USD/JPY Price Forecast: Snaps three-day rally, tumbles below 148.50

Source Fxstreet
  • USD/JPY retreats after failing to extend its rally, despite US 10-year Treasury yield rising five basis points.
  • Technical outlook remains upward biased, with buyers eyeing a break above 149.14 and targeting 150.00 in the short term.
  • A drop below 148.00 could see further downside, with key support at 147.00 and the bottom of the Ichimoku Cloud at 146.87.

The USD/JPY retreated after rallying for three straight days, even though the US 10-year Treasury noy yield rose five basis points. Risk aversion drives price action as the Middle East war escalates amid an exchange of fire between Israel, Hezbollah, and Hamas. At the time of writing, the pair trades at 148.12 after hitting a daily peak of 149.14.

USD/JPY Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The USD/JPY failed to extend its uptrend after piercing inside the Ichimoku Cloud (Kumo), which opened the door for further upside. Alongside that, the pair cleared the 50-day moving average (DMA) at 145.17, and since then, buyers have set their sights on 150.00.

Bullish momentum has faded, as shown by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) slope’s downward aiming. Still, the USD/JPY is upward biased in the short term.

 Given the backdrop, the USD/JPY first resistance will be the 149.14 daily high of October 7. Once surpassed, the next stop would be 150.00. If those levels are surrendered, bulls could challenge the 200-DMA at 151.09.

Conversely, if the pair drops below 148.00, bears can drag the exchange rate towards 147.00 as they would like to drive prices toward the latest key support, the bottom of Kumo at 146.87.

USD/JPY Price Action – Daily Chart

Japanese Yen PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Japanese Yen (JPY) against listed major currencies today. Japanese Yen was the strongest against the New Zealand Dollar.

  USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF
USD   -0.02% 0.24% -0.37% 0.36% 0.52% 0.56% -0.48%
EUR 0.02%   0.33% -0.29% 0.41% 0.52% 0.57% -0.49%
GBP -0.24% -0.33%   -0.68% 0.10% 0.20% 0.28% -0.70%
JPY 0.37% 0.29% 0.68%   0.72% 0.88% 0.88% -0.08%
CAD -0.36% -0.41% -0.10% -0.72%   0.19% 0.18% -0.84%
AUD -0.52% -0.52% -0.20% -0.88% -0.19%   0.09% -0.97%
NZD -0.56% -0.57% -0.28% -0.88% -0.18% -0.09%   -1.00%
CHF 0.48% 0.49% 0.70% 0.08% 0.84% 0.97% 1.00%  

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Japanese Yen from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent JPY (base)/USD (quote).

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Gold Price Forecast: Can Gold Still Rise Above $4,300 Ahead of July Non-Farm Payrolls?As of the European session on August 7, gold prices ( XAUUSD) extended their recent strong performance, rising over 1% intraday to briefly cross the $4,300 mark. With a cumulative gain of
Author  TradingKey
13 hours ago
As of the European session on August 7, gold prices ( XAUUSD) extended their recent strong performance, rising over 1% intraday to briefly cross the $4,300 mark. With a cumulative gain of
placeholder
NFP or Iran: Which factor will break the US Dollar Index out of its consolidation?The US Dollar Index (DXY) trades around 99.95 at the time of writing on Friday, virtually unchanged on the day, as investors refrain from placing aggressive bets ahead of the release of the July US employment report.
Author  FXStreet
13 hours ago
The US Dollar Index (DXY) trades around 99.95 at the time of writing on Friday, virtually unchanged on the day, as investors refrain from placing aggressive bets ahead of the release of the July US employment report.
placeholder
WTI holds firm near $77.50 as escalating Middle East tensions threaten oil supply routesWest Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price remains steady after registering modest gains in the previous day, trading around $77.50 per barrel during the Asian hours on Friday.
Author  FXStreet
21 hours ago
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price remains steady after registering modest gains in the previous day, trading around $77.50 per barrel during the Asian hours on Friday.
placeholder
Bitcoin Price Forecast: Persistent ETF inflows, easing Middle East tensions lift risk appetiteBitcoin (BTC) extends its gains, trading above $64,800 at the time of writing on Thursday, breaking above the key resistance zone. Institutional demand supports BTC price action with spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) recording a third consecutive day of inflows so far this week.
Author  FXStreet
Yesterday 10: 09
Bitcoin (BTC) extends its gains, trading above $64,800 at the time of writing on Thursday, breaking above the key resistance zone. Institutional demand supports BTC price action with spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) recording a third consecutive day of inflows so far this week.
placeholder
Australian Dollar remains calm following Trade Balance dataAUD/USD steadies after two days of gains, trading around 0.7060 during the Asian hours on Thursday. The pair moves little as the Australian Dollar (AUD) remains silent following the release of domestic Trade Balance data.
Author  FXStreet
Yesterday 02: 09
AUD/USD steadies after two days of gains, trading around 0.7060 during the Asian hours on Thursday. The pair moves little as the Australian Dollar (AUD) remains silent following the release of domestic Trade Balance data.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote