EUR/AUD Price Forecast: The cross keeps the bearish vibe near 1.6250

Source Fxstreet
  • EUR/AUD edges lower to near 1.6250 in Wednesday’s Asian session. 
  • The cross maintains the negative view below the 100-period EMA, with the bearish RSI indicator. 
  • The initial support level is seen at 1.6183; the first upside barrier is located at 1.6293. 

The EUR/AUD cross struggles to gain ground around 1.6250 on Wednesday during the early European session. The US proposed tariff increases on Chinese goods by US President-Elect Donald Trump undermine the China-proxy Australian Dollar (AUD) as Australia is one of China’s largest exporters.

According to the 4-hour chart, the bearish outlook of EUR/AUD remains intact as the cross holds below the key 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA). Furthermore, the downward momentum is supported by the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which stands below the midline near 46.50, suggesting that there could still be room for further downside in the near term. 

The initial support level for the cross emerges near the lower limit of the Bollinger Band at 1.6183. Extended losses could see a drop to 1.6135, the low of October 18. The additional downside filter to watch is the 1.6100 psychological level. 

On the upside, the upper boundary of the Bollinger Band near 1.6293 acts as an immediate resistance level for the price. The next hurdle is seen at 1.6322, the 100-day EMA. Any follow-through buying see a rally to 1.6500, round number. 

EUR/AUD 4-hour chart

Euro FAQs

The Euro is the currency for the 19 European Union countries that belong to the Eurozone. It is the second most heavily traded currency in the world behind the US Dollar. In 2022, it accounted for 31% of all foreign exchange transactions, with an average daily turnover of over $2.2 trillion a day. EUR/USD is the most heavily traded currency pair in the world, accounting for an estimated 30% off all transactions, followed by EUR/JPY (4%), EUR/GBP (3%) and EUR/AUD (2%).

The European Central Bank (ECB) in Frankfurt, Germany, is the reserve bank for the Eurozone. The ECB sets interest rates and manages monetary policy. The ECB’s primary mandate is to maintain price stability, which means either controlling inflation or stimulating growth. Its primary tool is the raising or lowering of interest rates. Relatively high interest rates – or the expectation of higher rates – will usually benefit the Euro and vice versa. The ECB Governing Council makes monetary policy decisions at meetings held eight times a year. Decisions are made by heads of the Eurozone national banks and six permanent members, including the President of the ECB, Christine Lagarde.

Eurozone inflation data, measured by the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP), is an important econometric for the Euro. If inflation rises more than expected, especially if above the ECB’s 2% target, it obliges the ECB to raise interest rates to bring it back under control. Relatively high interest rates compared to its counterparts will usually benefit the Euro, as it makes the region more attractive as a place for global investors to park their money.

Data releases gauge the health of the economy and can impact on the Euro. Indicators such as GDP, Manufacturing and Services PMIs, employment, and consumer sentiment surveys can all influence the direction of the single currency. A strong economy is good for the Euro. Not only does it attract more foreign investment but it may encourage the ECB to put up interest rates, which will directly strengthen the Euro. Otherwise, if economic data is weak, the Euro is likely to fall. Economic data for the four largest economies in the euro area (Germany, France, Italy and Spain) are especially significant, as they account for 75% of the Eurozone’s economy.

Another significant data release for the Euro is the Trade Balance. This indicator measures the difference between what a country earns from its exports and what it spends on imports over a given period. If a country produces highly sought after exports then its currency will gain in value purely from the extra demand created from foreign buyers seeking to purchase these goods. Therefore, a positive net Trade Balance strengthens a currency and vice versa for a negative balance.

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Natural Gas sinks to pivotal level as China’s demand slumpsNatural Gas price (XNG/USD) edges lower and sinks to $2.56 on Monday, extending its losing streak for the fifth day in a row. The move comes on the back of China cutting its Liquified Natural Gas (LNG) imports after prices rose above $3.0 in June. It
Author  FXStreet
Jul 01, 2024
Natural Gas price (XNG/USD) edges lower and sinks to $2.56 on Monday, extending its losing streak for the fifth day in a row. The move comes on the back of China cutting its Liquified Natural Gas (LNG) imports after prices rose above $3.0 in June. It
placeholder
Bitcoin Price Flashes Fractal Similar To October 2023, Here’s What Happened Last TimeCrypto analyst TradingShot recently revealed that the Bitcoin price is forming a similar fractal pattern to the one that happened in October 2023. This is bullish for the flagship crypto, considering what happened last year when the fractal pattern formed.
Author  NewsBTC
Oct 11, 2024
Crypto analyst TradingShot recently revealed that the Bitcoin price is forming a similar fractal pattern to the one that happened in October 2023. This is bullish for the flagship crypto, considering what happened last year when the fractal pattern formed.
placeholder
Breaking: Gold falls below $5,000 as oil-driven inflation fears weighGold price (XAU/USD) tumbles to around $4,980 during the early Asian session on Monday. The precious metal faces some selling pressure despite intense geopolitical conflict in the Middle East. Traders will closely monitor the developments surrounding the United States (US)-Israel war with Iran. 
Author  FXStreet
Mar 16, Mon
Gold price (XAU/USD) tumbles to around $4,980 during the early Asian session on Monday. The precious metal faces some selling pressure despite intense geopolitical conflict in the Middle East. Traders will closely monitor the developments surrounding the United States (US)-Israel war with Iran. 
placeholder
Bitcoin Price Forecast: BTC extends gains after third consecutive week of ETF inflowsBitcoin (BTC) extends gains, trading above $73,000 at the time of writing on Monday, following a bullish breakout from the consolidation pattern it had been trading since roughly the past six weeks.
Author  FXStreet
Mar 16, Mon
Bitcoin (BTC) extends gains, trading above $73,000 at the time of writing on Monday, following a bullish breakout from the consolidation pattern it had been trading since roughly the past six weeks.
placeholder
Gold rises on Middle East tensions; inflation fears temper rate cut bets and cap gainsGold (XAU/USD) edges higher during the Asian session on Tuesday, though it lacks follow-through and remains close to an over three-week low, touched the previous day.
Author  FXStreet
19 hours ago
Gold (XAU/USD) edges higher during the Asian session on Tuesday, though it lacks follow-through and remains close to an over three-week low, touched the previous day.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote