A mix of good growth and Fed cuts is tactically bearish for USD/MXN in the very short run – TDS
Source Fxstreet
Economists at TD Securities like the Mexican Peso (MXN) and expect the USD/MXN pair to move lower.
The USD is overbought and expensive
After the recent correction higher in the USD, it does not look as cheap or oversold. It now looks more balanced versus not just macro drivers but also our positioning indicators. This means that the USD's move higher should run out of steam soon, and risk-reward tilts towards fading the USD strength.
Tactically, we like USD/MXN lower, reflecting a powerful mix of disinflation and good US data, which is a sweet spot for MXN until we have to worry about elections and cuts by Banxico.
Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Recommended Articles
April 2026 NFP forecast 62K–70K vs March 178K. Unemployment expected 4.3%. Fed on hold at 3.50–3.75% with Kevin Warsh as new chair. DXY triple-bottom at $97.69. Trade setup inside.The Apr
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price loses ground after registering modest gains in the previous day, trading around $93.70 per barrel during the Asian hours on Friday.
WTI crude oil futures settled at $96.21 per barrel on May 6, plunging 6.3% to close below $100 for the first time in six days, marking the largest single-day decline since March 17. Brent
Bitcoin jumps to three-month high as US–Iran talks unwind oil risk premiumGlobal markets moved sharply on Wednesday as signs of progress in US–Iran negotiations triggered a rapid unwind of war-driven positions, dragging oil prices lower while lifting equities and cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin climbed above $81,000, its highest level in three months, while Brent crude fell roughly 11% to around $98 per barrel. The S&P 500 rose 0.85%...
Global markets moved sharply on Wednesday as signs of progress in US–Iran negotiations triggered a rapid unwind of war-driven positions, dragging oil prices lower while lifting equities and cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin climbed above $81,000, its highest level in three months, while Brent crude fell roughly 11% to around $98 per barrel. The S&P 500 rose 0.85%...
WTI Crude Falls Over 13% Below $90. US and Iran to Reach Truce Memorandum but Crude Supply Difficult to Recover in Short TermBefore the market opened on May 5, international crude oil losses widened, WTI crude oil futures plummeted below $90 at one point, hitting a low of $88.71, the first time since April 21,
Before the market opened on May 5, international crude oil losses widened, WTI crude oil futures plummeted below $90 at one point, hitting a low of $88.71, the first time since April 21,
Related Instrument
