Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD looks indecisive, flat lines above $31.00 mark

Source Fxstreet
  • Silver oscillates in a range on the last trading day of the week. 
  • A mixed technical setup warrants caution for aggressive traders.
  • Acceptance above $32.00 will set the stage for additional gains.

Silver (XAG/USD) struggles to capitalize on its modest intraday uptick and trades around the $31.15 region during the first half of the European session on Friday, nearly unchanged for the day.

Looking at the broader picture, this week's bounce from the vicinity of the $30.00 psychological mark and a subsequent strength back above the $31.00 mark favors bullish traders. That said, the recent repeated failures to capitalize on momentum beyond the $32.00 mark constitute the formation of a bearish multiple-tops pattern. This, along with mixed oscillators on the daily chart, warrants caution before positioning for any meaningful appreciating move for the XAG/USD. 

From current levels, the $31.55 region is likely to act as an immediate hurdle ahead of the $31.75-$31.80 area and the $32.00 mark. This is followed by resistance near the 32.25 supply zone, which if cleared decisively has the potential to lift the XAG/USD back towards the multi-year peak, just ahead of the $33.00 round figure touched last Friday. Some follow-through buying should pave the way for a move towards the December 2012 swing high, around the $33.85 region. 

On the flip side, weakness below the $31.00 round figure now seems to find some support near the $30.70-$30.65 region ahead of the $30.35-$30.25 area and the $30.00 mark. The next relevant support is pegged near the $29.80-$29.70 confluence – comprising the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the 50-day SMA. This should act as a key pivotal point, which if broken will set the stage for an extension of the recent decline from the highest level since December 2012. 

The XAG/USD might then accelerate the downfall towards the $29.00 mark before eventually dropping to test the $28.60-$28.50 zone. The descending trend could extend further towards the $28.10-$28.00 region en route to the September monthly swing low, around the $27.70 area.

Silver daily chart

fxsoriginal

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Gold Price Analysis Today | Forex Gold Analysis | XAU/USD Analysis - November 11, 2026Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for November 11, 2026. Read on for the details.
Author  Mitrade
Nov 11, Wed
Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for November 11, 2026. Read on for the details.
placeholder
Nvidia slid 7.7% after hours while AMD and Broadcom rose — the AI trade changed hands, it didn't breakNvidia closed Wednesday at 173.73, up 2.87%, then fell as much as 8.1% to 159.44 after reports that its board was preparing for a possible leadership change. The same session, the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rose 5.7% with all 30 components higher, CoreWeave jumped 24.7% on 168% revenue growth, and Micron added 11.9%. If AI demand were being repriced, AMD and Broadcom would not be bid. This is a governance discount on one name, and 204.54 — the 200-day average — is the level that settles it.
Author  Irene Q.
Nov 12, Thu
Nvidia closed Wednesday at 173.73, up 2.87%, then fell as much as 8.1% to 159.44 after reports that its board was preparing for a possible leadership change. The same session, the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rose 5.7% with all 30 components higher, CoreWeave jumped 24.7% on 168% revenue growth, and Micron added 11.9%. If AI demand were being repriced, AMD and Broadcom would not be bid. This is a governance discount on one name, and 204.54 — the 200-day average — is the level that settles it.
placeholder
US October PPI Preview: Fed Rate Hike Expectations Rise, PPI May Be Key Variable; How Will US Stocks, Dollar, and Gold Move?On Friday (Nov. 13) Eastern Time, the U.S. will release the October Producer Price Index (PPI). Following the October CPI once again exceeding expectations, the market will look to the PP
Author  TradingKey
Nov 12, Thu
On Friday (Nov. 13) Eastern Time, the U.S. will release the October Producer Price Index (PPI). Following the October CPI once again exceeding expectations, the market will look to the PP
placeholder
Gold hit a one-year low while central banks bought 321 tonnes — the sellers were never the ones you thinkSpot gold closed at 3,876 on Thursday, down 2.8% and its lowest close in more than a year, with an intraday low near 3,852. The dollar is at a 19-month high of 103.21 and the 10-year yield is at 5.10%, so the price move is easy to explain. What is harder to explain is who sold: central banks bought 321 tonnes in Q3, the PBoC added for a 24th straight month, ETF holdings are near a record 4,256 tonnes, and roughly 95% of the futures selling came from non-reportable and sovereign-type accounts rather than hedge funds. This piece separates the two books that have to balance.
Author  Irene Q.
Yesterday 02: 40
Spot gold closed at 3,876 on Thursday, down 2.8% and its lowest close in more than a year, with an intraday low near 3,852. The dollar is at a 19-month high of 103.21 and the 10-year yield is at 5.10%, so the price move is easy to explain. What is harder to explain is who sold: central banks bought 321 tonnes in Q3, the PBoC added for a 24th straight month, ETF holdings are near a record 4,256 tonnes, and roughly 95% of the futures selling came from non-reportable and sovereign-type accounts rather than hedge funds. This piece separates the two books that have to balance.
placeholder
Brent rose 3.3% and US crude stocks built 4.66 million barrels in the same weekBrent January settled at 95.82, up 3.3%, and WTI at 88.74, up 2.55%, after the US signalled it would not pursue a deal with Iran and attacks on Gulf shipping continued. In the same week, EIA data showed US crude inventories rising 4.657 million barrels against expectations of a 1.1 million draw, with gasoline up another 1.799 million. OPEC output also rebounded 1.96 million barrels a day to 27.16 million in October, led by Saudi Arabia at 10.56 million. This piece separates the geopolitical premium from the physical balance and lays out where each side of the trade is anchored.
Author  Irene Q.
Yesterday 03: 06
Brent January settled at 95.82, up 3.3%, and WTI at 88.74, up 2.55%, after the US signalled it would not pursue a deal with Iran and attacks on Gulf shipping continued. In the same week, EIA data showed US crude inventories rising 4.657 million barrels against expectations of a 1.1 million draw, with gasoline up another 1.799 million. OPEC output also rebounded 1.96 million barrels a day to 27.16 million in October, led by Saudi Arabia at 10.56 million. This piece separates the geopolitical premium from the physical balance and lays out where each side of the trade is anchored.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote