USD/JPY Price Forecast: Snaps three-day rally, tumbles below 148.50

Source Fxstreet
  • USD/JPY retreats after failing to extend its rally, despite US 10-year Treasury yield rising five basis points.
  • Technical outlook remains upward biased, with buyers eyeing a break above 149.14 and targeting 150.00 in the short term.
  • A drop below 148.00 could see further downside, with key support at 147.00 and the bottom of the Ichimoku Cloud at 146.87.

The USD/JPY retreated after rallying for three straight days, even though the US 10-year Treasury noy yield rose five basis points. Risk aversion drives price action as the Middle East war escalates amid an exchange of fire between Israel, Hezbollah, and Hamas. At the time of writing, the pair trades at 148.12 after hitting a daily peak of 149.14.

USD/JPY Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The USD/JPY failed to extend its uptrend after piercing inside the Ichimoku Cloud (Kumo), which opened the door for further upside. Alongside that, the pair cleared the 50-day moving average (DMA) at 145.17, and since then, buyers have set their sights on 150.00.

Bullish momentum has faded, as shown by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) slope’s downward aiming. Still, the USD/JPY is upward biased in the short term.

 Given the backdrop, the USD/JPY first resistance will be the 149.14 daily high of October 7. Once surpassed, the next stop would be 150.00. If those levels are surrendered, bulls could challenge the 200-DMA at 151.09.

Conversely, if the pair drops below 148.00, bears can drag the exchange rate towards 147.00 as they would like to drive prices toward the latest key support, the bottom of Kumo at 146.87.

USD/JPY Price Action – Daily Chart

Japanese Yen PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Japanese Yen (JPY) against listed major currencies today. Japanese Yen was the strongest against the New Zealand Dollar.

  USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF
USD   -0.02% 0.24% -0.37% 0.36% 0.52% 0.56% -0.48%
EUR 0.02%   0.33% -0.29% 0.41% 0.52% 0.57% -0.49%
GBP -0.24% -0.33%   -0.68% 0.10% 0.20% 0.28% -0.70%
JPY 0.37% 0.29% 0.68%   0.72% 0.88% 0.88% -0.08%
CAD -0.36% -0.41% -0.10% -0.72%   0.19% 0.18% -0.84%
AUD -0.52% -0.52% -0.20% -0.88% -0.19%   0.09% -0.97%
NZD -0.56% -0.57% -0.28% -0.88% -0.18% -0.09%   -1.00%
CHF 0.48% 0.49% 0.70% 0.08% 0.84% 0.97% 1.00%  

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Japanese Yen from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent JPY (base)/USD (quote).

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Bitcoin Price Trend Forecast: Continued ETF Outflows Limit Bitcoin Price Rebound Space, $58,000 Becomes Key Level for Bulls and Bears As of the European trading session on July 1, Bitcoin ( BTC) fluctuated around $58,700, hitting a new year-to-date low of $57,800 earlier in the day before recovering slightly, though it
Author  TradingKey
11 hours ago
As of the European trading session on July 1, Bitcoin ( BTC) fluctuated around $58,700, hitting a new year-to-date low of $57,800 earlier in the day before recovering slightly, though it
placeholder
Japanese Yen sinks to fresh low since 1986 vs USD amid persistently wide US-Japan rate gapThe USD/JPY pair builds on the previous day's breakout momentum and continues to scale new multi-decade highs through the Asian session on Wednesday.
Author  FXStreet
19 hours ago
The USD/JPY pair builds on the previous day's breakout momentum and continues to scale new multi-decade highs through the Asian session on Wednesday.
placeholder
US-Iran Talks Hit Nonfarm Payrolls Bombshell: Bitcoin Bull-Bear Battle Set to End $60,000 Deadlock?As US-Iran talks and non-farm payrolls approach, Bitcoin's range-bound trend is set to break, with a potential drop to $50,000.On June 30, Bitcoin ( BTC) remained volatile near $60,000, u
Author  TradingKey
Jun 30, Tue
As US-Iran talks and non-farm payrolls approach, Bitcoin's range-bound trend is set to break, with a potential drop to $50,000.On June 30, Bitcoin ( BTC) remained volatile near $60,000, u
placeholder
June Non-Farm Payrolls Preview: Did White House Economic Advisor Give an Early Hint? How Will US Stocks, Dollar and Gold React? As June draws to a close, market attention is shifting to the upcoming U.S. June nonfarm payrolls report to be released this Thursday (July 2). This month's nonfarm payrolls data has been
Author  TradingKey
Jun 30, Tue
As June draws to a close, market attention is shifting to the upcoming U.S. June nonfarm payrolls report to be released this Thursday (July 2). This month's nonfarm payrolls data has been
placeholder
Japan’s Kihara: Always ready to take necessary action on forexJapan’s Chief Cabinet Secretary Minoru Kihara reiterated during a regularly scheduled press conference this Tuesday that officials he is always ready to take necessary action on forex. Kihara, however, refrained from commenting on specific forex level.
Author  FXStreet
Jun 30, Tue
Japan’s Chief Cabinet Secretary Minoru Kihara reiterated during a regularly scheduled press conference this Tuesday that officials he is always ready to take necessary action on forex. Kihara, however, refrained from commenting on specific forex level.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote