Forex Today: EMU CPI and Fedspeak steal the show

Source Fxstreet

The persistent buying pressure in the US Dollar weighed further on the risk-associated universe, against the backdrop of further signs of the loss of momentum in inflation on both sides of the Atlantic and steady bets of interest rate reductions by the Fed and the ECB at some point this summer.

Here is what you need to know on Friday, March 1:

Extra gains in the Greenback prompted the USD Index (DXY) to reclaim the 104.00 barrier and above, advancing for the third straight session. At the end of the week, the final S&P Global Manufacturing PMI is due in the first turn, seconded by Construction Spending, the final Michigan Consumer Sentiment, and the always-relevant ISM Manufacturing PMI. In addition, the Fed’s Williams, Logan, Waller, Bostic, Daly, and Kluger are all due to speak.

EUR/USD dropped further and challenged the key support at 1.0800 in response to further upside momentum in the US Dollar. In the euro area, preliminary inflation figures for the month of February will take centre stage on March 1, along with the Unemployment Rate and the final Manufacturing PMI in both Germany and the whole bloc.

GBP/USD deflated to multi-day lows and opened the door to a probable visit to the 1.2600 region sooner rather than later. Across the Channel, Nationwide Housing Prices and the final S&P Global Manufacturing PMI are scheduled for March 1.

USD/JPY resumed the downward bias and revisited the 149.20 region in response to investors’ repricing of a potential BoJ lift-off sooner than anticipated. The Unemployment Rate and February’s Consumer Confidence are due in “The Land of the Rising Sun” on March 1.

AUD/USD loses further momentum and breaches the 0.6500 support on the back of Chinese concerns and Dollar strength. In Oz, Commodity Prices will be the sole release on Friday.

Investors’ attention is expected to refocus on China with the release of Manufacturing PMIs tracked by the NBS and Caixin on March 1. USD/CNH reversed a multi-day positive streak and dropped marginally to the 7.2100 zone on Thursday.

WTI prices extended further their erratic performance in the upper end of the recent range around the $78.00 mark per barrel.

Gold prices climbed to four-week highs and retested the $2,050 region per troy ounce amidst lower yields and despite decent gains in the Greenback. Silver followed suit and left behind three daily pullbacks in a row, approaching the $22.80 level per ounce.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
October hike odds climb toward 60% as Goldman and BofA both flip — what Warsh's "dose of accommodation" really changedRate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 23, Wed
Rate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
placeholder
WTI slips below $90.50 as Trump signals no pre-election strike on IranWest Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price declines after posting nearly 2.5% gains in the previous day, trading around $90.30 per barrel during Asian hours on Friday.
Author  FXStreet
Oct 09, Fri
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price declines after posting nearly 2.5% gains in the previous day, trading around $90.30 per barrel during Asian hours on Friday.
placeholder
Hurricane Isaias has shut in a quarter of Gulf oil output — can WTI clear $92 before Thursday's EIA report?WTI trades at $90.80 after rebounding roughly 3% from Wednesday's $87.96 low as Hurricane Isaias — the Atlantic season's first — forces producers to shut in about 25% of US Gulf of Mexico output. Brent holds at $103.41. The first official read on the disruption arrives with the EIA weekly petroleum report on Thursday 15 October — here are the key levels and both scenarios.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 09, Fri
WTI trades at $90.80 after rebounding roughly 3% from Wednesday's $87.96 low as Hurricane Isaias — the Atlantic season's first — forces producers to shut in about 25% of US Gulf of Mexico output. Brent holds at $103.41. The first official read on the disruption arrives with the EIA weekly petroleum report on Thursday 15 October — here are the key levels and both scenarios.
placeholder
US September CPI preview: inflation set to hit 3.7% — will the Fed hike in December?US September CPI lands Wednesday with headline inflation seen at 3.7% y/y and core at 0.2% m/m. December hike odds sit near 70% — here are the scenarios, the calendar and the key levels.
Author  Irene Q.
Yesterday 03: 23
US September CPI lands Wednesday with headline inflation seen at 3.7% y/y and core at 0.2% m/m. December hike odds sit near 70% — here are the scenarios, the calendar and the key levels.
placeholder
Gold posts first weekly gain in three weeks — can $4,200 hold through CPI?Spot gold closed at $4,194.645, up 1.47% — its first weekly gain in three weeks — and COMEX futures settled back above $4,200 at $4,220.30. Here are the drivers, the levels and the scenarios into Wednesday's CPI.
Author  Irene Q.
22 hours ago
Spot gold closed at $4,194.645, up 1.47% — its first weekly gain in three weeks — and COMEX futures settled back above $4,200 at $4,220.30. Here are the drivers, the levels and the scenarios into Wednesday's CPI.
goTop
quote