WTI drops amid China’s property crisis, ahead of FOMC’s meeting

Source Fxstreet
  • WTI oil drops over 1.50%, affected by China's property sector woes and a robust US Dollar.
  • Oil prices falter despite geopolitical tensions, pressured by global economic concerns and central bank policies.
  • Market awaits API and EIA reports for insights on US crude and distillate stocks amid economic uncertainty.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) drops sharply more than 1.50% on Monday, after failing to crack a key technical resistance level, along with demand woes sponsored by China’s property crisis. Despite rising tensions in the Middle East, traders are bracing for the US Federal Reserve (Fed) decision to keep the US Dollar strong. At the time of writing, WTI exchanges hands at $76.90.

Crude Oil struggles to break key resistance, and plunges on risk sentiment

The real estate crisis in China might be about to get worse as a Hong Kong court ordered the liquidation of property giant China Evergrande Group. Sources cited by Reuters said, “The situation in China is the biggest headwind to the whole market; that is why the market keeps backing off from the war risk premium.”

Oil prices failed to gain traction following an attack to a Russian oil facility on Monday on the Slavneft-YANOS refinery in the city of Yaroslavl.

In the meantime, the restrictiveness of global central banks keeps Oil prices slightly depressed as the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bank of England (BoE) take center stage during the week. Both central banks are expected to keep rates unchanged, though the former is underpinning the Greenback (USD).

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the performance of six currencies against the buck, is up 0.14%, at 103.61, a headwind for US Dollar denominated assets.

All in all, Oil traders are looking forward to the American Petroleum Institute (API) stockpiles report in the US on Tuesday, ahead of the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) on Wednesday.

According to a Reuters poll, US crude Oil and distillates are expected to have reduced last week, while gasoline inventoried were seen rising.

WTI Price Analysis: Technical outlook

With WTI’s failing to crack the 100-day moving average (DMA) at $79.37, sellers piled in a comeback as Oil prices were dragged below the 200-DMA at $77.44, exacerbating the drop below $77.00 per barrel. A daily close below the latter will expose the $76.00 figure, followed by the 50-DMA at $73.54. Further downside is seen at $73.00. Conversely if buyers lift the price above $77.00, a test fo the 200-DMA is on the cards.

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Fed hike odds near 90% into Wednesday's decision — how to trade the dollar, gold and the S&P 500A 0.3% monthly core CPI print has lifted the market-implied probability of a 25bp Fed hike on 16 September to roughly 86.5% ~ 90%, which would be the first increase since July 2023. Here is the decision timeline, the pricing versus the forecasts, both scenarios, and the key levels for the dollar, gold and the S&P 500.
Author  Suzie
Sep 14, Mon
A 0.3% monthly core CPI print has lifted the market-implied probability of a 25bp Fed hike on 16 September to roughly 86.5% ~ 90%, which would be the first increase since July 2023. Here is the decision timeline, the pricing versus the forecasts, both scenarios, and the key levels for the dollar, gold and the S&P 500.
placeholder
【Daily Brief】10-year Treasury yield briefly tops 5%, S&P 500 slips to 7,602 and the dollar firms at 99.3 as the Fed's decision eve beginsThe 10-year Treasury yield touched 5.014% on Monday — its first print above 5% since October 2023 — while the S&P 500 closed 0.48% lower at 7,619.98 and the dollar index firmed to 99.3. Here is the full market wrap ahead of Wednesday's FOMC decision, the dot plot and the August retail sales report, plus today's CLARITY Act Senate vote.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 15, Tue
The 10-year Treasury yield touched 5.014% on Monday — its first print above 5% since October 2023 — while the S&P 500 closed 0.48% lower at 7,619.98 and the dollar index firmed to 99.3. Here is the full market wrap ahead of Wednesday's FOMC decision, the dot plot and the August retail sales report, plus today's CLARITY Act Senate vote.
placeholder
Silver breaks $64 as precious metals rebound — can gold hold the $4,280 line into the Fed decision?Silver has climbed back above $64 an ounce for the first time this week, leading a broad rebound across precious metals hours before the Federal Reserve delivers what is expected to be its first rate hike since 2023. Spot silver was last at $64.64, up 1.49% on the day, while gold reclaimed $4,300 and platinum and palladium both advanced. The question now is whether the bounce is a genuine turn — or a pause before the Fed's dot plot decides the next move.
Author  Suzie
Yesterday 08: 40
Silver has climbed back above $64 an ounce for the first time this week, leading a broad rebound across precious metals hours before the Federal Reserve delivers what is expected to be its first rate hike since 2023. Spot silver was last at $64.64, up 1.49% on the day, while gold reclaimed $4,300 and platinum and palladium both advanced. The question now is whether the bounce is a genuine turn — or a pause before the Fed's dot plot decides the next move.
placeholder
Dow drops 631 points as the Fed hikes — but futures are rebounding: what's next for US stocks?The Dow fell 631 points and the S&P 500 closed below 7,600 after the Fed hiked rates for the first time since 2023, with the dot plot showing 16 of 18 officials expect more tightening. Asia-session futures are already recovering — here are the levels and analyst views that decide whether 7,500 holds.
Author  Irene Q.
10 hours ago
The Dow fell 631 points and the S&P 500 closed below 7,600 after the Fed hiked rates for the first time since 2023, with the dot plot showing 16 of 18 officials expect more tightening. Asia-session futures are already recovering — here are the levels and analyst views that decide whether 7,500 holds.
placeholder
Dollar index tops 100 for the first time since July as the Fed's hawkish dot plot sinks inThe U.S. dollar index broke back above 100 for the first time since 31 July after the Fed delivered its first rate hike since 2023, with the dot plot showing 16 of 18 officials expect at least one more increase this year. Here are the levels that matter for DXY, the currencies feeling it most, and what to watch next.
Author  Irene Q.
10 hours ago
The U.S. dollar index broke back above 100 for the first time since 31 July after the Fed delivered its first rate hike since 2023, with the dot plot showing 16 of 18 officials expect at least one more increase this year. Here are the levels that matter for DXY, the currencies feeling it most, and what to watch next.
goTop
quote