EUR/USD Price Analysis: Correction deepens as sellers eye key technical floor

Source Fxstreet
  • EUR/USD trades near the 1.0800 zone, mildly lower after Monday’s European session.
  • Bearish momentum builds as the pair extends its losing streak to four consecutive sessions.
  • Downside could accelerate toward 1.0730 if sellers break through current support levels.

During Monday’s session after the European close, EUR/USD continued to retreat and was last seen moving around the 1.0800 area. The pair remains in a corrective phase after its strong March rally, with technical signals now favoring further downside pressure. The latest price action marks the fourth consecutive daily loss, suggesting that bulls are stepping aside for now.

From a technical standpoint, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has sharply declined but still remains deep in postivie territory near the 60 level, which signals that the pair may continue correcting until momentum resets. Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) has begun to print red bars, highlighting a shift in momentum that supports additional downside pressure.

The next critical support comes into play around the 1.0730 region, where the 100-day and 200-day Simple Moving Averages converge. A break below that floor could reinforce the bearish case and open the door toward 1.0670. On the flip side, any bullish recovery would likely find initial resistance near 1.0860, followed by the psychological 1.0900 handle.

EUR/USD daily chart

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Dollar index tops 100 for the first time since July as the Fed's hawkish dot plot sinks inThe U.S. dollar index broke back above 100 for the first time since 31 July after the Fed delivered its first rate hike since 2023, with the dot plot showing 16 of 18 officials expect at least one more increase this year. Here are the levels that matter for DXY, the currencies feeling it most, and what to watch next.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 17, Thu
The U.S. dollar index broke back above 100 for the first time since 31 July after the Fed delivered its first rate hike since 2023, with the dot plot showing 16 of 18 officials expect at least one more increase this year. Here are the levels that matter for DXY, the currencies feeling it most, and what to watch next.
placeholder
Gold ends three-week slide at the $4,400 line — eight straight days of ETF inflows vs a 5% 10-year and a 100 dollarSpot gold closed Friday at $4,378.39, up 0.84% on the day and about 0.8% for the week — its first weekly gain in four weeks — with the intraday high of $4,399.67 leaving it 33 cents shy of the $4,400 line. Gold ETFs have now logged eight straight sessions of inflows, but with the 10-year back above 5% and the dollar index near 100, here is what decides whether this is a reversal or a bounce.
Author  Suzie
Sep 20, Sun
Spot gold closed Friday at $4,378.39, up 0.84% on the day and about 0.8% for the week — its first weekly gain in four weeks — with the intraday high of $4,399.67 leaving it 33 cents shy of the $4,400 line. Gold ETFs have now logged eight straight sessions of inflows, but with the 10-year back above 5% and the dollar index near 100, here is what decides whether this is a reversal or a bounce.
placeholder
Bitcoin rallies near $86K on improving markets ahead of quarterly options expiryBitcoin (BTC) market conditions improved over the past week as spot buying pressure strengthened and derivatives positioning increased, pushing the top crypto near $86,000.
Author  FXStreet
Yesterday 01: 16
Bitcoin (BTC) market conditions improved over the past week as spot buying pressure strengthened and derivatives positioning increased, pushing the top crypto near $86,000.
placeholder
Dollar holds above 100 near a 3-month high — three Fed speakers and a $69 billion auction land tonightThe dollar index closed at 100.43 on Monday, its highest close since late July, after a weekly gain of about 1% — the best in more than three months — and is holding above the 100.00 handle in Asia. Three Fed officials speak tonight alongside a $69 billion two-year note auction, the first leg of $183 billion of Treasury supply this week.
Author  Suzie
Yesterday 06: 34
The dollar index closed at 100.43 on Monday, its highest close since late July, after a weekly gain of about 1% — the best in more than three months — and is holding above the 100.00 handle in Asia. Three Fed officials speak tonight alongside a $69 billion two-year note auction, the first leg of $183 billion of Treasury supply this week.
placeholder
October hike odds climb toward 60% as Goldman and BofA both flip — what Warsh's "dose of accommodation" really changedRate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
Author  Irene Q.
3 hours ago
Rate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote