Crude Oil stretches gains, WTI tests $78.50 ahead of inflation data and looming OPEC+ meeting

Source Fxstreet
May 27, 2024 20:02
  • WTI climbed further on Monday as US inflation data looms.
  • OPEC is broadly expected to maintain voluntary production cuts.
  • Rate cut expectations remain key to barrel prices.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) US Crude Oil continued to gain on Monday, climbing above $78.50 per barrel. Crude Oil is climbing with US markets dark for the Memorial Day holiday, and risk appetite is leaning into the high side as investors look for signs of Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts to help bolster Crude Oil.

US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) inflation numbers will be updated later this week, providing a key reading for investors hoping for a rate trim from the Fed. Markets expect Friday’s US PCE Price Index to hold at 2.8% YoY in April.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its extended membership network, OPEC , are broadly expected to maintain voluntary production caps that were initially adopted in 2023 to prop up global Crude Oil prices. With US production continuing to ramp up and outpace demand, OPEC is likely to keep production limits in place to try and sop up excess production. OPEC ’s meeting is slated for June 2.

Barrel traders will also be keeping an eye out for US week-on-week barrel inventory counts from both the American Petroleum Institute (API) and the Energy Information Administration (EIA), due respectively on Wednesday and Thursday this week. Last week’s US Crude Oil supply tracking saw yet another unexpected buildup of US barrel counts. Market forecasts are doubling down on expecting a decline, with EIA weekly barrel counts forecast to decline by two million barrels on Thursday.

WTI technical outlook

US Crude Oil rebounded on Monday, extending a near-term rebound from the $76.00 handle, however, bullish momentum faces immediate technical resistance at the $80.00 price level. A recovery in WTI sends prices back into recent congestion on the lower bound of the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $79.16.

WTI hourly chart

WTI daily chart

WTI US OIL

Overview
Today last price 78.52
Today Daily Change 0.85
Today Daily Change % 1.09
Today daily open 77.67
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 78.72
Daily SMA50 81.47
Daily SMA100 78.73
Daily SMA200 79.58
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 77.89
Previous Daily Low 76.04
Previous Weekly High 80.06
Previous Weekly Low 76.04
Previous Monthly High 87.12
Previous Monthly Low 80.62
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 77.18
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 76.75
Daily Pivot Point S1 76.51
Daily Pivot Point S2 75.34
Daily Pivot Point S3 74.65
Daily Pivot Point R1 78.37
Daily Pivot Point R2 79.06
Daily Pivot Point R3 80.23

 

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Copper Long-term forecast: Will Copper Price Expected To Soar In 2023?The price of copper is affected by various of factors. You may wonder how the price of cooper will be in 2023, check out our forecast analysis.
Author  Mitrade
The price of copper is affected by various of factors. You may wonder how the price of cooper will be in 2023, check out our forecast analysis.
placeholder
Understanding the first crypto market crash of 2024 and what to expect nextThe 365-day MVRV ratio suggests that this crash may be just the beginning. If the ETF is rejected before the second quarter of 2024, it could trigger a sharp correction.
Author  FXStreet
The 365-day MVRV ratio suggests that this crash may be just the beginning. If the ETF is rejected before the second quarter of 2024, it could trigger a sharp correction.
placeholder
Japanese Yen stands tall near one-month top against USD on hawkish BoJ talksThe Japanese Yen (JPY) rallied to the highest level since early February against its American counterpart on Friday amid bets for an imminent shift in the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) policy stance.
Author  FXStreet
The Japanese Yen (JPY) rallied to the highest level since early February against its American counterpart on Friday amid bets for an imminent shift in the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) policy stance.
placeholder
Natural Gas faces upside pressure as European traders prepare for next heating seasonNatural Gas (XNG/USD) prices are holding ground above $2.00 on Friday after a brief dip earlier this week. Gas prices are quickly recovering as mainland Europe is gearing up for the next heating season, with traders starting to negotiate contracts in
Author  FXStreet
Natural Gas (XNG/USD) prices are holding ground above $2.00 on Friday after a brief dip earlier this week. Gas prices are quickly recovering as mainland Europe is gearing up for the next heating season, with traders starting to negotiate contracts in
placeholder
Solana Empty Glasses: BEER Coin Fizzles 70% In Alleged Rug PullThe Solana blockchain has revealed a sobering story, adding to the turbulence in the bubbly world of memecoins, such as BEER. The coin rose to prominence in recent weeks, experienced a dramatic price
Author  NewsBTC
The Solana blockchain has revealed a sobering story, adding to the turbulence in the bubbly world of memecoins, such as BEER. The coin rose to prominence in recent weeks, experienced a dramatic price
goTop
quote