EUR/USD Price Prediction: Bleeds lower towards first target for reversal pattern

Source Fxstreet
  • EUR/USD continues sliding and making lower lows. 
  • It has almost reached the first target for the Double Top reversal pattern it completed last month. 

EUR/USD bleeds lower after piercing through a long-term trend line. The 50 and 100-day Simple Moving Averages (SMA) also lie broken in its wake. Nothing can stop bears now, or so it seems. The trend is down, and given “the trend is your friend” the odds favor more.

EUR/USD Daily Chart 

EUR/USD probably formed a Double Top reversal pattern in August and September. The first downside target for the pattern lies at 1.0872 which has almost been met at the low of the day (1.0885). This equates with the 61.8% Fibonacci extension of the height of the Double Top extrapolated lower (blue shaded rectangle on the chart). 

A further target lies at 1.0874, at the (green) 200-day SMA. Another more bearish target lies at 1.0824, generated by the trendline break.

The fact the initial target at 1.0872 has almost been met could mean that bearish momentum will ease off. However, momentum is not oversold yet and a break below 1.0860 would probably suggest more downside towards the target at 1.0824.

Momentum, as measured by the Relative Strength Index (RSI), is mirroring price as it tracks lower, which is a mildly bearish sign. 

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Yen Exchange Rate’s Shock Jump. Dropping 200 Pips Near 160 Level, BOJ’s Inaction Hides a Mystery, Buy the Dip or Seek Safety?The 'rollercoaster' Yen has once again become the focus of the foreign exchange market! On January 23, USD/JPY experienced a series of 'rollercoaster' short-term movements, plunging nearl
Author  TradingKey
10 hours ago
The 'rollercoaster' Yen has once again become the focus of the foreign exchange market! On January 23, USD/JPY experienced a series of 'rollercoaster' short-term movements, plunging nearl
placeholder
AUD/JPY retreats from 109.00 as "rate check" by Japan's Finance Ministry lifts JPYThe AUD/JPY cross retreats nearly 130 pips from the highest level since July 2024, around the 109.00 mark touched earlier this Friday, though the pullback lacks follow-through.
Author  FXStreet
10 hours ago
The AUD/JPY cross retreats nearly 130 pips from the highest level since July 2024, around the 109.00 mark touched earlier this Friday, though the pullback lacks follow-through.
placeholder
Where crypto market structure bill stands nowThe digital assets market stands still while US lawmakers are moving closer to a committee vote on a crypto structure bill. However, reports suggest that there are deep political divisions that still remain, and bipartisan support looks uncertain. The industry leaders have also shared their separate views on the bill. On one hand, Brian Armstrong, […]
Author  Cryptopolitan
11 hours ago
The digital assets market stands still while US lawmakers are moving closer to a committee vote on a crypto structure bill. However, reports suggest that there are deep political divisions that still remain, and bipartisan support looks uncertain. The industry leaders have also shared their separate views on the bill. On one hand, Brian Armstrong, […]
placeholder
Top 3 Price Forecast: BTC Shows Early Stabilization; ETH and XRP Still Look HeavyBTC trades near $89,900 after holding $87,787 support and eyeing the $91,942 50-day EMA, while ETH (~$2,964) remains capped below $3,017 and XRP (~$1.91) keeps downside risk toward $1.77 after failing to reclaim key levels.
Author  Mitrade
15 hours ago
BTC trades near $89,900 after holding $87,787 support and eyeing the $91,942 50-day EMA, while ETH (~$2,964) remains capped below $3,017 and XRP (~$1.91) keeps downside risk toward $1.77 after failing to reclaim key levels.
placeholder
Research Warns Bitcoin ‘Diamond Hand’ Selling Is Not a Repeat of 2017 or 2021Bitcoin's two-year-plus long-term holders set a new record in sales during 2024 and 2025, differentiating this bull market from previous ones and signaling a potential shift in investor strategy.
Author  Mitrade
18 hours ago
Bitcoin's two-year-plus long-term holders set a new record in sales during 2024 and 2025, differentiating this bull market from previous ones and signaling a potential shift in investor strategy.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote