EUR/USD: Lacking a clear catalyst for another leg higher unless US data disappoints today – ING

Source Fxstreet

EUR/USD consolidates in the 1.0800-1.0900 range. Economists at ING analyze the pair’s outlook.

Re-strengthening of the Dollar expected around Thursday’s US PCE

EUR/USD has found support since the start of this week, although it is now lacking a clear catalyst for another leg higher unless US data disappoints today. 

The Eurozone calendar only includes money supply figures today, and our expectations for a re-strengthening of the Dollar around Thursday’s US PCE release makes us sceptical of the sustainability of a EUR/USD rally at this stage.

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
The Fed held at 3.75%–4.00% — and two officials voted to hike. December is now 85% pricedThe FOMC held by a 10–2 vote, with Governor Cook and Cleveland Fed President Hammack dissenting for a 25bp hike. Chair Warsh offered no forward guidance and no dot plot, the 2-year yield fell 8bp to 4.70%, and the dollar slipped to 101.84 even as markets moved December hike odds to 85%–87%. Tonight's Q3 GDP and September core PCE are the next referee.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 29, Thu
The FOMC held by a 10–2 vote, with Governor Cook and Cleveland Fed President Hammack dissenting for a 25bp hike. Chair Warsh offered no forward guidance and no dot plot, the 2-year yield fell 8bp to 4.70%, and the dollar slipped to 101.84 even as markets moved December hike odds to 85%–87%. Tonight's Q3 GDP and September core PCE are the next referee.
placeholder
Gold Price Analysis Today | Forex Gold Analysis | XAU/USD Analysis - November 2, 2026Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for November 2, 2026. Read on for the details.
Author  Mitrade
Nov 02, Mon
Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for November 2, 2026. Read on for the details.
placeholder
Binance replaced 95% of a $6.3bn hole — Bitcoin is trading the plumbing, not the coinBinance resumed withdrawals on November 1 after a record $6.3bn theft. In the first 9.5 hours, users withdrew $4.64bn and deposited $1.01bn, a net outflow of $3.64bn, or 2.1% of assets. Bitcoin fell to 76,173 and is now 78,473. The market is pricing the exchange, not the supply.
Author  Suzie
Nov 02, Mon
Binance resumed withdrawals on November 1 after a record $6.3bn theft. In the first 9.5 hours, users withdrew $4.64bn and deposited $1.01bn, a net outflow of $3.64bn, or 2.1% of assets. Bitcoin fell to 76,173 and is now 78,473. The market is pricing the exchange, not the supply.
placeholder
Gold Price Analysis Today | Forex Gold Analysis | XAU/USD Analysis - November 3, 2026Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for November 3, 2026. Read on for the details.
Author  Mitrade
Yesterday 01: 49
Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for November 3, 2026. Read on for the details.
placeholder
Gold rebounds to $3,946 off $3,870 as oil does the Fed's work — but the ETF bid is still missingGold closed at $3,946, up 1.84% from a one-year low of $3,870.25, as Brent's 7.6% slide cut December hike odds to 77%. ETF holdings are still shrinking — a short-covering bounce, not new money.
Author  Irene Q.
Yesterday 03: 12
Gold closed at $3,946, up 1.84% from a one-year low of $3,870.25, as Brent's 7.6% slide cut December hike odds to 77%. ETF holdings are still shrinking — a short-covering bounce, not new money.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote