EUR/USD shudders after Fed dot plot shifts away from rate cuts, Fiber falls from 1.0850

Source Fxstreet
  • EUR/USD pulls back from 1.0850 after Fed holds rates; rate cuts look less likely.
  • Fed dot plot sees less likelihood of rate cuts in 2024.
  • Fed's forward-looking rate expectations tick higher.

EUR/USD pivoted away from 1.0850 on Wednesday after the Federal Reserve (Fed) held rates as markets broadly expected, but a shift in the Fed's "dot plot" of interest rate expectations is warning that interest rates are likely to continue holding higher for longer

Fed leaves policy rate unchanged at 5.25%-5.5% as forecast

The Fed's interest rate outlook sees higher rates than previously expected, with the 1-year rate outlook rising to 4.1% from the previous 3.9%. The 2-year rate outlook held steady at 3.1%, and the long-term interest rate outlook has also risen to 2.8% from 2.6%.

Live Coverage: Fed dot plot cools Gold, stocks, buoys US Dollar

According to the Fed's dot plot, only a single rate cut in 2024 is looking more likely. 

more to come...

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
The Fed held at 3.75%–4.00% — and two officials voted to hike. December is now 85% pricedThe FOMC held by a 10–2 vote, with Governor Cook and Cleveland Fed President Hammack dissenting for a 25bp hike. Chair Warsh offered no forward guidance and no dot plot, the 2-year yield fell 8bp to 4.70%, and the dollar slipped to 101.84 even as markets moved December hike odds to 85%–87%. Tonight's Q3 GDP and September core PCE are the next referee.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 29, Thu
The FOMC held by a 10–2 vote, with Governor Cook and Cleveland Fed President Hammack dissenting for a 25bp hike. Chair Warsh offered no forward guidance and no dot plot, the 2-year yield fell 8bp to 4.70%, and the dollar slipped to 101.84 even as markets moved December hike odds to 85%–87%. Tonight's Q3 GDP and September core PCE are the next referee.
placeholder
Gold Price Analysis Today | Forex Gold Analysis | XAU/USD Analysis - November 3, 2026Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for November 3, 2026. Read on for the details.
Author  Mitrade
Nov 03, Tue
Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for November 3, 2026. Read on for the details.
placeholder
Gold rebounds to $3,946 off $3,870 as oil does the Fed's work — but the ETF bid is still missingGold closed at $3,946, up 1.84% from a one-year low of $3,870.25, as Brent's 7.6% slide cut December hike odds to 77%. ETF holdings are still shrinking — a short-covering bounce, not new money.
Author  Irene Q.
Nov 03, Tue
Gold closed at $3,946, up 1.84% from a one-year low of $3,870.25, as Brent's 7.6% slide cut December hike odds to 77%. ETF holdings are still shrinking — a short-covering bounce, not new money.
placeholder
Brent at $103.60: the peace trade is selling paper, but the physical market just drew 5.3 million barrelsBrent settled at $103.60, its lowest close since October 7 and an 8% weekly drop on US-Iran talks. Yet API crude stocks fell 5.267 million barrels versus a 2.1 million build expected.
Author  Irene Q.
22 hours ago
Brent settled at $103.60, its lowest close since October 7 and an 8% weekly drop on US-Iran talks. Yet API crude stocks fell 5.267 million barrels versus a 2.1 million build expected.
placeholder
Gold Price Analysis Today | Forex Gold Analysis | XAU/USD Analysis - November 4, 2026Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for November 4, 2026. Read on for the details.
Author  Mitrade
19 hours ago
Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for November 4, 2026. Read on for the details.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote