GBP/USD holds below the 1.2700 mark, investors await Fed rate decision

Source Fxstreet
  • GBP/USD trades on a flat note with a mild negative bias around 1.2695.
  • The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is likely to keep the rate unchanged in the range of 5.25–5.50% for the fourth straight time.
  • The Bank of England (BoE) is expected to leave interest rates unchanged at its first meeting of the year.
  • The FOMC and BoE interest rate decisions will be the highlights of this week. 

The GBP/USD pair holds below the 1.2700 mark during the early Asian session on Wednesday. Later on Wednesday, UK Nationwide Housing Prices for January will be due ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) monetary policy meeting. The major currently trades around 1.2695, unchanged for the day.

The FOMC is widely anticipated to keep interest rates unchanged in the range of 5.25–5.50% for the fourth straight time. At the Fed's December meeting, Fed officials expected three rate cuts in 2024. However, the meeting minutes revealed that the future of monetary policy remains uncertain. According to CME Group’s FedWatch tool, traders have priced in 50% odds of rate cuts at the next meeting in March.

On the British Pound front, the Bank of England (BoE) is likely to maintain the status quo on the rate for the fourth time in a row. BoE governor Andrew Bailey said in December that there was “some way to go” as the central bank believed inflation would not return to its 2% target until 2025. Nonetheless, economists expect the BoE to open the door to a change of tack later this year. 

Market players will closely monitor the FOMC interest rate decision and press conference on Wednesday. Also, the January US ADP Employment Change will be released. On Thursday, the BoE monetary policy meeting will be in the spotlight. Traders will also be looking to see whether the BoE changes its language, stating that monetary policy will most likely need to be restrictive for an extended period of time.

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Dollar holds above 100 near a 3-month high — three Fed speakers and a $69 billion auction land tonightThe dollar index closed at 100.43 on Monday, its highest close since late July, after a weekly gain of about 1% — the best in more than three months — and is holding above the 100.00 handle in Asia. Three Fed officials speak tonight alongside a $69 billion two-year note auction, the first leg of $183 billion of Treasury supply this week.
Author  Suzie
Sep 22, Tue
The dollar index closed at 100.43 on Monday, its highest close since late July, after a weekly gain of about 1% — the best in more than three months — and is holding above the 100.00 handle in Asia. Three Fed officials speak tonight alongside a $69 billion two-year note auction, the first leg of $183 billion of Treasury supply this week.
placeholder
October hike odds climb toward 60% as Goldman and BofA both flip — what Warsh's "dose of accommodation" really changedRate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 23, Wed
Rate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
placeholder
Memory chips surge, Nasdaq notches a second straight record close — why the Dow fell 185 points anywayMicron gained 5%, SanDisk 6.8%, Seagate 4% and Western Digital 3% as the memory complex led the Nasdaq Composite to a second consecutive record close of 27,244.28. But the Dow fell 185 points as JPMorgan, Wells Fargo and Schwab slid more than 3% each — a split tape that says more about positioning than about the economy.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 23, Wed
Micron gained 5%, SanDisk 6.8%, Seagate 4% and Western Digital 3% as the memory complex led the Nasdaq Composite to a second consecutive record close of 27,244.28. But the Dow fell 185 points as JPMorgan, Wells Fargo and Schwab slid more than 3% each — a split tape that says more about positioning than about the economy.
placeholder
US input costs rose at the fastest pace in four years — the September flash PMI beat is an inflation story, not a growth storyUS September flash PMIs came in far above expectations, with the composite at 58.4, a five-year high. But the detail that moved markets was input cost inflation at its fastest since October 2022, driven by fuel, transport and supply shortages. Brent is back above $100 and the 10-year Treasury yield has hit its highest since 2007.
Author  Suzie
Sep 24, Thu
US September flash PMIs came in far above expectations, with the composite at 58.4, a five-year high. But the detail that moved markets was input cost inflation at its fastest since October 2022, driven by fuel, transport and supply shortages. Brent is back above $100 and the 10-year Treasury yield has hit its highest since 2007.
placeholder
Gold Price Forecast: Gold Drops Below $4,300, Will It Continue to Fall? As of the European session on September 24, gold prices (XAUUSD) extended their correction, dipping below $4,300 intraday to hit a low of $4,262.45. After previously rebounding close to $
Author  TradingKey
Sep 24, Thu
As of the European session on September 24, gold prices (XAUUSD) extended their correction, dipping below $4,300 intraday to hit a low of $4,262.45. After previously rebounding close to $
Related Instrument
goTop
quote