AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Bears take control as pair slips below 20-day SMA

Source Fxstreet
  • AUD/JPY declines by 0.42% to 96.30 on Monday, extending its recent losing streak.
  • RSI drops to negative territory, signaling increasing bearish pressure.
  • The breach of the 20-day SMA confirms a shift in sentiment, putting sellers in control.

AUD/JPY continued its downward movement on Monday, losing 0.42% to settle around 96.30. The break below the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) reinforces the weakening trend, as buyers struggle to regain momentum. The pair has now given up most of its recent gains, with sellers gaining traction.

Momentum indicators paint a bearish picture. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has fallen sharply to 48, reflecting increased downside pressure, while the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram shows decreasing green bars, suggesting that bullish attempts are fading. The pair’s inability to hold above the 20-day SMA indicates that selling momentum could intensify.

If the downward trend persists, the next key support lies around 96.00, followed by 95.50. On the upside, buyers would need to push AUD/JPY back above the 20-day SMA near 96.60 to regain short-term control and shift sentiment toward a more neutral stance.

AUD/JPY daily chart

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Why a Quiet 2025 Signals a Massive 2026 Crypto Bull Run: Bitwise CIO ExplainsBitwise's Matt Hougan Predicts a Crypto Boom in 2026 Amid Current Market Struggles
Author  Mitrade
Nov 13, 2025
Bitwise's Matt Hougan Predicts a Crypto Boom in 2026 Amid Current Market Struggles
placeholder
When is the BoJ rate decision and how could it affect USD/JPY?The Bank of Japan (BoJ) will announce its interest rate decision between 03.30 and 05.00 GMT, followed by Governor Kazuo Ueda's press conference at 06.30 GMT.
Author  FXStreet
Dec 19, 2025
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) will announce its interest rate decision between 03.30 and 05.00 GMT, followed by Governor Kazuo Ueda's press conference at 06.30 GMT.
placeholder
Markets in 2026: Will gold, Bitcoin, and the U.S. dollar make history again? — These are how leading institutions thinkAfter a turbulent 2025, what lies ahead for commodities, forex, and cryptocurrency markets in 2026?
Author  Insights
Dec 25, 2025
After a turbulent 2025, what lies ahead for commodities, forex, and cryptocurrency markets in 2026?
placeholder
ECB Policy Outlook for 2026: What It Could Mean for the Euro’s Next MoveWith the ECB likely holding rates steady at 2.15% and the Fed potentially extending cuts into 2026, EUR/USD may test 1.20 if Eurozone growth proves resilient, but weaker growth and an ECB pivot could pull the pair back toward 1.13 and potentially 1.10.
Author  Mitrade
Dec 26, 2025
With the ECB likely holding rates steady at 2.15% and the Fed potentially extending cuts into 2026, EUR/USD may test 1.20 if Eurozone growth proves resilient, but weaker growth and an ECB pivot could pull the pair back toward 1.13 and potentially 1.10.
placeholder
My Top 5 Stock Market Predictions for 2026Five 2026 market predictions written in a native, news-style voice: AI’s winners and losers, broader sector leadership, dividend demand, valuation cooling as the Shiller CAPE sits at 39 (Dec. 31, 2025), and quantum-computing bursts—while keeping all original facts and numbers unchanged.
Author  Mitrade
Jan 06, Tue
Five 2026 market predictions written in a native, news-style voice: AI’s winners and losers, broader sector leadership, dividend demand, valuation cooling as the Shiller CAPE sits at 39 (Dec. 31, 2025), and quantum-computing bursts—while keeping all original facts and numbers unchanged.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote