GBP/USD Price Forecast: Dives below 200-day SMA and 1.2800

Source Fxstreet
  • GBP/USD breaches 200-day SMA, turning bearish with potential to test support at 1.2700.
  • Mixed labor data and technical indicators suggest further downside risk for the Pound.
  • Recovery above 1.2800 needed for bullish resumption, with 1.2900 and 1.2993 as key targets.

The Pound Sterling plummets more than 0.60% on Tuesday, after labor market data was mixed, with the Unemployment Rate rising sharply, as the economy added over 220K jobs to the economy, 150K less than in the previous reading. At the time of writing, the GBP/USD trades at 1.2792, below the 1.2800 handle for the first time since mid-August 2024.

GBP/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The GBP/USD plunged below the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of 1.2817. A daily close confirmation would turn the pair bearish, and it might open the door to test the next intermediate support at the 1.2700 figure, followed by major support at August 8 swing low of 1.2664.

For a bullish continuation, buyers must regain 1.2800 and lift the spot prices above the 1.2833/43 are, support levels hit on November 6 and October 31, respectively, before testing 1.2900. Up next would be the 100-day SMA at 1.2993.

Indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains deeply bearish, though not yet turned oversold. Therefore, further GBP/USD downside is seen.

GBP/USD Price Chart – Daily

British Pound PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of British Pound (GBP) against listed major currencies today. British Pound was the strongest against the Australian Dollar.

  USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF
USD   0.43% 0.73% 0.54% 0.10% 0.54% 0.42% 0.13%
EUR -0.43%   0.31% 0.13% -0.32% 0.11% -0.00% -0.29%
GBP -0.73% -0.31%   -0.20% -0.63% -0.18% -0.32% -0.60%
JPY -0.54% -0.13% 0.20%   -0.44% 0.00% -0.12% -0.41%
CAD -0.10% 0.32% 0.63% 0.44%   0.44% 0.32% 0.03%
AUD -0.54% -0.11% 0.18% 0.00% -0.44%   -0.12% -0.41%
NZD -0.42% 0.00% 0.32% 0.12% -0.32% 0.12%   -0.29%
CHF -0.13% 0.29% 0.60% 0.41% -0.03% 0.41% 0.29%  

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the British Pound from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent GBP (base)/USD (quote).

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
The Fed held at 3.75%–4.00% — and two officials voted to hike. December is now 85% pricedThe FOMC held by a 10–2 vote, with Governor Cook and Cleveland Fed President Hammack dissenting for a 25bp hike. Chair Warsh offered no forward guidance and no dot plot, the 2-year yield fell 8bp to 4.70%, and the dollar slipped to 101.84 even as markets moved December hike odds to 85%–87%. Tonight's Q3 GDP and September core PCE are the next referee.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 29, Thu
The FOMC held by a 10–2 vote, with Governor Cook and Cleveland Fed President Hammack dissenting for a 25bp hike. Chair Warsh offered no forward guidance and no dot plot, the 2-year yield fell 8bp to 4.70%, and the dollar slipped to 101.84 even as markets moved December hike odds to 85%–87%. Tonight's Q3 GDP and September core PCE are the next referee.
placeholder
Gold Price Analysis Today | Forex Gold Analysis | XAU/USD Analysis - November 2, 2026Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for November 2, 2026. Read on for the details.
Author  Mitrade
Nov 02, Mon
Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for November 2, 2026. Read on for the details.
placeholder
Gold Price Analysis Today | Forex Gold Analysis | XAU/USD Analysis - November 3, 2026Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for November 3, 2026. Read on for the details.
Author  Mitrade
Yesterday 01: 49
Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for November 3, 2026. Read on for the details.
placeholder
Gold rebounds to $3,946 off $3,870 as oil does the Fed's work — but the ETF bid is still missingGold closed at $3,946, up 1.84% from a one-year low of $3,870.25, as Brent's 7.6% slide cut December hike odds to 77%. ETF holdings are still shrinking — a short-covering bounce, not new money.
Author  Irene Q.
Yesterday 03: 12
Gold closed at $3,946, up 1.84% from a one-year low of $3,870.25, as Brent's 7.6% slide cut December hike odds to 77%. ETF holdings are still shrinking — a short-covering bounce, not new money.
placeholder
Brent at $103.60: the peace trade is selling paper, but the physical market just drew 5.3 million barrelsBrent settled at $103.60, its lowest close since October 7 and an 8% weekly drop on US-Iran talks. Yet API crude stocks fell 5.267 million barrels versus a 2.1 million build expected.
Author  Irene Q.
4 hours ago
Brent settled at $103.60, its lowest close since October 7 and an 8% weekly drop on US-Iran talks. Yet API crude stocks fell 5.267 million barrels versus a 2.1 million build expected.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote