USD/JPY Price Forecast: Snaps three-day rally, tumbles below 148.50

Source Fxstreet
  • USD/JPY retreats after failing to extend its rally, despite US 10-year Treasury yield rising five basis points.
  • Technical outlook remains upward biased, with buyers eyeing a break above 149.14 and targeting 150.00 in the short term.
  • A drop below 148.00 could see further downside, with key support at 147.00 and the bottom of the Ichimoku Cloud at 146.87.

The USD/JPY retreated after rallying for three straight days, even though the US 10-year Treasury noy yield rose five basis points. Risk aversion drives price action as the Middle East war escalates amid an exchange of fire between Israel, Hezbollah, and Hamas. At the time of writing, the pair trades at 148.12 after hitting a daily peak of 149.14.

USD/JPY Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The USD/JPY failed to extend its uptrend after piercing inside the Ichimoku Cloud (Kumo), which opened the door for further upside. Alongside that, the pair cleared the 50-day moving average (DMA) at 145.17, and since then, buyers have set their sights on 150.00.

Bullish momentum has faded, as shown by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) slope’s downward aiming. Still, the USD/JPY is upward biased in the short term.

 Given the backdrop, the USD/JPY first resistance will be the 149.14 daily high of October 7. Once surpassed, the next stop would be 150.00. If those levels are surrendered, bulls could challenge the 200-DMA at 151.09.

Conversely, if the pair drops below 148.00, bears can drag the exchange rate towards 147.00 as they would like to drive prices toward the latest key support, the bottom of Kumo at 146.87.

USD/JPY Price Action – Daily Chart

Japanese Yen PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Japanese Yen (JPY) against listed major currencies today. Japanese Yen was the strongest against the New Zealand Dollar.

  USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF
USD   -0.02% 0.24% -0.37% 0.36% 0.52% 0.56% -0.48%
EUR 0.02%   0.33% -0.29% 0.41% 0.52% 0.57% -0.49%
GBP -0.24% -0.33%   -0.68% 0.10% 0.20% 0.28% -0.70%
JPY 0.37% 0.29% 0.68%   0.72% 0.88% 0.88% -0.08%
CAD -0.36% -0.41% -0.10% -0.72%   0.19% 0.18% -0.84%
AUD -0.52% -0.52% -0.20% -0.88% -0.19%   0.09% -0.97%
NZD -0.56% -0.57% -0.28% -0.88% -0.18% -0.09%   -1.00%
CHF 0.48% 0.49% 0.70% 0.08% 0.84% 0.97% 1.00%  

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Japanese Yen from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent JPY (base)/USD (quote).

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Ethereum (ETH) Price Closes Above $3,900 — Is a New All-Time High Possible Before 2024 Ends?Once again, the price of Ethereum (ETH) has risen above $3,900. This bounce has hinted at a further price increase for the altcoin before the end of the year.
Author  Beincrypto
Dec 17, 2024
Once again, the price of Ethereum (ETH) has risen above $3,900. This bounce has hinted at a further price increase for the altcoin before the end of the year.
placeholder
Markets in 2026: Will gold, Bitcoin, and the U.S. dollar make history again? — These are how leading institutions thinkAfter a turbulent 2025, what lies ahead for commodities, forex, and cryptocurrency markets in 2026?
Author  Insights
Dec 25, 2025
After a turbulent 2025, what lies ahead for commodities, forex, and cryptocurrency markets in 2026?
placeholder
ECB Policy Outlook for 2026: What It Could Mean for the Euro’s Next MoveWith the ECB likely holding rates steady at 2.15% and the Fed potentially extending cuts into 2026, EUR/USD may test 1.20 if Eurozone growth proves resilient, but weaker growth and an ECB pivot could pull the pair back toward 1.13 and potentially 1.10.
Author  Mitrade
Dec 26, 2025
With the ECB likely holding rates steady at 2.15% and the Fed potentially extending cuts into 2026, EUR/USD may test 1.20 if Eurozone growth proves resilient, but weaker growth and an ECB pivot could pull the pair back toward 1.13 and potentially 1.10.
placeholder
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD rises to near $85.00 as Middle East war intensifiesSilver price (XAG/USD) recovers over 3% during the Asian hours on Wednesday, hovering around $85.20 per troy ounce after plunging more than 12% over the previous two sessions. The precious metal draws safe-haven demand as geopolitical conflict in the Middle East intensifies.
Author  FXStreet
18 hours ago
Silver price (XAG/USD) recovers over 3% during the Asian hours on Wednesday, hovering around $85.20 per troy ounce after plunging more than 12% over the previous two sessions. The precious metal draws safe-haven demand as geopolitical conflict in the Middle East intensifies.
placeholder
WTI climbs to $76.00, eyes one-year high amid rising tensions in the Middle EastWest Texas Intermediate (WTI) US Crude Oil prices attract fresh buyers on Wednesday and climb back closer to the highest level since January 2025, touched the previous day.
Author  FXStreet
17 hours ago
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) US Crude Oil prices attract fresh buyers on Wednesday and climb back closer to the highest level since January 2025, touched the previous day.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote