AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Bears take control as pair slips below 20-day SMA

Source Fxstreet
  • AUD/JPY declines by 0.42% to 96.30 on Monday, extending its recent losing streak.
  • RSI drops to negative territory, signaling increasing bearish pressure.
  • The breach of the 20-day SMA confirms a shift in sentiment, putting sellers in control.

AUD/JPY continued its downward movement on Monday, losing 0.42% to settle around 96.30. The break below the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) reinforces the weakening trend, as buyers struggle to regain momentum. The pair has now given up most of its recent gains, with sellers gaining traction.

Momentum indicators paint a bearish picture. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has fallen sharply to 48, reflecting increased downside pressure, while the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram shows decreasing green bars, suggesting that bullish attempts are fading. The pair’s inability to hold above the 20-day SMA indicates that selling momentum could intensify.

If the downward trend persists, the next key support lies around 96.00, followed by 95.50. On the upside, buyers would need to push AUD/JPY back above the 20-day SMA near 96.60 to regain short-term control and shift sentiment toward a more neutral stance.

AUD/JPY daily chart

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Markets in 2026: Will gold, Bitcoin, and the U.S. dollar make history again? — These are how leading institutions thinkAfter a turbulent 2025, what lies ahead for commodities, forex, and cryptocurrency markets in 2026?
Author  Insights
Dec 25, 2025
After a turbulent 2025, what lies ahead for commodities, forex, and cryptocurrency markets in 2026?
placeholder
ECB Policy Outlook for 2026: What It Could Mean for the Euro’s Next MoveWith the ECB likely holding rates steady at 2.15% and the Fed potentially extending cuts into 2026, EUR/USD may test 1.20 if Eurozone growth proves resilient, but weaker growth and an ECB pivot could pull the pair back toward 1.13 and potentially 1.10.
Author  Mitrade
Dec 26, 2025
With the ECB likely holding rates steady at 2.15% and the Fed potentially extending cuts into 2026, EUR/USD may test 1.20 if Eurozone growth proves resilient, but weaker growth and an ECB pivot could pull the pair back toward 1.13 and potentially 1.10.
placeholder
Gold climbs to $5,050 as Fed-driven USD weakness offsets positive risk tone ahead of US NFPGold (XAU/USD) attracts some dip-buyers following the previous day's modest slide and climbs back above the $5,050 level during the Asian session on Wednesday.
Author  FXStreet
Feb 11, Wed
Gold (XAU/USD) attracts some dip-buyers following the previous day's modest slide and climbs back above the $5,050 level during the Asian session on Wednesday.
placeholder
Japanese Yen recovers sharply from 40-year low as intervention bets trigger short-coveringThe USD/JPY pair comes under intense selling pressure and plummets to the 161.00 neighborhood heading into the European session on Thursday, snapping a three-day winning streak to the highest since 1986 set the previous day.
Author  FXStreet
Yesterday 08: 10
The USD/JPY pair comes under intense selling pressure and plummets to the 161.00 neighborhood heading into the European session on Thursday, snapping a three-day winning streak to the highest since 1986 set the previous day.
placeholder
Gold gains momentum above $4,100 after weak US NFP data Gold price (XAU/USD) gains traction to around $4,125 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal extends the rally after weaker-than-expected US Nonfarm Payrolls ‌(NFP) data reduced expectations of Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hikes this year.
Author  FXStreet
8 hours ago
Gold price (XAU/USD) gains traction to around $4,125 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal extends the rally after weaker-than-expected US Nonfarm Payrolls ‌(NFP) data reduced expectations of Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hikes this year.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote