Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD looks indecisive, flat lines above $31.00 mark

Source Fxstreet
  • Silver oscillates in a range on the last trading day of the week. 
  • A mixed technical setup warrants caution for aggressive traders.
  • Acceptance above $32.00 will set the stage for additional gains.

Silver (XAG/USD) struggles to capitalize on its modest intraday uptick and trades around the $31.15 region during the first half of the European session on Friday, nearly unchanged for the day.

Looking at the broader picture, this week's bounce from the vicinity of the $30.00 psychological mark and a subsequent strength back above the $31.00 mark favors bullish traders. That said, the recent repeated failures to capitalize on momentum beyond the $32.00 mark constitute the formation of a bearish multiple-tops pattern. This, along with mixed oscillators on the daily chart, warrants caution before positioning for any meaningful appreciating move for the XAG/USD. 

From current levels, the $31.55 region is likely to act as an immediate hurdle ahead of the $31.75-$31.80 area and the $32.00 mark. This is followed by resistance near the 32.25 supply zone, which if cleared decisively has the potential to lift the XAG/USD back towards the multi-year peak, just ahead of the $33.00 round figure touched last Friday. Some follow-through buying should pave the way for a move towards the December 2012 swing high, around the $33.85 region. 

On the flip side, weakness below the $31.00 round figure now seems to find some support near the $30.70-$30.65 region ahead of the $30.35-$30.25 area and the $30.00 mark. The next relevant support is pegged near the $29.80-$29.70 confluence – comprising the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the 50-day SMA. This should act as a key pivotal point, which if broken will set the stage for an extension of the recent decline from the highest level since December 2012. 

The XAG/USD might then accelerate the downfall towards the $29.00 mark before eventually dropping to test the $28.60-$28.50 zone. The descending trend could extend further towards the $28.10-$28.00 region en route to the September monthly swing low, around the $27.70 area.

Silver daily chart

fxsoriginal

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Ethereum Drops Below $2,000 After Plunging Over 20% in a Month as Odds of $1,500 Retest SurgeEthereum Plunges Over 20% in a Month, Risking a Retest of $1,500 After Losing the $2,000 Defense Line.On November 13, Ethereum (ETH) plunged more than 5%, officially falling below the key
Author  TradingKey
11 hours ago
Ethereum Plunges Over 20% in a Month, Risking a Retest of $1,500 After Losing the $2,000 Defense Line.On November 13, Ethereum (ETH) plunged more than 5%, officially falling below the key
placeholder
Gold Price Forecast: Gold Tumbles Below $3,900 as Trump Says No Need for Iran Deal; Can October PPI Spur a Rebound? As of the Asian session on Friday (November 13), gold prices (XAUUSD) rebounded intraday following Thursday's sharp decline, trading near $3,910. Previously, gold tumbled 2.76% on Thursda
Author  TradingKey
13 hours ago
As of the Asian session on Friday (November 13), gold prices (XAUUSD) rebounded intraday following Thursday's sharp decline, trading near $3,910. Previously, gold tumbled 2.76% on Thursda
placeholder
Brent rose 3.3% and US crude stocks built 4.66 million barrels in the same weekBrent January settled at 95.82, up 3.3%, and WTI at 88.74, up 2.55%, after the US signalled it would not pursue a deal with Iran and attacks on Gulf shipping continued. In the same week, EIA data showed US crude inventories rising 4.657 million barrels against expectations of a 1.1 million draw, with gasoline up another 1.799 million. OPEC output also rebounded 1.96 million barrels a day to 27.16 million in October, led by Saudi Arabia at 10.56 million. This piece separates the geopolitical premium from the physical balance and lays out where each side of the trade is anchored.
Author  Irene Q.
17 hours ago
Brent January settled at 95.82, up 3.3%, and WTI at 88.74, up 2.55%, after the US signalled it would not pursue a deal with Iran and attacks on Gulf shipping continued. In the same week, EIA data showed US crude inventories rising 4.657 million barrels against expectations of a 1.1 million draw, with gasoline up another 1.799 million. OPEC output also rebounded 1.96 million barrels a day to 27.16 million in October, led by Saudi Arabia at 10.56 million. This piece separates the geopolitical premium from the physical balance and lays out where each side of the trade is anchored.
placeholder
Gold hit a one-year low while central banks bought 321 tonnes — the sellers were never the ones you thinkSpot gold closed at 3,876 on Thursday, down 2.8% and its lowest close in more than a year, with an intraday low near 3,852. The dollar is at a 19-month high of 103.21 and the 10-year yield is at 5.10%, so the price move is easy to explain. What is harder to explain is who sold: central banks bought 321 tonnes in Q3, the PBoC added for a 24th straight month, ETF holdings are near a record 4,256 tonnes, and roughly 95% of the futures selling came from non-reportable and sovereign-type accounts rather than hedge funds. This piece separates the two books that have to balance.
Author  Irene Q.
17 hours ago
Spot gold closed at 3,876 on Thursday, down 2.8% and its lowest close in more than a year, with an intraday low near 3,852. The dollar is at a 19-month high of 103.21 and the 10-year yield is at 5.10%, so the price move is easy to explain. What is harder to explain is who sold: central banks bought 321 tonnes in Q3, the PBoC added for a 24th straight month, ETF holdings are near a record 4,256 tonnes, and roughly 95% of the futures selling came from non-reportable and sovereign-type accounts rather than hedge funds. This piece separates the two books that have to balance.
placeholder
Today’s Market Recap: Nvidia Drops Over 4% After Jensen Huang Resigns, AMD and Broadcom Both Rise Over 5% On November 12, the three major U.S. stock indices closed slightly lower. Nvidia announced that Jensen Huang had stepped down immediately as CEO and director, draggi
Author  TradingKey
18 hours ago
On November 12, the three major U.S. stock indices closed slightly lower. Nvidia announced that Jensen Huang had stepped down immediately as CEO and director, draggi
Related Instrument
goTop
quote