WTI rises towards $77.00 on escalated Middle East tension, Houthi strikes at a ship

Source Fxstreet
  • WTI price extends its gains on a threat of supply disruptions due to the Israel-Hamas conflict.
  • Yemen’s Houthi rebels launched missiles at a ship headed for a port in Iran.
  • US top shale-producing regions could increase output by 20,000 bpd to 9.7 million bpd in March.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price extends its winning streak initiated on February 5, buoyed by heightened geopolitical tension in the Middle East. The price of Crude oil climbs towards $77.00 per barrel during the Asian session on Tuesday. Yemen’s Houthi rebels reportedly launched missiles at a ship headed for a port in Iran, resulting in minor damage to the vessel but no injuries to its crew, according to authorities.

Israel concluded a series of airstrikes in the southern Gaza city of Rafah on Monday. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stated his intention on Sunday to escalate military operations in Rafah following the rejection of a ceasefire proposal from Hamas.

However, US President Joe Biden warned Netanyahu against launching a ground offensive in Rafah without a "credible and executable" plan to ensure the safety of the civilians there. Hamas also cautioned Israel, stating that a ground incursion in Rafah could jeopardize future hostage releases. However, Diplomatic discussions in Beirut indicated potential progress towards reducing tensions between Israel and Hamas.

Higher interest rates contribute to uncertainty regarding demand, which in turn limits the rise in Crude oil prices. The Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to refrain from cutting interest rates at the March meeting due to concerns about inflationary pressures. Additionally, turbulence in the Chinese economy could have an impact on oil prices, given that China is the largest oil importer.

According to the US Energy Information Administration (EIA), oil output from the top shale-producing regions in the United States is projected to increase by nearly 20,000 barrels per day (bpd) to 9.7 million bpd in March, reaching its highest level in four months.

Traders will closely monitor the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report (MOMR), scheduled for publication on Tuesday. This report addresses significant issues affecting the global oil market and provides insights into developments in the crude oil market.

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Weekly Market Outlook: U.S. October CPI Focus and Powell and Fed Officials SpeakInsights – This week, the U.S. will release October CPI data, with inflation expected to face challenges in easing further. Retail sales data will also be closely watched for insights into the economy, guiding the Fed's future policy.
Author  Mitrade
Nov 11, 2024
Insights – This week, the U.S. will release October CPI data, with inflation expected to face challenges in easing further. Retail sales data will also be closely watched for insights into the economy, guiding the Fed's future policy.
placeholder
October hike odds climb toward 60% as Goldman and BofA both flip — what Warsh's "dose of accommodation" really changedRate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 23, Wed
Rate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
placeholder
【Daily Brief】30-year Treasury tops 5.59%, S&P 500 slips to 7,670 and gold holds $4,180 — PCE lands tonightThe 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.59%, its highest since June 2002, and the Dow fell 131.59 points to 51,349.92. US consumer confidence dropped to 81.9, a 12-year low, and JOLTS job openings fell to 7.1 million. August PCE and Q3 GDP both land at 8:30am ET tonight.
Author  Suzie
Sep 30, Wed
The 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.59%, its highest since June 2002, and the Dow fell 131.59 points to 51,349.92. US consumer confidence dropped to 81.9, a 12-year low, and JOLTS job openings fell to 7.1 million. August PCE and Q3 GDP both land at 8:30am ET tonight.
placeholder
Gold falls to near $4,150 as higher Treasury yields, oil prices outweigh softer PCE inflationGold price (XAU/USD) tumbles to near $4,150 during the early Asian session on Thursday, pressured by elevated US Treasury bond yields. Traders await the US September employment data for fresh impetus, which will be released later on Friday. 
Author  FXStreet
Oct 01, Thu
Gold price (XAU/USD) tumbles to near $4,150 during the early Asian session on Thursday, pressured by elevated US Treasury bond yields. Traders await the US September employment data for fresh impetus, which will be released later on Friday. 
placeholder
WTI Price Forecast: Dips to $91.50 as Middle East jitters limit lossesWest Texas Intermediate (WTI) – the benchmark US Crude Oil price – attracts some sellers during the Asian session on Friday, snapping a two-day winning streak and stalling the previous day's recovery from the vicinity of a nearly four-week low.
Author  FXStreet
Oct 02, Fri
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) – the benchmark US Crude Oil price – attracts some sellers during the Asian session on Friday, snapping a two-day winning streak and stalling the previous day's recovery from the vicinity of a nearly four-week low.
goTop
quote