USD/JPY Price Forecast: Snaps three-day rally, tumbles below 148.50

Source Fxstreet
  • USD/JPY retreats after failing to extend its rally, despite US 10-year Treasury yield rising five basis points.
  • Technical outlook remains upward biased, with buyers eyeing a break above 149.14 and targeting 150.00 in the short term.
  • A drop below 148.00 could see further downside, with key support at 147.00 and the bottom of the Ichimoku Cloud at 146.87.

The USD/JPY retreated after rallying for three straight days, even though the US 10-year Treasury noy yield rose five basis points. Risk aversion drives price action as the Middle East war escalates amid an exchange of fire between Israel, Hezbollah, and Hamas. At the time of writing, the pair trades at 148.12 after hitting a daily peak of 149.14.

USD/JPY Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The USD/JPY failed to extend its uptrend after piercing inside the Ichimoku Cloud (Kumo), which opened the door for further upside. Alongside that, the pair cleared the 50-day moving average (DMA) at 145.17, and since then, buyers have set their sights on 150.00.

Bullish momentum has faded, as shown by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) slope’s downward aiming. Still, the USD/JPY is upward biased in the short term.

 Given the backdrop, the USD/JPY first resistance will be the 149.14 daily high of October 7. Once surpassed, the next stop would be 150.00. If those levels are surrendered, bulls could challenge the 200-DMA at 151.09.

Conversely, if the pair drops below 148.00, bears can drag the exchange rate towards 147.00 as they would like to drive prices toward the latest key support, the bottom of Kumo at 146.87.

USD/JPY Price Action – Daily Chart

Japanese Yen PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Japanese Yen (JPY) against listed major currencies today. Japanese Yen was the strongest against the New Zealand Dollar.

  USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF
USD   -0.02% 0.24% -0.37% 0.36% 0.52% 0.56% -0.48%
EUR 0.02%   0.33% -0.29% 0.41% 0.52% 0.57% -0.49%
GBP -0.24% -0.33%   -0.68% 0.10% 0.20% 0.28% -0.70%
JPY 0.37% 0.29% 0.68%   0.72% 0.88% 0.88% -0.08%
CAD -0.36% -0.41% -0.10% -0.72%   0.19% 0.18% -0.84%
AUD -0.52% -0.52% -0.20% -0.88% -0.19%   0.09% -0.97%
NZD -0.56% -0.57% -0.28% -0.88% -0.18% -0.09%   -1.00%
CHF 0.48% 0.49% 0.70% 0.08% 0.84% 0.97% 1.00%  

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Japanese Yen from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent JPY (base)/USD (quote).

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
When is the BoJ rate decision and how could it affect USD/JPY?The Bank of Japan (BoJ) will announce its interest rate decision between 03.30 and 05.00 GMT, followed by Governor Kazuo Ueda's press conference at 06.30 GMT.
Author  FXStreet
Dec 19, Fri
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) will announce its interest rate decision between 03.30 and 05.00 GMT, followed by Governor Kazuo Ueda's press conference at 06.30 GMT.
placeholder
Top 10 crypto predictions for 2026: Institutional demand and big banks could lift BitcoinCrypto’s 2026 outlook hinges on whether institutional demand returns—via ETFs, banks and digital-asset treasury buyers—with BTC facing a wide range between support near $80,600 and a potential $140,259 upside target, while stablecoins, AI tokens, Solana growth and regulation remain key themes.
Author  Mitrade
19 hours ago
Crypto’s 2026 outlook hinges on whether institutional demand returns—via ETFs, banks and digital-asset treasury buyers—with BTC facing a wide range between support near $80,600 and a potential $140,259 upside target, while stablecoins, AI tokens, Solana growth and regulation remain key themes.
placeholder
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD extends bull run to near $72.70 as Fed dovish bets remain steadySilver price (XAG/USD) rallies further to near $72.70 during the early European trading session on Wednesday.
Author  FXStreet
Dec 25, Thu
Silver price (XAG/USD) rallies further to near $72.70 during the early European trading session on Wednesday.
placeholder
Markets in 2026: Will gold, Bitcoin, and the U.S. dollar make history again? — These are how leading institutions thinkAfter a turbulent 2025, what lies ahead for commodities, forex, and cryptocurrency markets in 2026?
Author  Insights
Dec 25, Thu
After a turbulent 2025, what lies ahead for commodities, forex, and cryptocurrency markets in 2026?
placeholder
ECB Policy Outlook for 2026: What It Could Mean for the Euro’s Next MoveWith the ECB likely holding rates steady at 2.15% and the Fed potentially extending cuts into 2026, EUR/USD may test 1.20 if Eurozone growth proves resilient, but weaker growth and an ECB pivot could pull the pair back toward 1.13 and potentially 1.10.
Author  Mitrade
19 hours ago
With the ECB likely holding rates steady at 2.15% and the Fed potentially extending cuts into 2026, EUR/USD may test 1.20 if Eurozone growth proves resilient, but weaker growth and an ECB pivot could pull the pair back toward 1.13 and potentially 1.10.
goTop
quote