GBP/JPY approaches 200.00 ahead of UK Budget, BoJ policy meeting

Source Fxstreet
  • GBP/JPY strives to visit 200.00 ahead of key events in the United Kingdom and Japan.
  • The BoJ is expected to keep interest rates steady at 0.25%.
  • Investors await the UK budget to project Pound Sterling’s next move.

The GBP/JPY pair aims to extend its upside towards the psychological resistance of 200.00 in Tuesday’s European session. The cross has shown a strong rally for over six weeks as the Japanese Yen (BoJ) remains weak due to diminishing expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will hike interest rates again this year.

Japanese Yen PRICE Last 30 days

The table below shows the percentage change of Japanese Yen (JPY) against listed major currencies last 30 days. Japanese Yen was the strongest against the New Zealand Dollar.

  USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF
USD   3.50% 3.35% 5.97% 3.12% 4.99% 5.89% 2.46%
EUR -3.50%   -0.16% 2.37% -0.41% 1.44% 2.29% -0.98%
GBP -3.35% 0.16%   2.53% -0.24% 1.60% 2.47% -0.84%
JPY -5.97% -2.37% -2.53%   -2.70% -0.91% -0.07% -3.27%
CAD -3.12% 0.41% 0.24% 2.70%   1.81% 2.70% -0.62%
AUD -4.99% -1.44% -1.60% 0.91% -1.81%   0.87% -2.40%
NZD -5.89% -2.29% -2.47% 0.07% -2.70% -0.87%   -3.23%
CHF -2.46% 0.98% 0.84% 3.27% 0.62% 2.40% 3.23%  

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Japanese Yen from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent JPY (base)/USD (quote).

The BoJ has already raised its key borrowing rates by 35 basis points (bps) to 0.25% this year as inflationary pressures remain above 2% for a longer period. The central bank appears to be incapable of hiking them further amid growing doubts over sustainable economic growth. Market participants worry that the absence of a majority government in national elections could impact the growth prospects of the economy.

This week, investors will focus on the BoJ policy meeting, which is scheduled for Thursday. The BoJ is expected to leave interest rates unchanged at 0.25%. Investors will pay close attention to fresh guidance on interest rates.

Due to weakness in the Yen across the forex domain, Japan's Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato vowed to be vigilant to FX moves. "We will continue to closely monitor foreign exchange moves, including those driven by speculators, with a higher sense of vigilance," Kato said, Reuters reported.

Meanwhile, the Pound Sterling (GBP) will be influenced by the United Kingdom (UK) Autumn Forecast Statement announcement on Wednesday. The Labour Party is expected to raise taxes with a focus on increasing public spending. The UK Chancellor of the Exchequer is expected to provide strong funding for housing affordability and the National Health Service (NHS).

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
October hike odds climb toward 60% as Goldman and BofA both flip — what Warsh's "dose of accommodation" really changedRate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 23, Wed
Rate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
placeholder
Four jobs reports in five days: what JOLTS, ADP, claims and the September payrolls mean for the October Fed decisionThe US labour market faces its densest data week of the month. JOLTS job openings land Tuesday (7.2 million expected), ADP on Wednesday (70,000 expected), initial claims on Thursday and the September non-farm payrolls on Friday (100,000 expected, down from 162,000). Markets price a 64%-70% chance of another quarter-point Fed hike on October 28. The dollar index sits at 100.77 and the S&P 500 at 7,729.8.
Author  Mitrade
Sep 28, Mon
The US labour market faces its densest data week of the month. JOLTS job openings land Tuesday (7.2 million expected), ADP on Wednesday (70,000 expected), initial claims on Thursday and the September non-farm payrolls on Friday (100,000 expected, down from 162,000). Markets price a 64%-70% chance of another quarter-point Fed hike on October 28. The dollar index sits at 100.77 and the S&P 500 at 7,729.8.
placeholder
Nvidia's $150 billion buyback landed — and the AI sector fell anyway. That's the signal worth tradingNvidia closed up 1.68% at $228.86 on 28 September after announcing a $150 billion share repurchase authorisation, the largest single corporate buyback on record, while the rest of the AI complex sold off: AMD -3.6%, Micron -2.6%, Meta -4.8% and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index -1.61%. The divergence is not noise. Capital is rotating toward cash-flow certainty, not abandoning the AI theme. With Micron reporting after the close on 30 September, here is what the split means.
Author  Irene Q.
Yesterday 06: 31
Nvidia closed up 1.68% at $228.86 on 28 September after announcing a $150 billion share repurchase authorisation, the largest single corporate buyback on record, while the rest of the AI complex sold off: AMD -3.6%, Micron -2.6%, Meta -4.8% and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index -1.61%. The divergence is not noise. Capital is rotating toward cash-flow certainty, not abandoning the AI theme. With Micron reporting after the close on 30 September, here is what the split means.
placeholder
The 30-year Treasury just hit a 22-year high — and the bond market is not pricing the Fed, it is pricing the deficitThe 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.56% on 28 September, the highest since June 2004, while the 10-year reached 5.24% and the 20-year 5.60%. The curve has steepened roughly 30bp in eight sessions even as October hike odds sit at 70.3%. That gap is the story: the long end is repricing fiscal and inflation risk, not policy. With PCE on Wednesday and payrolls on Friday, here is what the long end is really saying.
Author  Irene Q.
Yesterday 07: 08
The 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.56% on 28 September, the highest since June 2004, while the 10-year reached 5.24% and the 20-year 5.60%. The curve has steepened roughly 30bp in eight sessions even as October hike odds sit at 70.3%. That gap is the story: the long end is repricing fiscal and inflation risk, not policy. With PCE on Wednesday and payrolls on Friday, here is what the long end is really saying.
placeholder
【Daily Brief】30-year Treasury tops 5.59%, S&P 500 slips to 7,670 and gold holds $4,180 — PCE lands tonightThe 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.59%, its highest since June 2002, and the Dow fell 131.59 points to 51,349.92. US consumer confidence dropped to 81.9, a 12-year low, and JOLTS job openings fell to 7.1 million. August PCE and Q3 GDP both land at 8:30am ET tonight.
Author  Suzie
8 hours ago
The 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.59%, its highest since June 2002, and the Dow fell 131.59 points to 51,349.92. US consumer confidence dropped to 81.9, a 12-year low, and JOLTS job openings fell to 7.1 million. August PCE and Q3 GDP both land at 8:30am ET tonight.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote