EUR/JPY Price Analysis: Cross gains ground with subtle consolidation signs
Source Fxstreet
- The daily RSI is pointing upwards, hovering around 70, but continuing red bars in the MACD show a trailing consolidation.
- On the hourly chart, indicators are neutral and reside in the positive terrain.
- The 20-day SMA at 169.00 serves as an important threshold for sellers.
On Friday's trading session, despite recent downside corrections, the EUR/JPY pair managed to reclaim its stance above 170.00. This indicates a shifting of the bearish momentum observed on Thursday when the pair marked a daily low at 169.00.
The daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) has pivoted, now pointing upwards near 70, suggesting a possible reversal. However, the MACD is still printing red bars, confirming that the pair is in a consolidation phase with limited upside. These mixed signals necessitate following the pair closely to determine if this marks a fresh bullish momentum or merely a pause in a more pronounced downward correction.
EUR/JPY daily chart
On the hourly chart, indicators are maintaining their neutrality, inhabiting the positive territory. This could potentially point to a subtle strengthening of bullish sentiment despite the ongoing consolidation phase.
EUR/JPY hourly chart
Critically, the position of the EUR/JPY pair continues to hover above the significant SMAs. The 20-day SMA at 169.00 in particular stands out as a crucial threshold and sellers must conquer this level to flip the near-term bullish outlook. Should the position fall below this key support level, the 100 and 200-day SMAs provide further safety barriers for potential sellers.
Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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Notably, Bitcoin is not alone in its struggles, as Ethereum and Solana have also recorded declines of 7.95% and 28.3%, respectively, since the start of the year, while numerous altcoins have faced even steeper losses.
Looking ahead, questions linger regarding the viability of the four-year cycle thesis, particularly given the increasing institutional support and regulatory frameworks now in place in the crypto landscape. Matt Hougan, chief investment officer at Bitwise, remains optimistic, suggesting a potential Bitcoin resurgence in 2026 driven by the “debasement trade” thesis and a broader trend toward increased adoption of stablecoins, tokenization, and decentralized finance. Hougan emphasized the soundness of the underlying fundamentals, pointing to a positive outlook for the sector in the longer term.
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