Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD extends losses to near $31.00 due to market caution

Source Fxstreet
  • Silver price continues to lose ground as traders exercise caution ahead of US Core PCE.
  • US Treasury yields appreciate due to the hawkish Fed, which weakens the demand for non-yielding Silver.
  • The higher US Dollar impacts the grey metal demand as it becomes more expensive for foreign buyers.

Silver price continues to lose ground for the third consecutive day, trading around $31.10 per troy ounce during the European session on Friday. The hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve (Fed) officials have raised concerns about potential rate hikes. Higher interest rates are negatively impacting non-yielding assets like Silver.

On Thursday, Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan expressed continued concerns about upside risks to inflation despite recent easing. Logan warned that the Federal Reserve needs to remain flexible and keep "all options on the table" as it monitors data and determines how to respond, according to Reuters. Additionally, Bloomberg reported on Wednesday that Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic stated the path to 2% inflation is not guaranteed and highlighted the significant breadth of price gains.

Additionally, the stronger US Dollar (USD) makes the grey metal more expensive for foreign buyers. This increased cost leads to lower Silver demand and subsequently lower prices. US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (DXY) against six other major currencies, trades higher around 104.80 with 2-year and 10-year yields on US Treasury bonds standing at 4.94% and 4.56%, respectively, by the press time.

On Thursday, the US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Annualized for the first quarter was revised lower to 1.3% from 1.6%. Additionally, US weekly Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending on May 2 rose to 219,000 from the previous week's 216,000, slightly exceeding the market consensus of 218,000. Investors are awaiting the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, the Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, which will be released on Friday. If the data continues to soften, it could reignite the debate over potential rate cuts in September, which could help Silver limit its downside.

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price 31.08
Today Daily Change -0.09
Today Daily Change % -0.29
Today daily open 31.17
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 29.74
Daily SMA50 28.02
Daily SMA100 25.62
Daily SMA200 24.46
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 32.1
Previous Daily Low 31.01
Previous Weekly High 32.51
Previous Weekly Low 30.05
Previous Monthly High 29.8
Previous Monthly Low 24.75
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 31.43
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 31.68
Daily Pivot Point S1 30.75
Daily Pivot Point S2 30.34
Daily Pivot Point S3 29.66
Daily Pivot Point R1 31.84
Daily Pivot Point R2 32.51
Daily Pivot Point R3 32.93

 

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
October hike odds climb toward 60% as Goldman and BofA both flip — what Warsh's "dose of accommodation" really changedRate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 23, Wed
Rate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
placeholder
Gold holds steady below $4,150 amid elevated US yields Gold price (XAU/USD) trades on a flat note near $4,140 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. Pressure from a stronger US Dollar (USD) and elevated US Treasury yields was offset by reduced expectations of a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike this month.
Author  FXStreet
Yesterday 01: 14
Gold price (XAU/USD) trades on a flat note near $4,140 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. Pressure from a stronger US Dollar (USD) and elevated US Treasury yields was offset by reduced expectations of a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike this month.
placeholder
Japanese Yen drifts lower as sustained USD buying offsets intervention fearsThe USD/JPY pair attracts some buyers following the previous day's two-day price moves, trading above the 158.00 mark during the early part of the European session on Tuesday.
Author  FXStreet
22 hours ago
The USD/JPY pair attracts some buyers following the previous day's two-day price moves, trading above the 158.00 mark during the early part of the European session on Tuesday.
placeholder
AUD/USD Price Forecast: Struggles to return to 0.7000 amid firm US DollarThe Australian Dollar (AUD) gives back its early gains after rising to near 0.6975 and turns marginally lower at around 0.6964 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Tuesday.
Author  FXStreet
20 hours ago
The Australian Dollar (AUD) gives back its early gains after rising to near 0.6975 and turns marginally lower at around 0.6964 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Tuesday.
placeholder
WTI rises to near $89.50 as Middle East supply threats offset Persian Gulf recoveryWest Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price extends its gains for the second successive day, trading around $89.50 per barrel during the Asian hours on Wednesday. Crude oil climbed as persistent risks to Middle East energy flows overshadowed signs of rising supply from the region.
Author  FXStreet
4 hours ago
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price extends its gains for the second successive day, trading around $89.50 per barrel during the Asian hours on Wednesday. Crude oil climbed as persistent risks to Middle East energy flows overshadowed signs of rising supply from the region.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote