USD/JPY Price Forecast: Snaps three-day rally, tumbles below 148.50

Source Fxstreet
  • USD/JPY retreats after failing to extend its rally, despite US 10-year Treasury yield rising five basis points.
  • Technical outlook remains upward biased, with buyers eyeing a break above 149.14 and targeting 150.00 in the short term.
  • A drop below 148.00 could see further downside, with key support at 147.00 and the bottom of the Ichimoku Cloud at 146.87.

The USD/JPY retreated after rallying for three straight days, even though the US 10-year Treasury noy yield rose five basis points. Risk aversion drives price action as the Middle East war escalates amid an exchange of fire between Israel, Hezbollah, and Hamas. At the time of writing, the pair trades at 148.12 after hitting a daily peak of 149.14.

USD/JPY Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The USD/JPY failed to extend its uptrend after piercing inside the Ichimoku Cloud (Kumo), which opened the door for further upside. Alongside that, the pair cleared the 50-day moving average (DMA) at 145.17, and since then, buyers have set their sights on 150.00.

Bullish momentum has faded, as shown by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) slope’s downward aiming. Still, the USD/JPY is upward biased in the short term.

 Given the backdrop, the USD/JPY first resistance will be the 149.14 daily high of October 7. Once surpassed, the next stop would be 150.00. If those levels are surrendered, bulls could challenge the 200-DMA at 151.09.

Conversely, if the pair drops below 148.00, bears can drag the exchange rate towards 147.00 as they would like to drive prices toward the latest key support, the bottom of Kumo at 146.87.

USD/JPY Price Action – Daily Chart

Japanese Yen PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Japanese Yen (JPY) against listed major currencies today. Japanese Yen was the strongest against the New Zealand Dollar.

  USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF
USD   -0.02% 0.24% -0.37% 0.36% 0.52% 0.56% -0.48%
EUR 0.02%   0.33% -0.29% 0.41% 0.52% 0.57% -0.49%
GBP -0.24% -0.33%   -0.68% 0.10% 0.20% 0.28% -0.70%
JPY 0.37% 0.29% 0.68%   0.72% 0.88% 0.88% -0.08%
CAD -0.36% -0.41% -0.10% -0.72%   0.19% 0.18% -0.84%
AUD -0.52% -0.52% -0.20% -0.88% -0.19%   0.09% -0.97%
NZD -0.56% -0.57% -0.28% -0.88% -0.18% -0.09%   -1.00%
CHF 0.48% 0.49% 0.70% 0.08% 0.84% 0.97% 1.00%  

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Japanese Yen from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent JPY (base)/USD (quote).

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
My Top 5 Stock Market Predictions for 2026Five 2026 market predictions written in a native, news-style voice: AI’s winners and losers, broader sector leadership, dividend demand, valuation cooling as the Shiller CAPE sits at 39 (Dec. 31, 2025), and quantum-computing bursts—while keeping all original facts and numbers unchanged.
Author  Mitrade
Jan 06, Tue
Five 2026 market predictions written in a native, news-style voice: AI’s winners and losers, broader sector leadership, dividend demand, valuation cooling as the Shiller CAPE sits at 39 (Dec. 31, 2025), and quantum-computing bursts—while keeping all original facts and numbers unchanged.
placeholder
Financial Markets 2026: Volatility Catalysts in Gold, Silver, Oil, and Blue-Chip Stocks—A CFD Trader's OutlookGet a comprehensive financial market 2026 outlook exploring key economic drivers, volatility catalysts in gold, oil and stocks, and what the evolving economic outlook means for cfd trading strategies and risk management on global markets.
Author  Rachel Weiss
May 15, Fri
Get a comprehensive financial market 2026 outlook exploring key economic drivers, volatility catalysts in gold, oil and stocks, and what the evolving economic outlook means for cfd trading strategies and risk management on global markets.
placeholder
Gold Price Forecast: Can Gold Keep Rising After Reclaiming $4,400 as Markets Await Upcoming CPI Data?During Wednesday's Asian trading session, spot gold (XAUUSD) extended its rebound, reclaiming $4,400/oz. As of 11:08 Beijing time on August 12, spot gold was trading at $4,414.705/oz, up
Author  TradingKey
Aug 12, Wed
During Wednesday's Asian trading session, spot gold (XAUUSD) extended its rebound, reclaiming $4,400/oz. As of 11:08 Beijing time on August 12, spot gold was trading at $4,414.705/oz, up
placeholder
WTI declines below $82.50 as oil inventories rise far more than expectedWest Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US crude oil benchmark, is trading around $82.45 during the early Asian trading hours on Thursday. WTI declines on a larger-than-expected build in US crude oil inventories. Traders will closely monitor the developments surrounding US-Iran talks for fresh impetus. 
Author  FXStreet
Aug 13, Thu
West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US crude oil benchmark, is trading around $82.45 during the early Asian trading hours on Thursday. WTI declines on a larger-than-expected build in US crude oil inventories. Traders will closely monitor the developments surrounding US-Iran talks for fresh impetus. 
placeholder
WTI remains below $80.50 as traders monitor diplomatic efforts to reopen HormuzWest Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price remains subdued for the third successive day, trading around $80.30 per barrel during the Asian hours on Friday. Crude oil prices edge lower as investors adopt a wait-and-see approach, closely monitoring diplomatic attempts to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.
Author  FXStreet
Yesterday 01: 20
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price remains subdued for the third successive day, trading around $80.30 per barrel during the Asian hours on Friday. Crude oil prices edge lower as investors adopt a wait-and-see approach, closely monitoring diplomatic attempts to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote