens: Originals or similar tokens launched on the Bitcoin blockchain will likely see a similar boom. Some of these lesser-known, highly risky and volatile tokens include Pups (PUPS), SatoshiVM (SAVM) and Orange (ORNG).

Top 3 Reads

  1. Bitcoin price tanks to $62K ascribed to geopolitical tension a week to BTC halving
  2. Ethereum price stagnates as EIP-3074 brings smart contract functionalities to wallets
  3. XRP price tests $0.60 support as AMM makes comeback on XRPLedger
Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Gold rebounds above $4,350 as US Dollar, Treasury yields slipGold price (XAU/USD) rebounds from a nearly one-month low to around $4,385 during the early Asian session on Thursday. The precious metal edges higher as the ‌US Dollar (USD) and Treasury yields retreat from recent highs.
Author  FXStreet
Sep 03, Thu
Gold price (XAU/USD) rebounds from a nearly one-month low to around $4,385 during the early Asian session on Thursday. The precious metal edges higher as the ‌US Dollar (USD) and Treasury yields retreat from recent highs.
placeholder
Gold rebounds above $4,450 as Waller tempers Fed rate hike bets ahead US jobs dataGold price (XAU/USD) gains momentum to around $4,470 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal extended its recovery as Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike bets ease. All eyes will be on the US August Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, which is due later on Friday. 
Author  FXStreet
Sep 04, Fri
Gold price (XAU/USD) gains momentum to around $4,470 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal extended its recovery as Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike bets ease. All eyes will be on the US August Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, which is due later on Friday. 
placeholder
Yen hits one-month high on BOJ September-hike bets; AUD/JPY cracks support as carry unwindsUSD/JPY has tumbled from the 160 area to a one-month low near 155.2 in two sessions as Bank of Japan hike bets for the Sept 17-18 meeting intensify. AUD/JPY has broken below 112.7, flagging carry-trade stress. A test of 155.21 - and then 153 - is now in focus.
Author  Suzie
Sep 04, Fri
USD/JPY has tumbled from the 160 area to a one-month low near 155.2 in two sessions as Bank of Japan hike bets for the Sept 17-18 meeting intensify. AUD/JPY has broken below 112.7, flagging carry-trade stress. A test of 155.21 - and then 153 - is now in focus.
placeholder
Hot August jobs report reignites Fed-hike bets; S&P 500 slips below 7,700 — what to watch before the September FOMCAugust nonfarm payrolls surged to 162,000, three times the consensus, pushing CME FedWatch odds of a September 25-bp hike to 58.4% and dragging the S&P 500 below 7,700. CPI, PPI and the Sept 15-16 FOMC decision now set the tone for US stocks.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 07, Mon
August nonfarm payrolls surged to 162,000, three times the consensus, pushing CME FedWatch odds of a September 25-bp hike to 58.4% and dragging the S&P 500 below 7,700. CPI, PPI and the Sept 15-16 FOMC decision now set the tone for US stocks.
placeholder
AUD/USD climbs for a fourth day to 0.7218 as Fed-hike bets fail to lift the dollar; RBA speakers and US CPI now in focusThe Australian dollar has risen for four straight sessions toward 0.72 even after August nonfarm payrolls far exceeded expectations and pushed September Fed-hike odds to 58.4%. A thin, holiday-thinned dollar is the short-term driver; Westpac confidence and RBA speakers today, US PPI/CPI this week and the Sept 15-16 FOMC will decide whether the rally holds.
Author  Irene Q.
18 hours ago
The Australian dollar has risen for four straight sessions toward 0.72 even after August nonfarm payrolls far exceeded expectations and pushed September Fed-hike odds to 58.4%. A thin, holiday-thinned dollar is the short-term driver; Westpac confidence and RBA speakers today, US PPI/CPI this week and the Sept 15-16 FOMC will decide whether the rally holds.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote